I’m totally fine with McNair’s decision to stay as is (all things considered).
The focus should and needs to be on the long term goal. Sabonis is 27, Fox is 26, Monk is 26, Huerter is 25, and Murray is 23. This core has a longer window than many on this forum seem to think. McNair said it himself last year that growth is not always linear. When you understand that reality, it helps you avoid knee jerk reactions and making moves out of desperation (which usually don’t work out in your favor).
I’ve made this point before but I’ll make it again now….the Kings (as currently constructed) are not a contender. If the goal is in fact to one day become a contender, you must ask yourself what is the team lacking to get to that level? From my perspective, we’re missing a true #2 option.
Sabonis is a great player but he’s not someone who’s going to enforce his will from a scoring perspective like a Embiid, Jokic, etc. Don’t get me wrong. He’s a very solid scorer but I think his game is perfect for that 3rd scorer/playmaker role as he naturally looks to setup others and has known scoring limitations/weaknesses that defenses can try and exploit.
Perhaps some posters here think that simply improving the defense would be enough to catapult us into contender status. While that’s certainly important, we’re not going to be a true contender without that 2nd star/go-to option who can help Fox when defenses clamp down in the playoffs. For example, a team of…
PG - Fox
SG - O’Neale
SF - Murray
PF - Finney-Smith
C - Sabonis
6MAN - Monk
…would be much better defensively than it is today but that team is still not a contender. Again, we need a legit #2 option to potentially enter the conversation. And the fit of that #2 option, the quality of the complementary pieces, and the level of defense around Fox, Sabonis, and that #2 option will ultimately decide if that becomes a reality.
The convenient path to get there would be for Murray to develop into that #2 option. And that is certainly a possibility with how much he continues to improve. However, he’s obviously not that player today hence why we’re not considered contenders.
The plan should be to allow our 1st to convey to ATL (should be this year) which then frees up all of our 1sts again in a trade starting in the 2024 off-season. Then it would just be about monitoring Murray’s development at that point. If he continues to develop and we feel confident he will reach that #2 star level, then you can move those picks for other complementary pieces (or draft those complementary pieces). If his development starts to plateau, then you have Murray and/or a bunch of picks to dangle as a trade package for a 2nd star.
The way the Kings are setup currently, patience is key. I totally understand McNair wanting to hold onto as many assets as possible until you know Murray can become that player. It wouldn’t really be wise to surrender those assets in the short term for complementary pieces when you don’t yet know that you even have the necessary firepower at the top of your roster to be a contender. Those assets need to be saved in case Murray doesn’t reach that level. Watching Keegan in year 3 may be the last data point McNair is waiting on before making that final decision.