Well put. Anyone who thinks they can accurately predict where these players will be in 3 years is kidding themselves. Doncic could well improve his level of defensive play. I know NBA people who think his offensive game will regress next year as players know his game better.
Couple of things here. And not trying to pick on you sactowndog, I do agree with plenty of your posts.
He may regress. Doubt it, but it's possible. Sillier still to think he won't learn from that year given how incredibly young he is. He's not at his peak. Nor near it. I don't care that he's not a freak athlete. A young 20 year old in his first NBA year is nowhere near his peak.
Second point. Let the record show that I was one of the few OK with taking Bagley ahead of him. Doncic was my first choice, but I could see the logic in Bagley. This goes back a year before the draft. Post history is there, so this is not personal. I think Marvin could be a multiple time all star and I will not be surprised to see that happen. Anything positive I say about Doncic has absolutely nothing to do with Marvin. Better believe it has everything to do with the absolute s**t I saw in "evaluation" of Doncic' prior to the draft. I'm European so I take it personal when people use my stereotypes to evaluate a player. It's ridiculous given how diverse Europe is (I have more in common with 70% of Americans than I do with Doncic) but that's how it goes. Still a lot of misconceptions out there about Euro players.
Three years from now this discussion could be completely different, and I absolutely hope it is. As long as the King's are successful, that's all I care about. That doesn't mean my posts have to be solely about the King's, or that I can't call out what I see as illogical posts about Doncic. I'm wrong plenty. People can hold me accountable, especially if my ego doesn't allow me to admit my mistake. Unfortunately others won't admit the same. Goalposts are frequently moved to save face.
Quick edit: apart from the opening line, the rest of my post was not aimed at sactowndog. Feel like we've been arguing the last few days and not my intention. Rest of my post is general, not specific to one poster. We all want the same thing at the end of the day.