Kings Playoff Standings Watch!!!
- Thread starter Rain man
- Start date
And guess when we play the Blazers in that back to back set! In 6 games!
So we're absolutely hoping Portland loses as much as possible so they shut Dame down. I think we want Nuggets wins as well so they don't feel pressure to play any of their starters the final game of the year with the conference wrapped up.
Kings schedule, especially if POR shuts down Dame for those 2 games, really isn't difficult the rest of the way:
BOS
PHX
@Dal
GSW
Everything else the Kings should be heavily favored in to win.
They were damned determined not to let him get the ball. Then they fouled him twice before the eventual pass to Kleba.
In hindsight, I’m glad Kleba got the ball and made the shot, but Kyrie, due to all the contact, totally missed a teammate alone under the basket.
And, yes, I agree with you. #77 probably takes the shot no matter what.
In hindsight, I’m glad Kleba got the ball and made the shot, but Kyrie, due to all the contact, totally missed a teammate alone under the basket.
And, yes, I agree with you. #77 probably takes the shot no matter what.
That's possible. They are effectively out of the play-in race. Making up 2.5 games is not easy at this stage. Plus, they need to jump 3 teams, which will need multiple pieces to fall their way.
OTOH, they closest competition for similar record is from multiple teams in the East, who are still vying for the play in spots. Pacers and Wizards, who are just a game ahead of them in the loss column, are just 0.5 game out of the final play in spot. So, they won't actively tank.
Trouble is Blazers don't gain much by tanking. The closest team below them in terms of losses (Magic) have 3 more losses than them. So, unless one or both of Pacers/Wizards go in a fall, Blazers have no incentive to actively lose.
OTOH, they closest competition for similar record is from multiple teams in the East, who are still vying for the play in spots. Pacers and Wizards, who are just a game ahead of them in the loss column, are just 0.5 game out of the final play in spot. So, they won't actively tank.
Trouble is Blazers don't gain much by tanking. The closest team below them in terms of losses (Magic) have 3 more losses than them. So, unless one or both of Pacers/Wizards go in a fall, Blazers have no incentive to actively lose.
Wonderful work as always Cap but something seems off with these 4 teams. If nothing else the Thunder and Lakers should be a half game ahead each of UTA and NOP (respectively) and in the play-in if the season finished today, and the 36 loss teams and 37 loss teams should share the same magic numbers?
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This is the correct answer, @pdxKingsFan . Owning the tiebreaker is worth one game in the magic number.
If we finish tied with Memphis we will win the tiebreaker. If they end up with a better conference record than us then they will definitely have a better record. But, if we are tied in the overall standings then there is no way they can have a better conference record. Neither team has enough Eastern conference games left for there to be any scenario where we are tied in the overall but Memphis is better on conference.
so for purposes of this analysis, we own the tiebreaker against Memphis.
so for purposes of this analysis, we own the tiebreaker against Memphis.
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Timberwolves are one of the scarier lower mid-lower bracket teams that would be especially tough for the Kings I think as a first opponent. Suns won't be lower bracket, and could still catch the kings though its getting harder.
The Kings will almost certainly eliminate POR, LAL, OKC, and NOP. Mostly none those teams are winning all 11 or 12 of their games. They will effectively do the Kings work for them, or put it in a different way, Kings have already eliminated them with the Kings with their current record.
Kings win their next 2 games against Wizards and Jazz, and they would 'only' need to go 6-5 their final 11 games to make 50 wins. The Suns game is the largest single game left on the calendar by a large amount, followed by Mavs, Warriors, and Nuggets maybe in that order.
GSW vs MEM - want Warriors to win at least today.
The Kings will almost certainly eliminate POR, LAL, OKC, and NOP. Mostly none those teams are winning all 11 or 12 of their games. They will effectively do the Kings work for them, or put it in a different way, Kings have already eliminated them with the Kings with their current record.
Kings win their next 2 games against Wizards and Jazz, and they would 'only' need to go 6-5 their final 11 games to make 50 wins. The Suns game is the largest single game left on the calendar by a large amount, followed by Mavs, Warriors, and Nuggets maybe in that order.
GSW vs MEM - want Warriors to win at least today.
This is correct, since the last time I checked the results have come out such that now the Kings will have a better conference record than the Grizzlies if both teams tie. However, conference record is technically the second tiebreaker, as the first tiebreaker will be taken by a division winner, if not all teams are division winners. Since it is still possible for the Kings and Grizzlies to tie, for the Grizz to win the Southwest, and for the Kings NOT to win the Pacific, Memphis is still alive in the tiebreaker. I will update accordingly.
Edit: I also went through and found that in the unlikely event of a tie with either Portland or Minnesota, the Kings will lose the tiebreaker on conference record, and have updated those. The Jazz tiebreaker could still go either way, for now...
Edit: I also went through and found that in the unlikely event of a tie with either Portland or Minnesota, the Kings will lose the tiebreaker on conference record, and have updated those. The Jazz tiebreaker could still go either way, for now...
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To be fair, beating LA does always seem to give a little extra joy, no? 