Daniel Weintraub: As voters cool to subsidies, a few ideas for the NBA

#1
http://www.sacbee.com/110/story/80354.html

Daniel Weintraub: As voters cool to subsidies, a few ideas for the NBA
By Daniel Weintraub - Bee Columnist
Published 12:00 am PST Tuesday, November 21, 2006
Story appeared in EDITORIALS section, Page B7


Maybe it's time for the National Basketball Association to consider an economic makeover.

As votes this month in Sacramento and Seattle demonstrated, the number of cities with residents willing to hand over tax dollars to subsidize millionaires playing ball is dwindling. And with franchises from Milwaukee to Portland struggling to turn a profit, the league ought to take a closer look at its expenses, its revenue and the balance between the two.

Like any industry where costs have outrun the money coming in from customers, professional basketball might have to consider layoffs or salary cuts. Or, since the NBA is really one business and not a group of true economic competitors, the league could also pool its proceeds and then distribute them to all the club owners in a more equitable fashion.

At any rate, it seems evident that holding up the taxpayers for more money is less and less a viable option.

In Sacramento on Nov. 7, county voters rejected a proposal to raise the sales tax by a quarter-cent on the dollar to pay for a new, $600 million arena for the NBA's Kings. The Kings are a beloved team in the California capital. But more than 80 percent of voters said No.

In Seattle on the same day, 74 percent of voters approved a pre-emptive measure declaring the public purse off-limits to professional sports teams unless the deals net a profit for the city. Sponsored by the aptly named "Citizens for More Important Things," the measure was aimed at the NBA's Supersonics, Seattle's first major league franchise and the only one to bring a championship to the city. With the team demanding a new arena, the chances of it fleeing, perhaps to Oklahoma City, appear on the rise.

In both cases, opponents of the sports subsides were joined by advocates for the poor, who argued that scarce tax dollars shouldn't be given to billionaire owners who pay their players tens of millions of dollars while generating little or no economic benefit for the region in which they play.

They have a point. The NBA's argument that its teams can't get by without public subsidies is not a strong one. It assumes that the league must be structured as it is now, with a few big-city franchises in New York, Los Angeles and Chicago making huge profits off television deals and other revenue sources while teams in smaller markets struggle to get by.

Before coming to taxpayers, there are several things the league could do to make things right:

• Shrink its payroll. The league recently gave teams the option of adding a 15th player to their active rosters. Only five players are on the court at a time, and almost no NBA coach regularly uses more than nine or 10 in a game, with most using fewer than that. Even considering the need to plan for the risk of injury, 12 or 13 players under contract would probably be sufficient. That change could save teams a couple of million dollars per year.

• Reduce salaries. This is a more radical suggestion, but perhaps even more sensible. The average NBA salary is more than $4 million a year. Former King Peja Stojakovic signed a deal with New Orleans last summer that will pay him a reported $63 million over five years. Another former King, Chris Webber, is still being paid $20 million a year by Philadelphia, even though his skills, and his playing time, have declined dramatically in recent years.

No one is going to roll back salaries owed under existing contracts.

But if the NBA's teams are having so much trouble making ends meet that they need to come to the taxpayers for handouts, couldn't they simply stop paying their stars all that money? If the next round of Stojakovics and Webbers made about 10 percent or 20 percent less than the top stars do today, most if not all of the league's problems would be solved.

• Collude. If the owners get together secretly and agree not to outbid each other for the players' services, they'll be sued by the players union.

But there is nothing stopping the league and its players from agreeing on a new deal that shares more of the revenue made by teams in the big cities with those teams from smaller markets. After all, the big-city teams couldn't make that money without teams to play against. If they don't share more of it, some of those teams might go under. If they want the league to survive as it's now structured, with 30 teams in cities large and small, the more profitable clubs should share more of their local revenue to keep the small-town teams competitive.

The NBA may be able to sweet-talk a few more towns into coughing up subsidies for its teams. But that well is eventually going to go dry. Using one or two of these options or a combination of the three, the league could end its perennial beg-a-thons and put itself on stable ground for a long time to come.

About the writer: The Bee's Daniel Weintraub can be reached at (916) 321-1914 or at dweintraub@sacbee.com
 
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#2
Weintraub nailed it

He is mostly correct. Sacramento isn't the problem; it's merely one of many growing and worsening symptoms. The NBA economic model is simply not sustainable, and Sacramento's lack of a strong TV market, its severe lack of corporate presence, and, lastly, its lack of voter will, will eventually force the Kings to move.

I think we're sort of the first victim.

And it's nothing personal. Our three main sources of outside income are lacking, and that will prove to be the end of it. I doubt any of us can do a thing to bolster the TV market, increase corporate presence, or convince the taxpayer.

Unfortunately, I doubt Stern will do much to institute revenue-sharing, or to control expenses (salaries). Weintraub's idea of "smaller rosters" really is silly.

We are the first of several markets that will directly feel the effects of the economic problems the NBA faces. Not really a tragedy (a tragedy is when a school bus crashes; this is just entertainment); more like an unfortunate set of circumstances.
 

VF21

Super Moderator Emeritus
SME
#3
The notion that some of you have already given up on the future of the Kings in Sacramento just blows me away. Had this attitude been prevalent 22 years ago, we would never have even had a professional NBA franchise.

It's almost like some of you want to make sure you're in line to be able to say "I told you so" should the team ever finally leave.

Arena Skeptic - Your choice of a user name pretty much says it all. You've jumped on every single article that has nay-sayed the future of the Kings in Sacramento as though they were handed down on tablets of stone.

Sorry, but I'm not about to give up without some kind of a fight.

If you're that convinced there is no future for the Kings here, why are you even posting on a Kings board? It's one thing to discuss the issues. It's another to constantly be the voice of doom and gloom. It's gotten old.

As far as Weintraub nailing it goes, I think I'll wait and see what happens before I start handing him any laurels.
 

Bricklayer

Don't Make Me Use The Bat
#4
The problem is pipedreaming -- everybody talks about how they like things to be, and how everybody else should give. You have:

1) the NBA players union: in a revenue sharing arrangement with the league, for whom the extra potential roster spot was added (a very minor expense btw -- those players rarely earn more than a few hundred thousand), will fight tooth and nail not be rolled back. Have agreed to maximum salaries and an age cap in recent years, but will strike before their percentage of revenues is chopped.

2) the "big market" owners, who are NOT going to be interested in giving up millions upon millions in revenue sharing, which also btw depreciates teh value of the team as an asset since anyone thinking of buying it knows it will earn less money for them. The best/only hope would be that there may be more small market than big market owners, in which case depending on the voting bylaws, it might be possible for the small market owners to vote in revenue sharing over the big market owners' objections. Note that the big spenders, as opposed to big markets, have already been hit with a form of revenue sharing -- the luxury tax -- whereby they are penalized a large dollar for dollar fine which is redistributed to teams who stay under the cap.

3) the "small market" owners -- if they would just quit trying to win, could probably cut it in even the most podunk town if they simply refused to pay more than $40 mil or so in salary ala Donald Sterling

4) the fans -- if they simply quit demanding their team win and actually showed up to games for a losing team with a $40 mil payroll, maybe it wouldn't matter so much. But rather want their cake, and to at it too. Wanting the team to spend money, win, and do it all in obsolete facilities even if they are losing money in the process.

5) the voting public -- if you called the expenses of paying for your mother's funeral a "tax" the average taxpayer would dig a hole in his backyard and throw dear 'ole mom in to fertilize his/her garden rather than pay up. Its got nothing to do with the money going elsewhere -- they don't approve that either. There are no elsewhere contingency plans. or none that will pass.

But here are the truths of the matter:

1) Arco is dying folks. Its dying with or without the Kings. It will be gone within a decade, and then Sacto will either have to build a new one, or rather embarrassingly be the only metropolitan area of its size without an arena to host events, concerts, etc. Once the Kings are gone, said arena will cost 100+ mil of the public's money at the absolute cheapest and rinkiest.

2) Other cities are lined up to take the Kings. Cities without NBA teams that have built NBA areans ready to take them. Hell, OKLAHOMA CITY of all places is ready to outclass Sacto. As is KC, Anaheim, Vegas would love to if it could overcome the gambling issue. The NBA would like to save the current markets and maybe save the others for the future, but there is still tremendous demand for NBA teams, and communities who do manage to meet the arena requirements. There is not nearly the pressure on the NBA to change that an article from a Sacramento viewpoint might imply. Be nice if they do, they are no doubt fussing aroudn in the background aroudn the edges, but if two years from now the Anaheim Kings and Oklahoma City Sonics meet, business for the NBA goes on pretty much as usual. And Seattle of course continues to support (and publicly underwrite btw) the Seahawks and Mariners. Only in Sacto will things be eerily quiet as Sac State glorious basketball takes center stage and the Bay Area receives a flood of new fans communting in to see professional sports.

And the greatest irony is that probably 5-10 years down the line a movement will inevitably be born to bring in another pro team somehow. Studies will be done, and maybe by 2015 or so somebody will conclude that what has to be done is a new arena/stadium has to be built, without help from a team, in order to attract one. There will be bickering, arguing. Maybe one can be built by 2020. Maybe. Of course many fans of the old Kings will have moved on, even passed on. But it will come full circle again.
 
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VF21

Super Moderator Emeritus
SME
#5
Bricklayer said:
Only in Sacto will things be eerily quiet as Sac State glorious basketball takes center stage and the Bay Area receives a flood of new fans communting in to see professional sports.
Well, not exactly. The news last night announced, with way too much "excitement" from the talking heads BTW, that "Sacramento has another professional basketball team."

Yes, folks, the Fresno Heatwave has relocated to Sacramento, and will play their games - at least this year - at Cosumnes River College.
 
#6
Yes, folks, the Fresno Heatwave has relocated to Sacramento, and will play their games - at least this year - at Cosumnes River College.
Who the heck needs the Kings, then?:rolleyes: ;)

Brick: Brilliant! Everybody can talk about the way things "should be." Its so much easier than trying to figure out how to accomplish things in the real world. And that goes for a lot more than basketball.
 
#7
bricklayer

Nice posts. you bring uo some interesting points. The NBA does need to do something so that smaller markets are not expected to subsidize the NBA teams. The public should , at the most, give a modest subsidy to help build an arena or tax credits. The NBA should shoulder some off the cost as well.
 

VF21

Super Moderator Emeritus
SME
#10
When will the Bee learn to just shut up with bad ideas? I'd rather they not write anything than write garbage.
We as consumers always have the right to simply not read the product put forth by the Bee. Or, as we've done here, we can choose to voice our disagreement and/or disapproval with what has been written.

The problem with the Bee isn't that they write garbage. It's that they're the ONLY daily newspaper in town and so theirs is the only voice being heard. And, since they are the only game in town, they've apparently decided it's okay if they shape events instead of simply reporting them.

That's my chief objection to what the Bee has done and continues to do. The writers who do try to put the facts out there and let their readers decide seem to have fallen out of favor... And that's a shame, not only for us, but for everyone.
 
#11
Salaries are the problem....(this is a recording)

We are the first of several markets that will directly feel the effects of the economic problems the NBA faces. Not really a tragedy (a tragedy is when a school bus crashes; this is just entertainment); more like an unfortunate set of circumstances.
I think you're right, unfortunately. Dave Stern rides into town on his big white "i'm a New York Loy-ah!" horse to rescue us. Whatever. He is going to "rescue" us by figuring out a face-saving way for taxpayers to write the Maloofs a check.

Stern loves Sacramento, and the Maloofs want to stay in Sacramento, only so long as there is no better deal elsewhere. That's business. But it seems silly that the taxpayers/fans have to act out of love for the team, while the league and the owners see only dollars.

Whether we want an arena or not (I certainly do), we have to see the validity in the argument of people saying that they do not want to subsidize the Kings' economic waste (in the form of ridiculous salaries). It's good for the taxpayers to help a business locate or remain here, especially when the improved infrastructure helps everyone. It's silly to help a business to remain here when they waste money and try to stick the public with a bill.

In the end, the NBA has to get the salaries under control. That's not only the best way for basketball to survive in markets like this, it's the only way. Everything else is a pipe dream. Let's say we build an arena today. If salaries keep spiraling up and up, aren't they going to need a new subsidy tomorrow?
 
#12
Let's say we build an arena today. If salaries keep spiraling up and up, aren't they going to need a new subsidy tomorrow?
very nice point. At some point, we need to stop feeding the beast. Everyone has their line that they will not cross. The majority in this city feel that the line has been crossed already. If the beast continues to feed and grow there will be a point that everyone feels the line has been crossed - even VF.
 
#13
Show me where the salaries have been spiraling up? There are a few teams that spend way beyond the cap. They also have the revenue to do that. If you look at the Kings, their yearly salary has gone down over the last few years. Spending more doesn't equal dominance in the sport either. The last few NBA champions are barely in the top 10 spenders. You guys are just adding more FUD.
 
#14
Show me where the salaries have been spiraling up? There are a few teams that spend way beyond the cap. They also have the revenue to do that. If you look at the Kings, their yearly salary has gone down over the last few years. Spending more doesn't equal dominance in the sport either. The last few NBA champions are barely in the top 10 spenders. You guys are just adding more FUD.
Yes, at least the Maloofs have moved toward more fiscal responsibility. Partly, because they couldn't support a huge salary, unless they wanted to lose more. After the 02-03 season, the Maloofs deliberatley started salary reductions to get below the luxury tax at least. A feat they finally achieved last season.
 
#15
Show me where the salaries have been spiraling up? quote]

Here.

Year CapAvg. Player Salary
1984-85 $3.6 million $330,000
1985-86 $4.2 million $382,000
1986-87 $4.9 million $431,000
1987-88 $6.2 million $502,000
1988-89 $7.2 million $575,000
1989-90 $9.8 million $717,000
1990-91 $11.9 million $927,000
1991-92 $12.5 million $1.1 million
1992-93 $14.0 million $1.3 million
1993-94 $15.1 million $1.5 million
1994-95 $15.9 million $1.8 million
1995-96 $23.0 million $2.0 million
1996-97 $24.4 million $2.3 million
1997-98 $26.9 million $2.6 million
1998-99 $30.0 million $3.0 million
1999-00 $34.0 million $3.6 million
2000-01 $35.5 million $4.2 million
2001-02 $42.5 million $4.5 million
2002-03 $40.3 million $4.5 million
2003-04 $43.8 million $4.9 million
2004-05 $43.9 million $4.9 million
2005-06 $49.5 million $5.0 million
2006-07 $53.1 million $5.2 million

Except for one year when the cap was slightly lowered to account for a cut in TV revenues, let us say the trend is "up". It's roughly 17 times greater than it was about 20 years ago. I know of few professions in real life where the average salary is 17 times higher than it was in the 80's, even taking inflation into account.

Higher spending by teams does not, of course, equal dominance. But it does give an advantage over time. If the Lakers always can afford to spend more than we do, they have greater flexibility to structure their roster than we do. That doesn't obviously mean they are going to have a better record every single year, but it's something they have that we don't.
 
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#16
The notion that some of you have already given up on the future of the Kings in Sacramento just blows me away. Had this attitude been prevalent 22 years ago, we would never have even had a professional NBA franchise.

It's almost like some of you want to make sure you're in line to be able to say "I told you so" should the team ever finally leave.

Arena Skeptic - Your choice of a user name pretty much says it all. You've jumped on every single article that has nay-sayed the future of the Kings in Sacramento as though they were handed down on tablets of stone.

Sorry, but I'm not about to give up without some kind of a fight.

If you're that convinced there is no future for the Kings here, why are you even posting on a Kings board? It's one thing to discuss the issues. It's another to constantly be the voice of doom and gloom. It's gotten old.

As far as Weintraub nailing it goes, I think I'll wait and see what happens before I start handing him any laurels.
You know what? I left for vacation shortly after writing this, and am just now reading your response. One of my points is that people need to stop taking this so darned personally. So what do I get? See above.

Look, the three main outside sources of income for teams is corporate, TV and the taxpayer. We have one of the lowest, worst stats for corporations in the country, and 20+ years of Kings in Sac hasn't changed that. Our TV contract is one of the worst. The taxpayers just said an emphatic NO to the idea of public funding.

And I mean absolutely none of that in any personal way whatsoever.

Here's the deal: Sacramento, Portland, Seattle, Milwaukee, Memphis, and probably a number of other teams face PERMANENT negative cash-flow. That's correct: Permanent. There are only two ways to correct this; either we have revenue-sharing, or we go back to 20 teams.

My guess is, for a while, Stern will resist the idea of revenue-sharing, which means that ALL of the above teams are on the short-list for contraction. Again, nothing personal.

Publicly funding an arena will help for a while, but with the salary growth the NBA is experiencing, it won't help for as long as necessary.

I say we worry about getting rid of the larger problem before addressing the smaller one. If we publicly fund an arena (at 80-20, I think the public has already said how it feels about that idea) and do not address the REAL issue (wages are growing far, far faster than inflation), we'll have to vote on another subsidy down the road.

In that respect, even though not all of Weintraub's ideas are good, he at least got revenue-sharing right.

No one's asking you to give up without a fight. But I will say this: If you back another tax hike for an arena, DO NOT TELL OPPONENTS TO LEAVE TOWN (no, I don't know if you ever fell back on that one).

Repeat after me: A tax hike to fund an arena will not pass, ever.

If that's the way you choose to box, I have to call that so much shadow-boxing.
 
#17
SpartansFan: When you talk about players salaries spiraling up, let's get specific to the only team that matters here. The Kings have reduced team payroll every season since its high in 02/03. The Maloofs realized that that salary level was just not sustainable in this market and knew they were close to the maximum ticket prices this market was going to bear. Its no accident that they finally got under the luxury tax limit last season and this is the first season they didn't raise ticket prices.

02/03 $70,416,596 - highest Kings payroll ever
03/04 $69,567,889
04/05 $60,633,211
05/06 $60,527,850
06/07 $63,214,190 - still under the luxury tax level, at least so far


Its clear the Maloofs are trying to be fiscally prudent and yet try to keep competitive. Not easy.