I said this in another thread but how many people saw the Hawks in 2013-2014 and thought
Horford
Millsap
Carroll
Korver
Teague
That will be a 60 win team in two years. Even optimistic Hawks fans thought Carroll wasn't good enough to be a starting small forward. Heck, the guys over at Peachtree Hoops didn't even mention him in their
season preview. Most NBA predictions from that year had the Hawks missing the playoffs with some listing them as a 7th or 8th seed and very occasionally a 6th. No one thought Carroll would be a player for them. Grantland speculated that Ferry assembled that roster not to win games but to get guys on value contracts so he could make trades.
In short, that didn't look like a lineup that could win or that would even stay together. But they were built for Budenholzer and after a disappointing first season, mostly due to Horford missing games, they were the best in the East the next year.
I'm not saying the talent levels are equal, but Cousins is a bigger talent than anyone on that squad and Collison/Afflalo/Gay/Cauley-Stein compare favorably as a supporting cast.
I was also recently rereading this article:
http://www.sbnation.com/nba/2015/2/...gs-lineup-starters-ty-corbin-demarcus-cousins
Which showed that statistically the Kings starting lineup two seasons ago was one of the best in the NBA under Malone and then Corbin.
Collison
McLemore
Gay
Thompson
Cousins
If no additional moves are made the Kings next season would start:
Collison
Afflalo
Gay
Cauley-Stein
Cousins
Seems like an upgrade at two spots and two additional years of growth from Cousins would make that even better. And what was the conclusion of Tom Ziller's piece as to why the starting five was so good but the team was still bad?
- Terrible Bench
- Lack of defenders on the roster
- Poor coaching decisions (he mentions Corbin, not Malone here)
- Cousins playing himself out of games (Ziller references foul trouble but I'd add letting frustration take him out of plays hurts too)
Now, it sure seems like those first three have been taken care of. Sessions, Stauskas, DWill and the twin duplexes of Evans and Landry proved to be a historically inefficient bench. There are definitely more defensive players on the team now and more size. And we have to think (hope?) Joerger is a better coach than Corbin and probably also Malone.
Whether Cousins grows up some and stops arguing calls, loafing on defense when frustrated, making silly fouls and not holding himself accountable for all those things that hurt his team is up to him. But do I think this team can win 40+ games? Yeah, why not? They won 33 games last season when the team apparently gave up on Karl and defense seemed like something other teams did. They had a five game win streak that put them briefly into the 8th spot and near .500 on the season and then immediately went 5-17 over the next 22 games to fall out of contention before shutting down most of their players to finish the season.
Most of my optimism right now comes from a clear emphasis on defense, size and length as well as the prospect of better coaching, more cohesion and hopefully a lack of drama.
I'm still hoping for/expecting a trade or trades to finish reshaping the roster but even if there aren't any other moves, this team's starting five has shown itself to be pretty solid, the bench is better than the last two seasons and I think we all expect better results than what happened under Karl.