captain bill
All-Star
Preseason Predictions
Allright, the offseason is all but done. How will the NBA play out this year?
My picks:
Northwest
1.Denver
PG:Miller/Watson/Boykins
SG:Lenard
SF:Carmelo/Najera/Johnson
PF:Martin/Nene
C:Camby/Hodge
This was the toughest division to call. Lot's of middling teams, no true standout that would seem to really want to win it. Denver is deep and should be very good again this year, but Seattle will be back, Minnesota has KG and Utah will also be a team to be dealt with. In the end, Denver has got a lot of young talent and also a good amount of depth. Watson or Miller, Boykins even, will probably see big minutes at SG. This team won't suprise anyone like last year, and they won't get far in the playoffs, but the northwest looks very weak and winnable. Seattle may resurge again, but I don't think they can win the division.
2.Utah
PG:Williams/McLeod
SG:Harpring/Miles
SF:Boozer/Humphries
PF:AK
C:Okur/Ostertag
Plenty of youth all around, and last time I checked they still had Andrei Kireilinko. And Jerry Sloan, Matt Harpring and Carlos Boozer. Sloan's teams always overachieve, and this one should be no different. They will play some great D and give teams fits that underestimate them or write them off. I am very tempted to give them the division title, but Seattle and Denver will both have something to say about that. I would not be suprised to see this team be very good this year.
3.Seattle
PG:Ridnour/Collison
SG:Allen
SF:Lewis
PF:Radmonovic
C:Fortson/Petro
This is much the same team that won the division last year and made it to the 2nd round, but things are different this year. Denver is playing legit and Utah will be good, and even if they do make the playoffs they probably won't see another Sac-style disappearing act. No doubt this is a talented team and may deserve to make the playoffs, but the west is just too deep and I don't know if they can stay afloat. Tough to call where they go.
4.Minnesota
PG:Jaric/Hudson
SG:Szczerbiak/Hassell/Tskitishvilli
SF:Griffin/Madsen
PF:Garnett
C:?
I am not impressed by this team. Jaric is good, yes, but when has a PG ever carried a team to the playoffs? I don't have faith in Wally to be a real impact player, so in my mind it comes down to Jaric and Garnett trying to win it. I just don't think the pieces are in place for them to go far. Above .500, no doubt, but how far will that take them?
5.Portland
PG:Telfair/Dixon
SG:Jarrett Jack
SF:Miles/Patterson/Outlaw
PF:Randolph
C:Ratliff/Przybilla
Okay, this probably isn't how the lineup will look, sue me. I think Portland has a bright future (Jack WILL be very good in this league) but simply lack the pieces to go anywhere this year. The youth movement marches onward.
Southwest
1.San Antonio
PG
arker/Van Exel
SG:Ginobli/Finley
SF:Bowen
PF: Duncan/Horry
C:Mohammed/Nesterovic/Oberto
Spurs has a fantastic offseason after winning it all.
2.Houston
PG:Sura/James
SG:Wesley
SF:TMac
PF:Swift/Howard
C:Yao/Mutumbo
They will be good, but nowhere near a contender. Moves have made them better but are missing the pieces to challenge San Antonio. Them and the rest of the West.
3.Dallas
PG:Terry/Harris
SG:Stackhouse/Christie/Daniels
SF:Howard
PF: Dirk/Van Horne
C: Dampier/Diop
Dallas is due for an off year. They were lucky to get out of the first round last year and will be lucky to make the playoffs this year. They will be dogged by the likes of San Antonio so they, too, can Blame Finley.
4.Memphis
PG:Stoudamire/Jackson
SG:Miller/Jones
SF:Battier
PF:Gasol/Cardinal
C:Wright
Trading Wells didn't get them a lot. BJax is going downhill and the likelihood of him playing the whole season, or anything close to that, is slim. Stoudamire will not be any sort of an answer for this team. I can't see them accomplishing anything, and will be true lottery contenders this year.
5.New Orleans
PG:Lampe?Jacobsen?Claxton
SG:JR Smith
SF
aul/Snyder
PF:Butler
C:Magloire
Unfortunately, this team still sucks. Here's to seeing Magloire in Sactown.
Pacific
1.Sacramento
Depth and talent. Could end up with the best regular season record in the NBA, but playoffs will be a serious problem. Houston, San Antonio, Denver will look scary come playoffs.
2.Phoenix
PG:Nash/Barbosa
SG:Bell/Diaw
SF:Marion
PF:Amare
C:Thomas
This team is seriously downgraded. Yeah, they wouldn't have won a ring the way they were built, but this team is nowhere close. Bell is a major downgrade from Johnson, and Amare and Marion won't be able to run and gun in their proper positions. Scores come crashing down to earth, Phoenix struggles to hold on.
3.Clippers
PG:Cassell/Livingston
SG:Mobley
SF:Magette
PF:Brand/Korolev(?will he be there)
C:Ross/Rebraca
This is a suprisingly well built team for the Clippers. They won't make the playoffs but they will be decent. Magette and Brand are good, Mobley as we know can really help carry a team in need and Cassell still has some basketball left in him.
4.Lakers
PG:McKie
SG:Kobe
SF:Odom
PF:Brown/Slava
C:Mihm/Bynum
Sorry, Warriors fans. Kobe can will a team to win and Odom ain't bad. Beyond that this team is going nowhere fast. Mihm/Brown/Odom form maybe one of the most unimpressive frontcourts in the NBA, and make our paper boys seem like brick walls on the D end. Phil Jackson will not make them magically win anything.
5.Warriors
PG: Davis/Fisher
SG:Richardson/Peitrus
SF: Dunleavy
PF:Murphy/Diogu
C:Foyle/Biedrins
Okay, they have Davis and Richardson. They had Arenas and Hughes. That didn't win them anything either. Beyond the backcourt they having nothing, zip, nada. They also won't suprise anyone and won't be written off. Now that they are taken seriously, the Baron Davis love-fest will come to an abrupt end. There are just too many good teams in the west to imagine the Warriors making the playoffs.
West Seedings:
1.SA
2.Sac
3.Denver
4.Houston
5.Phoenix
6.Utah
7.Dallas
8.Seattle
SemiFinals:
San Antonio vs Houston
Sac vs Utah
WCF:
Spurs over Kings
Allright, the offseason is all but done. How will the NBA play out this year?
My picks:
Northwest
1.Denver
PG:Miller/Watson/Boykins
SG:Lenard
SF:Carmelo/Najera/Johnson
PF:Martin/Nene
C:Camby/Hodge
This was the toughest division to call. Lot's of middling teams, no true standout that would seem to really want to win it. Denver is deep and should be very good again this year, but Seattle will be back, Minnesota has KG and Utah will also be a team to be dealt with. In the end, Denver has got a lot of young talent and also a good amount of depth. Watson or Miller, Boykins even, will probably see big minutes at SG. This team won't suprise anyone like last year, and they won't get far in the playoffs, but the northwest looks very weak and winnable. Seattle may resurge again, but I don't think they can win the division.
2.Utah
PG:Williams/McLeod
SG:Harpring/Miles
SF:Boozer/Humphries
PF:AK
C:Okur/Ostertag
Plenty of youth all around, and last time I checked they still had Andrei Kireilinko. And Jerry Sloan, Matt Harpring and Carlos Boozer. Sloan's teams always overachieve, and this one should be no different. They will play some great D and give teams fits that underestimate them or write them off. I am very tempted to give them the division title, but Seattle and Denver will both have something to say about that. I would not be suprised to see this team be very good this year.
3.Seattle
PG:Ridnour/Collison
SG:Allen
SF:Lewis
PF:Radmonovic
C:Fortson/Petro
This is much the same team that won the division last year and made it to the 2nd round, but things are different this year. Denver is playing legit and Utah will be good, and even if they do make the playoffs they probably won't see another Sac-style disappearing act. No doubt this is a talented team and may deserve to make the playoffs, but the west is just too deep and I don't know if they can stay afloat. Tough to call where they go.
4.Minnesota
PG:Jaric/Hudson
SG:Szczerbiak/Hassell/Tskitishvilli
SF:Griffin/Madsen
PF:Garnett
C:?
I am not impressed by this team. Jaric is good, yes, but when has a PG ever carried a team to the playoffs? I don't have faith in Wally to be a real impact player, so in my mind it comes down to Jaric and Garnett trying to win it. I just don't think the pieces are in place for them to go far. Above .500, no doubt, but how far will that take them?
5.Portland
PG:Telfair/Dixon
SG:Jarrett Jack
SF:Miles/Patterson/Outlaw
PF:Randolph
C:Ratliff/Przybilla
Okay, this probably isn't how the lineup will look, sue me. I think Portland has a bright future (Jack WILL be very good in this league) but simply lack the pieces to go anywhere this year. The youth movement marches onward.
Southwest
1.San Antonio
PG

SG:Ginobli/Finley
SF:Bowen
PF: Duncan/Horry
C:Mohammed/Nesterovic/Oberto
Spurs has a fantastic offseason after winning it all.
2.Houston
PG:Sura/James
SG:Wesley
SF:TMac
PF:Swift/Howard
C:Yao/Mutumbo
They will be good, but nowhere near a contender. Moves have made them better but are missing the pieces to challenge San Antonio. Them and the rest of the West.
3.Dallas
PG:Terry/Harris
SG:Stackhouse/Christie/Daniels
SF:Howard
PF: Dirk/Van Horne
C: Dampier/Diop
Dallas is due for an off year. They were lucky to get out of the first round last year and will be lucky to make the playoffs this year. They will be dogged by the likes of San Antonio so they, too, can Blame Finley.
4.Memphis
PG:Stoudamire/Jackson
SG:Miller/Jones
SF:Battier
PF:Gasol/Cardinal
C:Wright
Trading Wells didn't get them a lot. BJax is going downhill and the likelihood of him playing the whole season, or anything close to that, is slim. Stoudamire will not be any sort of an answer for this team. I can't see them accomplishing anything, and will be true lottery contenders this year.
5.New Orleans
PG:Lampe?Jacobsen?Claxton
SG:JR Smith
SF

PF:Butler
C:Magloire
Unfortunately, this team still sucks. Here's to seeing Magloire in Sactown.
Pacific
1.Sacramento
Depth and talent. Could end up with the best regular season record in the NBA, but playoffs will be a serious problem. Houston, San Antonio, Denver will look scary come playoffs.
2.Phoenix
PG:Nash/Barbosa
SG:Bell/Diaw
SF:Marion
PF:Amare
C:Thomas
This team is seriously downgraded. Yeah, they wouldn't have won a ring the way they were built, but this team is nowhere close. Bell is a major downgrade from Johnson, and Amare and Marion won't be able to run and gun in their proper positions. Scores come crashing down to earth, Phoenix struggles to hold on.
3.Clippers
PG:Cassell/Livingston
SG:Mobley
SF:Magette
PF:Brand/Korolev(?will he be there)
C:Ross/Rebraca
This is a suprisingly well built team for the Clippers. They won't make the playoffs but they will be decent. Magette and Brand are good, Mobley as we know can really help carry a team in need and Cassell still has some basketball left in him.
4.Lakers
PG:McKie
SG:Kobe
SF:Odom
PF:Brown/Slava
C:Mihm/Bynum
Sorry, Warriors fans. Kobe can will a team to win and Odom ain't bad. Beyond that this team is going nowhere fast. Mihm/Brown/Odom form maybe one of the most unimpressive frontcourts in the NBA, and make our paper boys seem like brick walls on the D end. Phil Jackson will not make them magically win anything.
5.Warriors
PG: Davis/Fisher
SG:Richardson/Peitrus
SF: Dunleavy
PF:Murphy/Diogu
C:Foyle/Biedrins
Okay, they have Davis and Richardson. They had Arenas and Hughes. That didn't win them anything either. Beyond the backcourt they having nothing, zip, nada. They also won't suprise anyone and won't be written off. Now that they are taken seriously, the Baron Davis love-fest will come to an abrupt end. There are just too many good teams in the west to imagine the Warriors making the playoffs.
West Seedings:
1.SA
2.Sac
3.Denver
4.Houston
5.Phoenix
6.Utah
7.Dallas
8.Seattle
SemiFinals:
San Antonio vs Houston
Sac vs Utah
WCF:
Spurs over Kings