Yahoo: AccuScore season preview: Kings (Yahoo! Sports)

[Revrag]

SEASON FORECAST BASED ON 10,000 SIMULATED SEASONS TEAM TOTALS W L PS PA WIN DIVISION PLAYOFFS Sacramento Kings...

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[Sptsjunkie]

I agree with their overall assessment of where we will finish. However, I wonder how they decided to distribute minutes. Jason Thompson doesn't even finish in our top 11 or register and stats and Spencer Hawes averages 4 and 3 (which seems to defy all logic, even for those posters who don't like him). I'd have to imagine that even before the season completley falls apart that JT will see at least 10 minutes a game and Hawes 20-25. They seem to think Mikki is going to play 35-40 MPG. I can only hope not.

 

[SkinnerBox]

And John Salmons sucks all of a sudden? The guy averaged over 20 points when he started. I tend to think he's our second option on offense.

 

[Capt. Factorial]

I find that with analyses like these, you rarely get more than what you paid for.

 

[Kings Faithful]

I think this is bogus...I think 109 pa is slightly steep, and Martin is going to score more than 22 ppg...more like 27. Salmons will average around the 15 ppg mark...udrih might average around 14 ppg. Just because they say they simulated the season over 10,000 times doesnt mean that its going to be anything close to what happens, if their system is crap (which it is by looking at the ppg's) the first time, multiplying crap by 10,000 doesn't make it accurate all of a sudden.

 

[Bricklayer]

The problem with most computer sims like is that they are only as accurate as the player ratings that are inputted into them. And all too often that basically means they end up replaying LAST season rather than the next one. In this case it seems pretty obvious that the computer is just parroting the production of our players from what they did last year and projecting it out over the season. Hence John averaged 12 last year, so therefore he will do it again next year. Spencer does not improve, Kevin gets no more shots etc. It also does not appear to be making any allowances for injuries, as an eyeball check seems to make the total of all our players averages very close to being equal to out team total points per game, which is not how it works. Because of injuries, your players' averages always add up to something more than your team average (if you lose your 20ppg scorer for 20 games, then those 20ppg get spread out amongst the rest of the team until he gets back, inflating their numbers above where they would be if you were totally healthy). And because injuries do not seem to be accounted for, a number of guy's numbers are artifically deflated.

Actual preseason stats BTW were:
Points For: 96.3
Points Opp: 105.8