I took a moment out of life to try to be rational. I tried to think like the Maloofs and the ownership in general. First off I had forgotten that the ownership is more than the Maloofs and didn't someone say that they had a 51% ownership? That probably means that 49% (or pick a number) of the investment comes from local money. I would suspect that the local owners would want to be bought out if possible if the team moves to Amaheim. I don't have a clue as to the real deal but the Maloofs may be the general partners and get to control everything but they have to consider the local owners. I doubt if the local owners want to benefit Anaheim. That can be solved by picking up owners in the Anaheim area. Is it easy? I don't know and in the present economy, perhaps not as easy as 10 years ago.
Fans: are there more fans in Anaheim than Sacramento? Certainly a TV contract would be bigger. As to attendance, at first it will be higher and in the long run, who knows? I think some of the Anaheim excitement will die off as it has here. I don't see a big guarantee that fans will be better in Anaheim and if I were to move, I'd like to have as close to a guarantee as possible. Do NOT underestimate the loyalty to the Lakers. They have earned it. They've been there since 1957 and have been winners.
Honda Center. The footprint is bigger and that's important. Honda Center can be renovated and Arco or whatever it is called, cannot. In any case, renovation isn't cheap either. I understand (not sure where I read this) that renovation of Target Center in Minneapolis would be $140 mil. So the arena isn't free in any way. I believe Honda has been renovated once. It does share a heavy duty tenant. That's a plus but it is not perfect.
Moving fees. Expensive. NBA takes a portion and there are other fees. I am guessing in the range of $30 mil but that's a guess. There is a pre-payment penalty to pay off Arco.
NBA teams have to vote for it with a simple majority. There will probably be two votes against it but I suspect the overall ownership will OK it. Teams have been moving a lot recently. The questuion for the league is whether or not a region can support three teams. It's never been tried.
There are a lot of intangibles that perhaps can be tangible (have a money value) but I don't know what it is. There is a fan base here ready to go to Arco if the team wins and by all accounts the team will win. That doesn't solve the arena problem. Still need an arena. I'd like to see my home boy Prince without the drive.
How do the Maloofs feel? They have donated $17 mil to the area and have been crapped on. I think on the whole they don't want to leave but business is business and they can't be happy with the way the city has treated them. Last night during the game I asked if any one noticed who owned the arena Magic plays in. Slim noticed. The City of Orlando owns the arena and gets signage fees, parking etc. Just another example of how other cities react as compared to Sacramento.
Sacramento will not change. I have been here 35 years and the attitude has been consistent. This area has a small town attitude and does not or cannot see the bigger picture or doesn't care. It just "is" and for the area, that is not a positive or a negative. For the Kings, it is a negative. We will drive to the Bay Area for entertainment and don't mind if major acts by pass us even if the acts bring money to the area. Oakland gets Prince, we get MMA and at that, lower weight classes. (I love Prince)
The ultimate question for the league and the Kings is: do the Kings come out ahead by going to Anaheim? I don't know. At first, "probably" or "yes." In the long run, maybe not. Excitement dies and I doubt if people in Anaheim will have the same initial blast of excitement as there was in Sacramento.
Lots of "maybes" when you are considering a multi-million dollar decision and don't have money to burn.
I want the Maloofs to do what is best for the Maloofs. They don't have to do anything more to gain my respect. I've already mentioned the money they have donated to the area. Also, they brought the only winner to the area in the entire history of the Kings.
If I were them, I'd wait a year or maybe two depending on the negotiations for the CBA. I'd spend money on players, I'd see what ICON/Taylor have to say, and I'd wait to see how the fans react if or when we become an NBA power. I don't just mean in attendance but in the form of money. The arena in Orlando was financed by bonds which has proven to be almost a failure as the bonds are considered "junk bonds" now. I don't know what a "junk bond" is but it can't be good for the city of Orlando.
In the end, no arena, no Kings. Is it worth a year to see what ICON/Taylor comes up with? I would think so except I know what they will come up with. They will say an arena can be built with $100 mil or so coming from other sources. That means in the form of taxes. Taxes on what? I don't know and if there is another vote, it has to be sold to the people MUCH better than it was before. It has to be sold in a way that the people understand this is more than a bailout to a bunch of billionaires (which they aren't). The word "bailout" will be used against the measure and that's a powerfully pejorative word. The benifits have to be spelled out milllion by million.