and with the #1 pick in the 2009 NBA draft the Kings select...

It's pretty early to say that. You're not going to see a lot of '03 drafts where there was only one legit bust out of the top 8 (and 4 downright stars), and the last two years have been very strong.

But '06 was pretty bad - Aldridge, Roy, Gay and maybe Foye and Rondo. Everybody else looks busted, bust-y, or is a role player.

'05 wasn't much better with Deron, Chris Paul, Bynum, and Granger legit, Bogut, Marvin Williams, Felton and Webster iffy, and the rest role players at best.

'02 was also pretty weak - after Yao, Amare, and Caron Butler you've got Nene who has only recently become consistent, and then Prince, Gooden, Dunleavy and Salmons on the next tier.

So nearly half the drafts since 2000 are at that "four marquee names, four decent players" level at best. Even assuming Rubio's not going to declare, I'd feel fairly comfortable saying that everybody in DraftExpress' top 12 right now has a decent shot of panning out (Griffin, Harden, Monroe, Holiday, Hill, Lawson, Curry, Thabeet, Clark, Jennings, Mullen, DeRozan). I'm not a big fan of Clark and I think Lawson's ceiling is a bit low, but with those guys and the fact that some later picks always pan out (maybe Collison or Mills, maybe Damion James or Jerome Jordan, who knows?) I think this draft can still turn out as strong as the three I mentioned.

I agree, this is not a no brainer draft, which makes having a GM who drafts well extra important. However, there is enough talent that we should see a couple of stars and some other strong players from this draft.
 
You don't know they're going to come out (also DeRozan is not very good).

This may not be the worst draft ever, but it's easily the worst draft since 2000.
I don't know who will come out of course, but I imagine most players will. Anytime there is a perceived "weak" draft everyone tends to come out because they can get drafted higher and guarentee themselves more money. The difference between being drafted 6 versus 11 adds up fast over a 3-4 year deal.

Besides, as I outlined in a previous post, this lottery actually has teams that I think people should want to play for. They almost all have hope.
 
I think this draft will be better than most people think. It may take some time for some of the players to reach their ceiling, but when the smoke clears there will be some winners there. Personaly, I judge players on what their able to do now, and not what they might be able to do in the future. Example, Harden is a very polished player with more skills than most of the players in the draft. He also has made dramatic improvements from last year. He's not the most athletic player in the draft, but contrary to some posts, he's a good athlete.
I agree. There is a big difference between not being an amazing athelete and being a bad athelete. The latter is a kiss of death in the NBA (see Morrison, Adam), the former is not (see Roy, Brandon). I think because everyone wants the next Kobe, Jordan, LeBron superduperstar (who are also super atheletes) there is a tendency to overlook these types of players.
 
I'm hoping for either Rubio or Monroe. But admittedly I haven't seen either of them play; this is purely based on watching clips and reading around.
 
ugh.. why couldn't the Kings suck last year or the year before? :(
LOL, been saying it for the past few years the kings need to rebuild. not everybody was on the bandwagon until it is too late.

the magoofs thought we could still contend with patchwork bull**** here and there. remember "defense" wins championships model.. we almost brought in the first WNBA to NBA coach. we could have been the laughing stock of the league. LMAO

at least we're on the right track. we just need to get rid of aging players and hope for the best. in 2010, we should have some capspace to play with. we might be able to absorb a good player on a bad team who is looking for solely capspace.
 
Catching up with Ohio St./Michigan St. on my DVR, and BJ Mullens is actually getting minutes! He reminds me a lot of JeVale McGee and Jason Smith. He looks like a legit 7'0" and has really long arms. He's a bouncy athlete and can run the floor, although I don't think he's quite as explosive a leaper as he's been sold. Offensively he's got a pretty decent jump hook and turnaround jumper, and he shoots outside jump shots but didn't really make any.

He's very weak physically though, and just seems awkward at times. He also tires very easily. He's still very raw and threw up a lot of junk (airballs, bad shots) on his way to 16 points. He doesn't seem to be a particularly special rebounder or shotblocker.

Definitely a decent prospect, although I'd prefer to see him play against some decent bigs before drawing too many conclusions -- Michigan St. is small team, and a lot of what Mullens was able to do was a result of taking advantage of smaller players. I also think he badly needs at least another year in school.

Adjusting my top 5:

1. Hasheem Thabeet
2. Blake Griffin
3. Darren Collison
4. Greg Monroe
5. B.J. Mullens
 
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Catching up with Ohio St./Michigan St. on my DVR, and BJ Mullens is actually getting minutes! He reminds me a lot of JeVale McGee and Jason Smith. He looks like a legit 7'0" and has really long arms. He's a bouncy athlete and can run the floor, although I don't think he's quite as explosive a leaper as he's been sold. Offensively he's got a pretty decent jump hook and turnaround jumper, and he shoots outside jump shots but didn't really make any.

He's very weak physically though, and just seems awkward at times. He also tires very easily. He's still very raw and threw up a lot of junk (airballs, bad shots) on his way to 16 points. He doesn't seem to be a particularly special rebounder or shotblocker.

Definitely a decent prospect, although I'd prefer to see him play against some decent bigs before drawing too many conclusions -- Michigan St. is small team, and a lot of what Mullens was able to do was a result of taking advantage of smaller players. I also think he badly needs at least another year in school.

Adjusting my top 5:

1. Hasheem Thabeet
2. Blake Griffin
3. Darren Collison
4. Greg Monroe
5. B.J. Mullens

NBA, I am a bit curious why you are so high on Collison? I am a UCLA fan and agree that he is underrated, but #3 in the entire draft? I don't think he'll be good enough to justify that pick. I do think he has a future in the NBA though. What is it that has you so high on him?
 
NBA, I am a bit curious why you are so high on Collison? I am a UCLA fan and agree that he is underrated, but #3 in the entire draft? I don't think he'll be good enough to justify that pick. I do think he has a future in the NBA though. What is it that has you so high on him?
Well, my list is a need list for the Kings rather than overall ratings, so I'm basically limiting things to bigs and point guards. And I just think that Collison is extremely, extremely underrated. He's Brevin Knight/TJ Ford with a jump shot! There aren't many guys who come out of college with his level of quickness, passing, defense, and shooting ability. People are overlooking him because he's a senior and has had great teammates (and he's not a great driveer/finisher), but I think he has serious potential. And if you look at guys who have been overlooked in the draft, they almost always either came out of a small school (Kevin Martin) or came from a good program with more heralded teammates (Michael Redd, Carlos Boozer, Gilbert Arenas).

I've only seen Jrue Holiday play a couple of times and he didn't look overly impressive to me. I don't think Rubio has the athleticism or shooting ability. Haven't seen Jennings, but his Euro stats are worrisome. I think Ty Lawson is too short and too much like Ray Felton. Mills doesn't seem like a true point. Stephen Curry doesn't have the athleticism. I'll take Collison. Best of all, we may be able to get him with Houston's pick, although I think his stock will rise by the time the draft rolls around.
 
Well, my list is a need list for the Kings rather than overall ratings, so I'm basically limiting things to bigs and point guards. And I just think that Collison is extremely, extremely underrated. He's Brevin Knight/TJ Ford with a jump shot! There aren't many guys who come out of college with his level of quickness, passing, defense, and shooting ability. People are overlooking him because he's a senior and has had great teammates (and he's not a great driveer/finisher), but I think he has serious potential. And if you look at guys who have been overlooked in the draft, they almost always either came out of a small school (Kevin Martin) or came from a good program with more heralded teammates (Michael Redd, Carlos Boozer, Gilbert Arenas).
We have seen the best of collison.....Jrue is playing out of position, he is a pg, he is a good defender/passer. I think Jrue has alot more upside.
 
We have seen the best of collison.....Jrue is playing out of position, he is a pg, he is a good defender/passer. I think Jrue has alot more upside.
He might, but I'd rather not base a pick on faith, particularly a point guard. Holiday needs another year in school at least. He's an inconsistent shooter, I don't know if he has the ballhandling skills, and he hasn't burst onto the scene like Westbrook did. If he improves a lot as the season goes on I might change my mind, but I'm skeptical right now.
 

Kingster

Hall of Famer
NBA, I am a bit curious why you are so high on Collison? I am a UCLA fan and agree that he is underrated, but #3 in the entire draft? I don't think he'll be good enough to justify that pick. I do think he has a future in the NBA though. What is it that has you so high on him?
Ditto. As you probably know, Westbrook last year played better at pg than Collison, despite his lack of experience at the position. He could actually get into the offense much quicker and make things happen. Collison could end up to be one of those guys who is a workout warrior because of speed and quickness tests, but put the ball in his hands and he's not that fast.
 
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Ditto. As you probably know, Westbrook last year played better at pg than Collison, despite his lack of experience at the position. He could actually get into the offense much quicker and make things happen. Collison could end up to be one of those guys who is a workout warrior because of speed and quickness tests, but put the ball in his hands and he's not that fast.
In transition I agree with you, because Westbrook could really fly up the floor and he's a much better finisher than Collison. Half court though, Collison can really slice and dice a defense with his passing and shooting. It's rare to find a point guard who can do that so well, and he could kill teams in the NBA on the pick and roll with his shooting and passing. I disagree about his quickness. He's very quick, and an excellent defender. He's more quick than fast, if that makes sense.
 
He might, but I'd rather not base a pick on faith, particularly a point guard. Holiday needs another year in school at least. He's an inconsistent shooter, I don't know if he has the ballhandling skills, and he hasn't burst onto the scene like Westbrook did. If he improves a lot as the season goes on I might change my mind, but I'm skeptical right now.
He has great ball handling skills, I think anything you'd read on him would echo that. Yeah, his shot is streaky but he has good form and potential there. Quick and pretty explosive finisher, more athletic than Collison. He's got good decision making ability and I think overlooked passing/vision as well. He has the size, length, effort, and quickness to be a very good defender as well. Goes after rebounds aggressively too. Yes, he needs more seasoning but he has the perfect makeup for our PG needs.
 
Have you guys seen Holiday play? When I saw him early in the season he really didn't look that impressive. Has he gotten better?
It would have been better if Collison had declared last year.. Holiday is stuck playing Westbrook's position AFTER Collison came back from injury last year.

He's actually doing better than he was at the beginning, but he is kind of out of position right now.
 
Well, my list is a need list for the Kings rather than overall ratings, so I'm basically limiting things to bigs and point guards. And I just think that Collison is extremely, extremely underrated. He's Brevin Knight/TJ Ford with a jump shot! There aren't many guys who come out of college with his level of quickness, passing, defense, and shooting ability. People are overlooking him because he's a senior and has had great teammates (and he's not a great driveer/finisher), but I think he has serious potential. And if you look at guys who have been overlooked in the draft, they almost always either came out of a small school (Kevin Martin) or came from a good program with more heralded teammates (Michael Redd, Carlos Boozer, Gilbert Arenas).

I've only seen Jrue Holiday play a couple of times and he didn't look overly impressive to me. I don't think Rubio has the athleticism or shooting ability. Haven't seen Jennings, but his Euro stats are worrisome. I think Ty Lawson is too short and too much like Ray Felton. Mills doesn't seem like a true point. Stephen Curry doesn't have the athleticism. I'll take Collison. Best of all, we may be able to get him with Houston's pick, although I think his stock will rise by the time the draft rolls around.

It's a weak weak draft when you got Collison going #3. If both he and Holiday declare you got to take Holiday before him based on potential alone. Plus like I said in the post above Holiday is sort of out of position right now. It sucks that he is because he's not learning how to be a better PG when Collison is hogging all the minutes. When I heard Collison was coming back for his Sr year I kind of got pissed because I knew he would steam Holiday's spot.
 
It's a weak weak draft when you got Collison going #3. If both he and Holiday declare you got to take Holiday before him based on potential alone. Plus like I said in the post above Holiday is sort of out of position right now. It sucks that he is because he's not learning how to be a better PG when Collison is hogging all the minutes. When I heard Collison was coming back for his Sr year I kind of got pissed because I knew he would steam Holiday's spot.
Yeah, it's unfortunate for Holiday, he's much better than he's being able to show. Hopefully somehow he'll get more responsibilities in the offense later on.
 
Again, I'm not saying Collison is going to go #3 in the draft. He's just #3 on my own personal wish list. And I disagree you take someone on potential alone. I'd like to see them show something first. Holiday hasn't shown much yet other than potential. Potential has a way of staying as potential and not translating into reality.
 
Again, I'm not saying Collison is going to go #3 in the draft. He's just #3 on my own personal wish list. And I disagree you take someone on potential alone. I'd like to see them show something first. Holiday hasn't shown much yet other than potential. Potential has a way of staying as potential and not translating into reality.
I wouldn't call Holiday strictly an upside guy at all, I'd say he has relatively polished skills and intangibles for a freshman guard.
 
I wouldn't call Holiday strictly an upside guy at all, I'd say he has relatively polished skills and intangibles for a freshman guard.
He's only reached double figures once against an opponent that's any good, including a serious stinker against Texas (which I watched, and which is probably coloring my view of him). If he turns it on vs. the Pac 10 I may be converted. He does have intriguing skills. But until he does he's all potential.
 
I'm not a big Collison fan but I have to say he's been playing very well. So well that there's no doubt he can be a starter in the league. Probably not an All-Star but a solid 12pt 7 assists 1.5 steals type with defense, leadership, and smart. He isn't great at anything but he can do a bit of everything and has no obvious weakness. I won't be surprised if he goes lottery. I think he is a Petrie type player and that has me worried because Petrie has a history of reaching for need when we desperately need to come out of this draft with a sure-fire All-Star.

As for Jrue Holiday, no doubt the kid has huge potential, but as of now what can he do that Smush Parker can't? Holiday is one of those kids that struck me as someone who can easily go bust if he comes out too early. He and Mullen really should stay at least another year, unless they really pick up their game.