the problem is, 41-45 wins and a playoff berth (or even a near-playoff miss) is fast becoming an unlikely event this season. the schedule was tough and road-heavy to kick things off, and there are the growing pains of a new coach and a bevy of new players to consider, but the kings have already dropped a number of winnable games against beatable opponents, and they've put themselves in the kind of hole that can be hard for any perennial loser to crawl out of. we're only 18 games into the season, but for the sake of perspective, the kings would still need to go 34-30 the rest of the way to get to 41 wins. that's a .531 win percentage, and while it's certainly not impossible for this particular construction of players to compete at such a level, the margin for error/injury is very small just so they can hit that mark.
now, in the event of a disappointing 2016-2017, i suppose the kings could still wait it out another year, and stave off a cousins trade until the deadline in 2018, but that's an awfully big risk to take, and beyond its unlikelihood, what's the upside? if the kings win 35 games this season, what's going to put them over .500 and into the playoffs next season? would continuity be enough? if so, that means you have to invest further into the mediocre and aging veteran talent that the kings have on the roster, with bogdan bogdanovich and another likely lottery pick to squeeze somewhere into the equation, as well as the hope for a speedy development of players like cauley-stein, labissiere, and papagiannis, none of whom look close to ready for the big time. in short, it's a lethal mixture of underwhelming knowns and overwhelming unknowns, and maybe vlade's ballsy enough to roll that dice, but it's also the kind of gamble that could get him fired.
demarcus cousins is insanely loyal to this franchise for reasons that remain incomprehensible to me, given the dysfunction he's had to endure and the inconsistent support he's received from both the kings organization and kings fans alike. and perhaps the mere glimmer of hope (and a billboard promising to mow his lawn) would be enough to convince him to stay. but again, what's the upside? how are the kings going to upgrade their woefully insufficient roster in time to compete for a championship during cousins' prime? free agency is almost always a bust for this small market backwater with a deeply-embedded culture of losing. trade assets are far and few between on this roster. and its just so hard to imagine that the kings could come away with a draft pick who is ready to make an immediate impact, considering their typical draft position and the encumbrances placed on some of their future first rounders.
all of that said, my honest assessment is simple: the kings f***ed the dog, and they did it across two ownership groups, three gm's, at least four first round draft picks, who knows how many total players, six head coaches, and six full seasons of demarcus cousins' career. on talent alone, demarcus is the single most impressive sacramento king to ever put on the jersey. i love him, and nothing would make me happier than to watch this team return to glory with big cuz leading the charge. i just don't see how it can happen, and if cousins continues to thrive in what has so far been his most impressive season ever while the kings continue to underachieve as a team, then i think you have to sell high when the trade deadline approaches. cousins is the only worthwhile asset in the kings' arsenal. they've got nothing else. he could easily net them the foundational pieces for a legitimate rebuild. and while i, personally, have very little enthusiasm for another rebuilding process, i'm also not sure that there's another reasonable option.
after the golden 1 center's honeymoon phase ends, i think it's safe to say that fans aren't going to want to keep filling those seats as season after season that begins with playoff aspirations eventually sinks into sub-.500 mediocrity. it's certainly not demarcus' fault by a long shot, but at a certain point, you do have to start over, even if it seems downright sacrilege to trade away the most talented player in franchise history.