I agree...I can't get excited about him. None of the guys at ten are very exciting though and we have to take someone there.
There's a situation in which the #10 pick gets moved and it could play out like this.
In Chad Ford's (Fraud's) column he revealed his Tier System which is result of polling GMs and scouts. I put more stock in this than his opinions since he's getting anonymous feedback from decision makers. There are 10 players total in Tier 1 and Tier 2. Tier 1 is potential superstars (Fultz Ball). Tier 2 is potential all-stars:
De'Aaron Fox, PG, Fr., Kentucky
Jonathan Isaac, F, Fr., Florida State
Josh Jackson, G/F, Fr., Kansas
Lauri Markkanen, PF, Fr., Arizona
Malik Monk, G, Fr., Kentucky
Frank Ntilikina, PG, France
Dennis Smith, PG, Fr., North Carolina State
Jayson Tatum, F, Fr., Duke
This is the most players ever in Tier 2 in all years he has been doing this! This is a super strong draft by this standard. I am going to set aside for a moment whether I agree with this tiering (I don't), and presume for a moment these will be Top 10 players selected based on the general consensus. This is a broad presumption based on "expecting the unexpected" but let's just go with it for now....
I don't think Frank N is going before Monk or Smith. I don't see it. I have scouted this kid and his body of work is not that impressive. His handles are weak. His speed and quickness is suspect. He has nice shot and length but I don't see this guy playing major minutes for at least a season and a half. He needs a lot of seasoning. So you are telling me he is going to get picked over Monk or Smith, the latter player I don't even like?! I don't think so.
The next thing that needs to be mentioned is I think the Mavs are bluffing so hard and fake in regards to Lauri M. I think they are dying to land this kid as Dirk replacement. Dirk can mentor this kid, put him under his wing, teach him his tricks before he hangs up his sneakers. Lauri has the size, shooting stroke and balance of a young Dirk. He's soft but so too was Dirk when he came into the league.
So if you buy these premises partially or fully that (1) two tiers consisting of Top 10 players (2) Frank N is the least appealing guard (3) Mavs are salivating to draft Lauri, then it is highly conceivable the draft could play out something like this:
(1) Celts - Fultz
(2) Lakers - Jackson
(3) 76ers - Ball
(4) Suns - Isaac
(5) Kings - Fox
(6) Magic - Smith
(7) Wolves - Tatum
(8) Knicks - Monk
(9) Mavs - Lauri M
(10) Kings - ????
Doh!!!! We just drafted our franchise PG at #5 and now the one remaining player in Top 10 and Tier 2 is a guy I don't think we particularly want or need. In this scenario, we are in quandary. I assume Vlade has a viable plan in the event this plays out. We can reach for Zach Collins (ugh), OG Anunoby (too high), or Donovan Mitchell. In latter case, we get a player I like but our SF void remains unfilled. I think if the draft plays out like this we should offer the #10 to a team that loves Collins or Frank N. for a sweet haul. Perhaps we could offer the #10 to POR for #15 and #20 if we can get OG Anunoby at #15 then Semi Ojelye at #20 to back-up Skal? I haven't watched him much but Semi reminds me of Draymond. The bottom line is if whether we get our PG at #5 I don't think we are getting Lauri M at #10. The Mavs will see to that if not a team drafting before them. Lauri M would be the one player I think I would be comfortable taking at #10 if we land Fox as a space creating 4/5. If we land Isaac at #5 then I would be in favor of drafting Lauri or Donovan at #10. Drafting Fox and Donovan would be not ideal with our glaring need at SF. Unless we are signing Otto Porter to a max or bringing Allen Crabbe into our cap space, I don't think we should spend the #5 and #10 on a PG and a potential PG. It would be a misuse of assets.
There's one potential problem worth mentioning with trading 2:1, that is, #10 for #15 and #20 (or something like this) and players on rookie cost-controlled contracts. We'd be running out of open roster spots and have up to $60 million dollar to spend. I think we'd be down to 2-3 open roster spots with a lot of unspent dollars. This will have to be sorted out after the draft or perhaps draft day deal.