Major builders invited to review Cal Expo arema plan

Ryan

I like turtles
#1
Major builders invited to review Cal Expo arena plan
By Tony Bizjak
tbizjak@sacbee.com

Tuesday, Jun. 23, 2009
Sacramento Bee
http://www.sacbee.com/ourregion/story/1968520.html



Saying they want outside advice on whether their arena plan at Cal Expo makes sense, Expo officials on Monday mailed letters to 14 developers around the country, inviting them to Sacramento next month to look the site over and offer an opinion.

"We're saying, 'Let's find out from the real world if this project is feasible,' " Cal Expo's Brian May said. "Are we on the right track?"

Nearly two years into discussions, Cal Expo and the National Basketball Association have put together a concept for revamping the state-owned site with a new, modern fairground and a new arena for the Sacramento Kings.

The tentative strategy envisions teaming with a private developer who would finance and build the new fairground and arena.

In exchange, that developer would be allowed to lease a large part of the existing Cal Expo site to build a mixed-use community, likely with housing, offices, hotels, restaurants and stores.

But consultants hired by Cal Expo and the NBA disagree over whether the plan is financially feasible for a developer, and Expo officials haven't figured out if it would be a money-maker or money-loser for the state.

Amid that uncertainty – and a sour economy – Cal Expo and NBA representatives said it is time to get some expert opinions before they commit to moving forward.

Letters were mailed Monday to seven California development firms, including Sacramento-based Fulcrum Property.

Also on the list was the A.G. Spanos Co. of Stockton, as well as major developers in Los Angeles, Dallas, New York, Chicago and Minneapolis.

NBA representative John Moag described the invitees as heavy hitters.

"The purpose is to go to people who have had experience doing big projects, who can relate to what we are talking about," Moag said. "What do they think of the design? The economics?"

Sacramento Kings officials have underwritten part of the effort, and team co-owner Joe Maloof recently said team officials are very interested in seeing how it works out.

He declined to say whether the team would consider leaving town if the Cal Expo deal fails.

The NBA's Moag, however, said he believes the effort needs to make significant progress by next spring.

"It's no secret this team is financially challenged in a very big way right now, and the bleeding has to stop sooner than later," Moag said. "(Team owners) have said they need to see by March 2010 that there is light at the end of the tunnel."

March is the annual NBA deadline for teams to request permission to move to a new city that year.

Moag said he wants by next spring "to have a developer in hand that is willing to pay an amount sufficient to subsidize an arena."

Cal Expo officials said Monday they are hoping at least four invitees will visit Sacramento in mid-July, at private expense, to meet with a local panel about the plan.

That panel includes representatives from the state, the NBA, and the city and county of Sacramento.

Expo board member Marko Mlikotin has challenged the issuance of the letters, saying the board hasn't formally decided yet how it wants the site redeveloped, or whether an arena should even be part of the plan.
 
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Nikefutbolero

Guest
#2
"It's no secret this team is financially challenged in a very big way right now, and the bleeding has to stop sooner than later," Moag said. "(Team owners) have said they need to see by March 2010 that there is light at the end of the tunnel."

March is the annual NBA deadline for teams to request permission to move to a new city that year.
and people say they're not considering moving the team if nothing gets done..
 

VF21

Super Moderator Emeritus
SME
#3
I don't think anyone has said they wouldn't CONSIDER moving the team if nothing gets done. I think what most are saying is there's a chicken little mentality around here sometimes that puts the cart before the horse on a regular basis ... Almost as though they want to be the first harbinger of doom.

And remember, this article was written by the Sacramento Bee. That particular line of text has been used in innumerable articles about the arena proposal.
 
N

Nikefutbolero

Guest
#4
This is from another forum I frequent.

A national developer with which I am very familiar and has analyzed the plan sees this as a non-starter.

At a micro level - The plan's retail and residential projections appear to to be grossly optimistic. Difficult to get the numbers they're talking about downtown, let alone what is essentially a suburban location. The huge office component will most likely merely siphon off from Point West, not create new absorption that might be willing to pay higher lease rates. It just doesn't appear that the projected numbers can possibly me attained.

Macro - There simply isn't going to be many large-scale private projects built for quite awhile. The markets are not loosening and fed policy is going in the wrong direction effectively freezing the credit markets. To make this project work you would need a giant contribution from the NBA (at least a quarter bil.) and significant infrastructure contributions from the state. Neither are likely for the foreseeable future. The phasing puts all of your expensive portions (arena, exhibit hall) up front and the revenue stream projected from these is, once again, pretty darn rosie. You would also need a significant equity contribution from the developer (perhaps nine figures). The return required from any developer to justify that risk will be staggering and far beyond what the Cal Expo board could likely accept.

The Gruen & Gruen analysis I believe is the far more realistic. And it isn't optimistic.

As much as I want this to happen, I just don't see it.
 
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#5
^ This analysis makes sense. I would hail it as a miracle if they get this arena deal to look feasible in this economic climate. I don't even see this happening unless the Kings win 50+ games and crazy fans vote this thing into action with taxpayer money.

Then again, there's also overseas money, I don't know of any foreign investors currently interested in an arena here, but it's probably not that far fetched (see: Cleveland).