Sacramento Monarchs
Obviously protected: Rebekkah Brunson, Nicole Powell
Short list, but those are the only absolute definites I see. Ticha Penicheiro is an UFA again but was left un-cored last offseason because they were so confident that she wouldn't sign anywhere else. That probably would have been the case again, but with the potential new rule and the shocking scarcity of point guards in the WNBA, they may well feel the need to protect her. Yolanda Griffith may retire and probably would be pushed further towards that move if Atlanta tried to bring her over, so there’s no real need to protect her.
DeMya Walker is an UFA with a blown-out knee - she'll probably be protected and cored because of the value she still holds, but just leaving her off the list wouldn't be entirely unreasonable. That may well leave only two spots to cover Kara Lawson, Chelsea Newton, Kristin Haynie, Scholanda Robinson, Adrian Williams and La'Tangela Atkinson. Lawson and Newton will probably both be protected, the former because she is so valuable to the Monarchs and the latter because her loss was felt so strongly when she was taken from Sacramento in the last expansion draft (she later returned in a trade). Williams is probably an UFA and might be re-signed but is unlikely to be protected. Haynie was protected ahead of Newton last time around, a situation which could repeat itself, but I doubt they’ll make the same mistake twice. Robinson and Atkinson are reasonable backups in Sacramento but there just isn’t room.
Probable other protected players: Penicheiro, Walker, Lawson, Newton.
Pick: Haynie, I suppose. She had a poor season last year, but point guards are hard to find. I’ve tried to look at each roster on an individual basis, but this pick may depend on the player left available by Connecticut. If Atlanta gets Carey or Phillips to run its offense, they could decide they don’t need Haynie. If the Monarchs find a way to open another spot and protect Haynie (by deciding either Walker or Penicheiro is ‘safe’ to leave unprotected) then I’d take Atkinson over Robinson.