Telemachus
Starter
I actually have seen people writing off the King's chances in the playoffs more due to inexperience than to defense.
This is more aligned with my thoughts as well...I think our defense will be fine at the end of the day, but that lack of playoff experience will catch up to us at some point.I actually have seen people writing off the King's chances in the playoffs more due to inexperience than to defense.
likewise, lots of "smart" NBA people said the Kings would be lucky if they were competing for a play-in spot this season. Lots of "smart" NBA people said we would fade out by now and give way to the usual western conference powerhouses. We were told we'd fall to the play-in after the trade deadline and have responded going 6-1, while a bunch of other west teams have crumbled around us. I don't think anyone is an absolute lock to win a west playoff series outside of DEN, but we're going to be an incredibly difficult out. This roster has the best ORtg of all-time! We're putting up one of the best offensive seasons ever in NBA history!
The defense is a real issue, but we aren't supposed to be in this spot anyway. We're a year or 2 ahead of schedule and I don't think anyone considers this roster the "final form" of the roster build. The core is all young enough where there's still realistic internal growth possible in addition to Monte making more moves. And just getting more comfortable in Brown's system with another off-season/training camp+ a year of experience playing together.
Basically, before I need to see if/how Domas "struggles" in the playoffs before I just write him off and say he can't do it. Let's get the data points of a playoff series or two before making those assumptions. The Kings have debunked their assumptions all year long and more. At this point, they've earned our benefit of the doubt.
Besides an eye test (that can be very subjective) do you have any stats that would suggest Sabonis being the worst defender on the team.None of the advanced stats that I managed to dig out(tried to look at the bunch of different ones, because I don't think there is one that's a golden standard) support that statement.Our goal this year at best, is probably WCF. Being realistic, if we can make it out of the first round, that'd be a huge win. I don't think Jokic's lack of success has anything to do with Domas' future success. I think it'll be up to Monte McNair to try and bring personnel in to makeup for Sabonis' short comings. Sabonis is our worst defender(lol another user got upset at me saying this) and it's going to be a tough cover. He can't defend the perimeter and he doesn't protect the rim. The funniest thing is that people keep saying someone like Myles Turner would be the perfect fit with Domas... but you can ask any Pacer fan, the pairing never worked. It was like Fox-Haliburton...
I think Sabonis is best at the 5. It means our PF needs to be switchable on the perimeter AND provide rim protection AND be able to shoot 3s. I think PJ Washington could be a good RFA we target.. he kinda checks the boxes and might be the closest attainable piece.
With all due respect... nothing rational.
Not saying I have any inside knowledge... but people underestimate the degree to which NBA punditry is like high school. Meaning - going along with the crowd and not wanting to be laughed at. It may seem petty - but it's simple human behavior. Right now, still (but not much longer), there is a strong negative social cost to predicting success for the Kings. So people literally make up reasons why they won't succeed and label it "analysis".
The Kings imo also have a hidden advantage that doesn't show up on stat sheets - the coaching staff. Let's be honest it's been stellar this year, and not just because of the big turnaround. One indication of that is that we are an excellent third quarter team. Another is that we are a great crunch time team. That requires two high level coaching skills: in-game adjustments, and game management (crunch time). These skills become even more important during the playoffs - within a series.
I wouldn't underestimate the Kings (of course) - and I also wouldn't count them out based on just one or two criteria. The game has changed much in just the past five years. My gut says this year will be very unpredictable in terms of who will find success in the playoffs (it already has been during the season) - and there's no reason per se at this point that we can't be one of those teams.
We also have my nonna's LASAGNA. And nobody can compete with that.
Defense is extremely difficult to quantify. No one has really been able to figure it out the way we have with offense.Besides an eye test (that can be very subjective) do you have any stats that would suggest Sabonis being the worst defender on the team.None of the advanced stats that I managed to dig out(tried to look at the bunch of different ones, because I don't think there is one that's a golden standard) support that statement.
I'm not holding my breath. Iirc 20 years ago fouls on our guys got even more ticky-tack in the playoffs.I'm wondering if the refs will lighten up on the fouls they call on him in the PO, allowing him to be a little more physical on defense (in particular). It seems like PO basketball is more physical so maybe he won't be getting all these phantom calls.
Defense is extremely difficult to quantify. No one has really been able to figure it out the way we have with offense.
Just pulling up some basic stats from NBA.com, Sabonis leads the team in defensive FG% allowed at 54.1%. Among rotational players, the next 3 worst are TD (53.3), Huerter (51.4), and Metu (51.2). https://www.nba.com/stats/players/defense-dash-overall?TeamID=1610612758&dir=D&sort=D_FG_PCT. You would say that this stat favors guards because of lower 3pt % compared to 2pt %, and I would agree. Which is why I think it would make more sense to compare Sabonis' defensive FG% allowed with the other two bigs on our teams.
If you take a look at Sabonis' defensive dash board for defended FGs, his % are worse than both Metu and Lyles in almost every category, minus 1 for each: Sabonis - Lyles - Metu. If you don't want to compare all the numbers, their overall 2pt % stands as: Sabonis (56.5), Lyles (51.6), Metu (55.5). I decided to compare their 2pt % in this one compared to the overall team's in the last comparison because ideally, they'd all be facing similar defensive assignments and tasks. However, you could argue that this stat favors the bench guys because Sabonis faces starters, while Lyles and Metu face backup guys which makes their assignment easier and helps their dfg %.
Def rtg is also flawed as it's heavily dependent on your overall team and lineups you have on the floor. There just aren't any reliable stats for defense out there available to the masses.
Based on the eye test, it seems like Sabonis doesn't offer any protection at the rim (0.5blks/game would also support that). Opposing guards are easily able to get into the painted area and it constantly feels like an easy 2pts because we offer no resistance at the rim. This forces our wing players to help down-low, often leading to wide open 3s for their wing shooters. It's evident that our bad defense is an entire team issue starting with the guards. I think it gets easy to put blame on Sabonis when he's quite literally the middle cog to our defensive woes.
I hope others don't take this as me crapting all over Sabonis. In my opinion, he brings elite offense to the table and it 100% offsets any negative defense.
This....Domas is not some garbage collector that is suppose to risk fouls just becouse some guys are missing assignments/can't stand in front of their man....Domas is 8th on the MVP ladder https://www.nba.com/news/kia-mvp-ladder-march-3-2023-edition...Yes that what bigs do right?....US bigs like Myles Turner, Claxton JaVale McGee etc.do that, becouse they can't do nothing else....Domas creating the best offence in the NBA history and you're complaining?...It is important to recognize Sabonis as the last line of defense. When the opponents drive the paint through the porous outside defense, Sabonis is all that stands between them and the basket. Whatca' gonna do?
Sabonis fouling out kills a large part of the King's offense. Brown likely has told Sabonis to step aside in the paint and avoid fouling (a twist on Brown's "defense without fouling" philosophy) because he is essential to the high-powered scoring at the other end that has been winning games. This makes it appear that Sobonis can't defend well.
It is likely that come playoff time Sabonis's full defensive skill set will appear and the rest of the team will protect him by stepping up their outside defense by cutting off drives to the basket. At any rate, that would be a path to a deep run in the post season if the Kings can pull it off.
Defense is extremely difficult to quantify. No one has really been able to figure it out the way we have with offense.
Just pulling up some basic stats from NBA.com, Sabonis leads the team in defensive FG% allowed at 54.1%. Among rotational players, the next 3 worst are TD (53.3), Huerter (51.4), and Metu (51.2). https://www.nba.com/stats/players/defense-dash-overall?TeamID=1610612758&dir=D&sort=D_FG_PCT. You would say that this stat favors guards because of lower 3pt % compared to 2pt %, and I would agree. Which is why I think it would make more sense to compare Sabonis' defensive FG% allowed with the other two bigs on our teams.
If you take a look at Sabonis' defensive dash board for defended FGs, his % are worse than both Metu and Lyles in almost every category, minus 1 for each: Sabonis - Lyles - Metu. If you don't want to compare all the numbers, their overall 2pt % stands as: Sabonis (56.5), Lyles (51.6), Metu (55.5). I decided to compare their 2pt % in this one compared to the overall team's in the last comparison because ideally, they'd all be facing similar defensive assignments and tasks. However, you could argue that this stat favors the bench guys because Sabonis faces starters, while Lyles and Metu face backup guys which makes their assignment easier and helps their dfg %.
Def rtg is also flawed as it's heavily dependent on your overall team and lineups you have on the floor. There just aren't any reliable stats for defense out there available to the masses.
Based on the eye test, it seems like Sabonis doesn't offer any protection at the rim (0.5blks/game would also support that). Opposing guards are easily able to get into the painted area and it constantly feels like an easy 2pts because we offer no resistance at the rim. This forces our wing players to help down-low, often leading to wide open 3s for their wing shooters. It's evident that our bad defense is an entire team issue starting with the guards. I think it gets easy to put blame on Sabonis when he's quite literally the middle cog to our defensive woes.
I hope others don't take this as me crapting all over Sabonis. In my opinion, he brings elite offense to the table and it 100% offsets any negative defense.
Defense is extremely difficult to quantify. No one has really been able to figure it out the way we have with offense.
Just pulling up some basic stats from NBA.com, Sabonis leads the team in defensive FG% allowed at 54.1%. Among rotational players, the next 3 worst are TD (53.3), Huerter (51.4), and Metu (51.2). https://www.nba.com/stats/players/defense-dash-overall?TeamID=1610612758&dir=D&sort=D_FG_PCT. You would say that this stat favors guards because of lower 3pt % compared to 2pt %, and I would agree. Which is why I think it would make more sense to compare Sabonis' defensive FG% allowed with the other two bigs on our teams.
If you take a look at Sabonis' defensive dash board for defended FGs, his % are worse than both Metu and Lyles in almost every category, minus 1 for each: Sabonis - Lyles - Metu. If you don't want to compare all the numbers, their overall 2pt % stands as: Sabonis (56.5), Lyles (51.6), Metu (55.5). I decided to compare their 2pt % in this one compared to the overall team's in the last comparison because ideally, they'd all be facing similar defensive assignments and tasks. However, you could argue that this stat favors the bench guys because Sabonis faces starters, while Lyles and Metu face backup guys which makes their assignment easier and helps their dfg %.
Def rtg is also flawed as it's heavily dependent on your overall team and lineups you have on the floor. There just aren't any reliable stats for defense out there available to the masses.
Based on the eye test, it seems like Sabonis doesn't offer any protection at the rim (0.5blks/game would also support that). Opposing guards are easily able to get into the painted area and it constantly feels like an easy 2pts because we offer no resistance at the rim. This forces our wing players to help down-low, often leading to wide open 3s for their wing shooters. It's evident that our bad defense is an entire team issue starting with the guards. I think it gets easy to put blame on Sabonis when he's quite literally the middle cog to our defensive woes.
I hope others don't take this as me crapting all over Sabonis. In my opinion, he brings elite offense to the table and it 100% offsets any negative defense.
This....Domas is not some garbage collector that is suppose to risk fouls just becouse some guys are missing assignments/can't stand in front of their man....Domas is 8th on the MVP ladder https://www.nba.com/news/kia-mvp-ladder-march-3-2023-edition...Yes that what bigs do right?....US bigs like Myles Turner, Claxton JaVale McGee etc.do that, becouse they can't do nothing else....Domas creating the best offence in the NBA history and you're complaining?...
Sabonis is doing avoiding fouls defense at times but that is actually common in today's "nobody is allowed to play defense" NBA.I noticed Embiid and Jokic does this as well early in the game since they are also in the same boat because their team has no solid back ups for them.Coaches realize that the chance of stopping a guard or a wing flying into you and not getting a foul called are very low.And so do the players after getting called for every little tiny touchIt is important to recognize Sabonis as the last line of defense. When the opponents drive the paint through the porous outside defense, Sabonis is all that stands between them and the basket. Whatca' gonna do?
Sabonis fouling out kills a large part of the King's offense. Brown likely has told Sabonis to step aside in the paint and avoid fouling (a twist on Brown's "defense without fouling" philosophy) because he is essential to the high-powered scoring at the other end that has been winning games. This makes it appear that Sobonis can't defend well.
It is likely that come playoff time Sabonis's full defensive skill set will appear and the rest of the team will protect him by stepping up their outside defense by cutting off drives to the basket. At any rate, that would be a path to a deep run in the post season if the Kings can pull it off.
For now, I’m happy to get there after 16 years. Whatever will be, will be - and i trust Monte to fill in the blanks and holes. Mehwe shall see….. lots of smart NBA people give the Kings no chance in the play-offs. A lot of that belief is based on lack of rim protection. I don’t want it to be true but your head is in the sand if you deny it’s there.
Especially with more than half of the west not being very good on that end.I actually have seen people writing off the King's chances in the playoffs more due to inexperience than to defense.
Tim Macmahon said he personally apologized to Monte and Wes for his take on what he called the “Haliburton trade”. Said he got it wrong and way underestimated Sabonis
Ya, it was also an aside in his convo with Lowe. That dude was still ripping the trade in December. He should do his retraction as vehemently as he put up his opposition.
He, along with plenty of others still feel the Pacers slightly won the trade but he has admitted that he underestimated Domas and that both teams benefited. I think that’s a reasonable position to take. He openly admitted his original take was way off, good enough for me .
I guess. Did you see the videos of him openly laughing and mocking the trade? His admission was like a tail tuck, ya I guess I was kinda wrong...blah blah blah.
Tim Macmahon said he personally apologized to Monte and Wes for his take on what he called the “Haliburton trade”. Said he got it wrong and way underestimated Sabonis