Rubio or Griffin?

[Gary]

I think the Kings are eying Rubio anyway, so #1 or #2 does not matter. Every other team out there will take Griffin. So we have a 45% chance (I think) to get a top 2, and Rubio.

 

[Capt. Factorial]

I think the Kings are eying Rubio anyway, so #1 or #2 does not matter. Every other team out there will take Griffin. So we have a 45% chance (I think) to get a top 2, and Rubio.

I think the odds will be pretty close to 50% that Rubio will be present at our pick:
25% #1, will be present 100% = 25%
21.5% #2, will be present 100% = 21.5%
17.7% #3, will be present 20% = 3.5%
35.8% #4, will be present 5% = 1.8%
Total = 51.8%

(Roughly. I could add in the hundredths place. )

 

[HighTopKicks]

I think the odds will be pretty close to 50% that Rubio will be present at our pick:
25% #1, will be present 100% = 25%
21.5% #2, will be present 100% = 21.5%
17.7% #3, will be present 20% = 3.5%
35.8% #4, will be present 5% = 1.8%
Total = 51.8%

(Roughly. I could add in the hundredths place. )

I believe we as Kings fans because of our need for a starting PG over estimate his ranking to the rest of the lottery teams. First, not every team needs a PG. Wash, OKC, Memphis, Charl, & Milwawkee might not even want a PG.

Secondly, people are underestimating Thabeets value. Look at the 2010 mock drafts. Jerome Jordan is the only 7 ft center listed in the college rank by DX. Then check NBAdrafts' listing of the top seniors entering college. There isn't one player in the top 40 over 6'10". And, the euroleague has three 7 footers listed in the 2010 mock draft, but 2 are late 2nd rounders.

Thabeet may be the only legit 7ft center in the next 3 NBA drafts. So, I'm guessin that more than half the teams in the lottery will look very hard and long at Thabeet before they pick a 18yr PG who's putting up less then stellar numbers in the Euroleague.

IMHO, if Petrie gets #1 he does the smart thing and takes Griffin. Since we have about a 21% chance of getting #2, a 9% chance he's available at #3 (17.7%/2 since half the teams will take someone else), and there's a 10% chance he's still available at #4, my guess is that we have a 25% chance of getting Griffin and a 40% chance of getting Rubio.

 

[TheFifthMookie]

I voted Rubio because his highlight reel was cooler.

Obviously there's a reason I'm not "President of basketball operations".

 

[KF8]

I voted Rubio because his highlight reel was cooler.

Obviously there's a reason I'm not "President of basketball operations".

haha well at least u are honest bout it

 

[PurpleHaze]

I was on the fence a bit in this poll, but went with Ricky Rubio. My final reasoning was if we don't get Blake Griffin, we better get Rubio. If we end up with #3 or #4 and Rubio is gone I'll finally be convinced with not the slightest of doubts the Kings are a permanently jinxed franchise. GO RICKY! GO KINGS!!

 

[PurpleHaze]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/scott_howard-cooper/04/29/rubio.notes/index.html

SI: 'Inside the NBA' sees Griffin #1 no matter who get pick unless Rubio wows big-time in pre-draft workouts.

 

[Kingster]

I think the odds will be pretty close to 50% that Rubio will be present at our pick:
25% #1, will be present 100% = 25%
21.5% #2, will be present 100% = 21.5%
17.7% #3, will be present 20% = 3.5%
35.8% #4, will be present 5% = 1.8%
Total = 51.8%

(Roughly. I could add in the hundredths place. )

The weird thing is that we have less than a 50-50 chance to get Rubio even if he is the second pick. In other words, we have to luck out to get him.