Luka Doncic (pre and post-draft discussion thread)

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Here's the list of average athletes: Love, Curry(i'll give you him), Harden, Green, Thompson, and Aldridge. That's only 6/27, or 22% of the All-Stars this year that had average athleticism. That's a whooping 78% of all-stars who were at least above average athletes.
5 out of 6 of those average athletic players you just listed were playing for the championship or in the conference finals this year.

I'm pretty sure that skill is very, very important to win big in today's NBA.
 
5 out of 6 of those average athletic players you just listed were playing for the championship or in the conference finals this year.

I'm pretty sure that skill is very, very important to win big in today's NBA.
It seems the argument is getting made that Luka is the only skilled choice while Porter some raw athlete??? Thats not accurate. Luke is MORE skilled but Porter is still akilled and what he is skilled makes him a deadly scorer in the nba
Luka the better handker and distributur
Porter better scorer and probably be better defender and rebounder
Too bad we cant have both with Bamba
 
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It seems the argument is getting made that Luka is the only skilled choice while Porter some raw athlete??? Thats not accurate. Luke is MORE skilled but Porter is still akilled and what he is skilled makes him a deadly scorer in the nba
That's actually not the point. The point is that players that are multi NBA skilled can succeed in the NBA without needing to be uber athletic.

I never made any assertion that other players are not skilled. In fact, I do think MPJ could become an alpha scorer in the NBA.
 
In watching both MPJ and Luka play in full games on YouTube, here is what has stood out:
Luka
Positives
  1. Outstanding Passer
  2. Unreal in the Pick and Roll
  3. Great Grab and Go Player
  4. Winner
Negatives
  1. Will struggle to blow by defenders 1 v 1 until he becomes an elite shooter
  2. Will have trouble keeping 2's in front of him. He will have trouble with 3's with elite size

MPJ
Positives
  1. Elite Athletic Gifts
  2. Extreme elevation on his jumper
  3. Explosive in the open court
Negatives
  1. Very rarely uses is handle or athleticism to get to the basket.
  2. Lacks lower body strength
  3. Often passes only when driving lanes close. A necessity passer not a willing passer.
  4. Completely lost on help side defense. Too often hugging his man or very late on rotations or closeouts
To me Luka is the pick. His passing is his elite skill. He will move the ball and create shots for players the way Lonzo does, but it will be at a small forward position. Whatever he lacks athletically he will make up for with his intelligence. In time, I truly fill he will develop a consistent jumper.

With regards to MPJ, I think he has more potential, but athleticism will not matter if he doesn't use it to get past defenders. Ultimately, his back injury scares me to death. I think he will recover; however, that injury really limits the load an athlete can put on their back. That means he will have a hard time building leg strength.
 
The more I’ve been listening to podcasts about the draft and the prospects the more I want Luka. I’ve been regularly listening to 3 podcasts and everyone single one has Luka as the #1 prospect. I don’t understand why people are so scared of drafting him. It feels as if some kings fans are so used to getting the short end of the stick with everything that the one time we get into a position to draft an elite prospect they try to over analyze the kid and convince themselves that the kings should go into a diff direction. Everything I hear about Luka is that he will drastically change the culture of the franchise with his personality and passing ability. Someone said it best, there are 2 traits players can possess that can change a team’s culture: a charismatic elite passer or an elite defensive player. Let’s not get cute here. Luka is the pick.
 
The more I’ve been listening to podcasts about the draft and the prospects the more I want Luka. I’ve been regularly listening to 3 podcasts and everyone single one has Luka as the #1 prospect. I don’t understand why people are so scared of drafting him. It feels as if some kings fans are so used to getting the short end of the stick with everything that the one time we get into a position to draft an elite prospect they try to over analyze the kid and convince themselves that the kings should go into a diff direction. Everything I hear about Luka is that he will drastically change the culture of the franchise with his personality and passing ability. Someone said it best, there are 2 traits players can possess that can change a team’s culture: a charismatic elite passer or an elite defensive player. Let’s not get cute here. Luka is the pick.
Changing the teams culture with an elite defensive force would qualify as 'getting cute' ? Interesting wording.
 
Jaren Jackson most likely, but will Kings fans be patient enough to wait for his game to develop? Bamba I’m not really high on.
He compares favorably to Myles Turner and Serge Ibaka imo. Turner was good right away and Ibaka was pretty solid by year two. I don't think we'd have to wait to see a return on our investment.
 
Someone with Myles Turner/Serge Ibaka potential is not worth the 2nd pick
Prime Serge Ibaka is definitely worth the #2 pick imo. An elite defensive player and rim protector, jjj is way ahead of Serge in terms of his 3pt shot. Serge could've scored more in his best years at okc too probably but he didn't have to with Russ, harden, and Durant.
 
Prime Serge Ibaka is definitely worth the #2 pick imo. An elite defensive player and rim protector, jjj is way ahead of Serge in terms of his 3pt shot. Serge could've scored more in his best years at okc too probably but he didn't have to with Russ, harden, and Durant.
Prime Serge Ibaka on his own team isn't leading anyone to the playoffs. This #2 pick needs to be the guy. Not just a nice piece like Ibaka was.
 
Prime Serge Ibaka on his own team isn't leading anyone to the playoffs. This #2 pick needs to be the guy. Not just a nice piece like Ibaka was.
Can't force it dude, either the guy is there or he's not. Jjj would be a great piece, there's a legit unicorn big like him maybe once every couple years.
 
Serge Ibaka cant hold a candle next to Jaren Jackson in the ballskills dept. See 4:17 in this video for proof.


Ibaka was percieved as a 2nd rd pick by many til these weeks before the draft where hee solidified his 1st rd status.
 
Why wouldn't he be the primary ballhandler? He's done exceptionally well in that role for Real Madrid. The Steve Nash comparison SCKingsfan made above occurred to me too. In fact, the best comparisons for Doncic I can think of are point guards. He doesn't look like what we think of as a PG in the NBA but neither does Ben Simmons or Giannis or Lonzo Ball or James Harden. That position is changing. And I think most fans would agree that a player's level of success in that PG role has more to do with their ability to see the floor, get to the right spots without losing control of the ball, make pinpoint accurate passes from various angles with either hand, shoot off the dribble, and direct others players to where they need to be than it has to do with how athletic they are. The appeal with Doncic really comes down to whether you see him as a full-time playmaker or not because you're right, off the ball he's an athletically limited hybrid forward who doesn't have a great first step and his go-to move is a crossover to free up a step back jumper. That's a damn good player but maybe not a franchise guy. Then again, Dirk sure got a lot of mileage out of his funky one leg jumper.

I assume your problem with Doncic at PG is that you think he's redundant with Fox (correct me with I'm wrong here). If that's the case, I don't think it will be a problem. I've been watching De'Aaron Fox for a long time and as much as I love what he brings to the team, I also think he's more of a situational playmaker than a guy you expect to handle the ball on every play. He's your change of pace guard who's going to put pressure on the defense by attacking off the dribble and getting into seams and generally causing havoc. But a change of pace guard really only works when there's something else to change from. If you're pumping the accelerator all game long it kindof loses it's effectiveness.

This worked to perfection in Cleveland when Lebron and Kyrie were both healthy because you had Lebron running the offense from the wing but he could take a few plays off every now and then while Kyrie did his thing breaking down his defender with a few crossovers and putting some quick points on the board. You always have two other shooters spotted up from three -- usually that was K Love and JR Smith but they've rotated a whole fleet of veterans through those spots the last 4 years -- and then you've got your garbage man in the middle, usually Tristan Thompson, cleaning up the boards and making the other team's post scorer (if they even have one) work for their points. Sure right now it's easy to say that Fox and Doncic would be a very poor man's version of Kyrie and Lebron but we don't really know that do we? Next season they'll be 20 and 19 years old, respectively. Maybe Fox didn't blow the doors off the place as a rookie and Doncic has got an uphill climb coming in as a setup guy on a team without a #1 scorer but I don't think we need to build an entire team with one draft pick either. We can figure out what's not working and tweak it down the line.

I really think it's time to stop making draft decisions based on player comparisons. It almost always backfires. There is no Gordon Hayward in this draft or Rudy Gobert or Serge Ibaka (I don't even know who this is supposed to be related to -- Jackson?) so why bring up all these names at all? If those are my choices I'm going with Gobert but we don't draft established NBA players we draft kids who we hope will grow into good NBA players. It's not about which player comparison we like the best it's about which of these kids has the best chance to be a star in the NBA. There's always disagreement about that because it involves projecting into the future based on what limited information we have now. And I wouldn't worry all that much what other people think. Even if every other Kings fan is saying Doncic is the guy, if you strongly believe it's someone else, more power to you. Which if these guys do you strongly believe in?
Why are we getting caught up with Doncic playing pg? Does he have to? Is that the only way that he can be effective? He is best suited to guard larger wing players, let him play that position.
 

VF21

Super Moderator Emeritus
SME
The more I’ve been listening to podcasts about the draft and the prospects the more I want Luka. I’ve been regularly listening to 3 podcasts and everyone single one has Luka as the #1 prospect. I don’t understand why people are so scared of drafting him. It feels as if some kings fans are so used to getting the short end of the stick with everything that the one time we get into a position to draft an elite prospect they try to over analyze the kid and convince themselves that the kings should go into a diff direction. Everything I hear about Luka is that he will drastically change the culture of the franchise with his personality and passing ability. Someone said it best, there are 2 traits players can possess that can change a team’s culture: a charismatic elite passer or an elite defensive player. Let’s not get cute here. Luka is the pick.
I could not possibly agree more! We need to get this one right. We've waited too long to get in this position to outthink ourselves - and I believe any choice other that Luka - or maybe Bagley - would be doing exactly that. Drafting for potential at the #2 spot isn't something a team in our position can or should do, especially with no pick next year. Grab the BPA - which will be either Luka or Bagley - and walk out smiling.
 

bajaden

Hall of Famer
Serge Ibaka cant hold a candle next to Jaren Jackson in the ballskills dept. See 4:17 in this video for proof.


Ibaka was percieved as a 2nd rd pick by many til these weeks before the draft where hee solidified his 1st rd status.
I like Jackson quite a bit, which I've stated in the prospects forum. I think there's a lot more there than we've seen. In many ways, he's the most well rounded big man in the draft because he's skilled on both ends of the floor. Admittedly he's shown more highlights on the defensive side, but that's not his fault. If he had been featured more in Mich St's offense, we might have a different opinion of him. But most of the time he was something like the 3rd option, while at the same time, being the most efficient offensive player on the team.

Some of his limited minutes were his fault, but there were many games where he wasn't in foul trouble, and still only played 20 to 23 minutes. Not sure what Izzo was thinking, but it made no sense to me. All I know is that some team is going to get a very very good player when they draft Jackson.
 
Why are we getting caught up with Doncic playing pg? Does he have to? Is that the only way that he can be effective? He is best suited to guard larger wing players, let him play that position.
He should play some PG. He and Fox would be the best PG's on the team for a long time if he's the pick. I'd hopee he gets a chance to win the backup pg spot, along with his 20 something at forward.
 

bajaden

Hall of Famer
I could not possibly agree more! We need to get this one right. We've waited too long to get in this position to outthink ourselves - and I believe any choice other that Luka - or maybe Bagley - would be doing exactly that. Drafting for potential at the #2 spot isn't something a team in our position can or should do, especially with no pick next year. Grab the BPA - which will be either Luka or Bagley - and walk out smiling.
I think the Kings are down to a three man race between Doncic, Bagley, and Porter. I also believe that if the Kings can get Porter to agree to be examined by the Kings medical staff, and he passes with flying colors, he'll be the Kings pick. Make no mistake, the two most skilled players in this draft are Doncic and Porter, and if both are totally healthy, Porter can make a bigger difference than Doncic. Let me put it this way. Doncic has all star written all over him, and I would expect him to eventually be a regular visitor to the all star game. Porter, if healthy, has superstar written all over him, and I don't think Doncic will ever be a superstar.

Now that's just my opinion, but I've been following Porter for quite a while now, and all I can say is, that all the naysayers on this forum that portend to have knowledge of Porter from a negative point of view, have no idea what their talking about. Some say he can't pass. False! They say he has poor handles. False! They say he never attacks the basket. False! They say he's soft. False! They say he's arrogant. True, but every great athlete has some arrogance. If you don't think your better than every other player, then you'll never be great. That doesn't make him a bad teammate. Michael Jordan was arrogant, and so is Lebron. You want them on your team?

Now if Porter doesn't allow the Kings to see his real medical records, and be checked out by their medical staff, then I wouldn't touch him with a ten foot pole. Then it comes down to Doncic and Bagley. Doncic is more skilled than Bagley, but Bagley has a higher ceiling, and if, and its a big if, he can develop a consistent jumpshot, your again looking at a potential superstar. Do the Kings need to come away with a superstar. No! But they do need to come away with a very good basketball player that fits what the team is doing. There's no doubt that Doncic fits that description.

So in my opinion, Doncic is the safe pick. I don't think you can go wrong, and superstar or not, he might be the difference maker the Kings need. Porter and Bagley both have some risk attached to them, but the reward could be higher. Both players are players with the potential to singlehandedly carry a team to a win. Doncic did that at times for Real Madrid, but most of the time, he was the motor that kept that team running. By the way, the Spanish league is the 2nd best basketball league in the world, and college basketball doesn't come close to comparing. On a scale of one to ten, the NBA is a ten, the Spanish league is an eight, and college basketball is about a five. Doncic dominated in that league at 18 years of age.

I'll be happy with any of those three players, and I trust the Kings to do their due diligence. If they choose Porter, then I have to believe that they feel his back won't be a problem. If they choose Bagley, then after working him out, they saw more there than he was allowed to display at Duke. From a personal point of view, I wish they would bring JJJ in for a look see. He really intrigues me. I'd hate to see them overlook someone with that much potential.
 

bajaden

Hall of Famer
Why are we getting caught up with Doncic playing pg? Does he have to? Is that the only way that he can be effective? He is best suited to guard larger wing players, let him play that position.
I wouldn't get caught up in semantic's. Where he plays on offense doesn't preclude him from defending a different position on defense. In a way, having Doncic, Fox, and Bogdanovic on the floor together is like having three PG's on the floor, all a little bit different from one another. Makes the team harder to defend.
 

bajaden

Hall of Famer
I know there are quite a few people that like Bamba for the Kings. And to be clear, I also like Bamba, but not at number two. I think Bamba has tremendous potential, but I think his bust potential almost matches his plus potential. Of all the top players, Bamba is more of a one trick pony than any of the others. By that, I mean he's really only great at one thing, and that's blocking shots, with emphasis on the word GREAT! If your honest in you judgement, you'll agree with me. That's not to say he's not capable of doing other things, he's just not great at any of those things.

He has yet to prove he can shoot the ball from beyond 8 feet. Practice highlights won't convince me, I have to see it in a game. He has yet to prove he can put the ball on the floor and attack the basket when guarded. He has shown no passing instincts at all, and is extremely slow to make offensive reads. He doesn't have a creative post game. I put it that way, to separate a one on one post up against a defender from an alley oop, an offensive put back, or a basket from running the floor on a break. In otherwords, a skilled post up move versus a chippy.

That's not to say he can't become good at all those things. But folks, that's a lot of if's for the 2nd pick in the draft. And, it's going to take time, and, it may never happen. Yeah, I know, he's a smart guy. But I know a lot of smart guys that can't build a campfire, or change a tire. Just being smart won't get it done. I think you have to have some natural instincts for the game, and I'm not sure that Bamba does. I hope for his sake, and the sake of the team that drafts him that he does. I hope I'm dead wrong about him. Especially if he becomes a King.
 

bajaden

Hall of Famer
Im not a believer that masons more than a 3rd string pg, im not a fan of sub-6foot PGs. I want them to sign Cory Joseph as a backup if it isnt addressed in the draft.
Well, the smiley face mean't I was joking. And, while I like Mason's toughness, I do question his BBIQ at times. His determination to drive into traffic and get his shot blocked drove me nuts at times. So I agree that he's far from the ideal backup PG, and he's likely only holding down the fort until a better one can be found. I do like Jevon Carter quite a bit, although he's only a little taller than Mason. Another guy I like is Landry Shamet. Both are good defenders at the college level, especially Carter, and both can shoot and pass. Wouldn't object to Joseph though.
 
Can't force it dude, either the guy is there or he's not. Jjj would be a great piece, there's a legit unicorn big like him maybe once every couple years.
I hear ya, I'm just saying the type of unicorn Ibaka is/was isn't as valuable as the guy Doncic could turn into. If Doncic is the #1 guy, you'd only need Fox or Buddy to become a legit #2 option and you'd have a good shot at the playoffs. If you take JJJ and he's Ibaka, you need a few pieces to really turn into good players because that skill set isn't something that leads teams to the playoffs. It just makes good teams even better.
 
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