on all the draft boards pre draft ive seen bagley was either 2 or 3, doubt he would have been available 2-3 spots later. also i recently posted a summary of draft boards couple of weeks beford the draft and Luka was anywhere from 2-5. that cannot all be contributed to the board publishers trying to be correct given some rumblings Kings were gonna pick Bagley. and also there was no complete outrage and bad grades by the talking heads post draft that would suggest Vlade went against some clear consensus. I was as dissapointed as anyone when it happened, but what I remember pre draft does not match the descriptions of a clear no brainer everyone agrees scenario where Vlade does the opposite..
I think we've talked about this before but in the last 2-3 weeks before the draft I started seeing Bagley jump up to #2 on most of the draft boards because it was really no secret that's who the Kings wanted. Multiple media outlets were reporting that and suddenly Grant/Doug had a fascination with Bagley on the radio (prior to that they had been infatuated with Michael Porter). Google search mock drafts from June right before the draft and they're much different than the ones in the Spring.
I just went through 9 Mock Drafts from late April and May 2018 and Bagley appeared as the #2 Pick in 2 of the 9. Luka was the #1 or #2 Overall Pick in 7 of the 9. Again this was in late April and early May.
Bagley was #3 in most of the mocks where Ayton and Doncic went 1/2. I don't think ATL would have taken Bagley at #3 since they loved Trae so much. I think that means Bagley would have gone #4 or #5 had the Kings taken [REDACTED] at #2.