2008 championship odds

[mcsluggo]

[q]
Here are the current odds to win the '08 championship, according to the Luxor (as of July 3, 2007):

Odds To Win The 2008 Title

Team Odds
Dallas Mavericks 7-2
San Antonio Spurs 7-2
Phoenix Suns 4-1
Miami Heat 8-1
Cleveland Cavaliers 10-1
Chicago Bulls 12-1
Detroit Pistons 15-1
Houston Rockets 15-1
Utah Jazz 15-1
Denver Nuggets 20-1
New Jersey Nets 22-1
Golden State Warriors 22-1
Toronto Raptors 25-1
Washington Wizards 28-1
Los Angeles Lakers 30-1
Portland Trail Blazers 30-1
Seattle SuperSonics 30-1
Indiana Pacers 35-1
Los Angeles Clippers 35-1
Orlando Magic 40-1
New Orleans Hornets 45-1
Sacramento Kings 50-1
Milwaukee Bucks 60-1
Minnesota Timberwolves 75-1
Boston Celtics 80-1
Charlotte Bobcats 80-1
New York Knicks 80-1
Philadelphia 76ers 100-1
Atlanta Hawks 150-1
Memphis Grizzlies 150-1


http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/200...vations/2.html
[/q]



anyone wanna explain to me why the kings are viewed as 3 times more likely to win it all than Memphis?

Vlade4GM[/URL]] vbmenu_register("postmenu_471067", true);

The griz seem to know what they're doing.

C Milicic
PF Gasol
SF Gay
SG Miller/Kinsey
PG Conley/Lowry

That is a very promising young team. Not too bad for dropping 3 spots in the lottery.

 

[Bricklayer]

After you get past the top 7 or 8 those odds are all a joke anyway. I'll eat my hat if the Wizards win the title next year. 28-1 indeed. And the Hawks? At 150-1? How many gadzillion times would you have to replay the season to get that result? A helluva lot more than 150 let me tell you. Maybe they are factoring in mythological moves that could be made and hedging their bets in case KG suddenly shows up in one of those towns or some such. Not that they don't have the town/team KG is currently on mysteriously below the Kings too.

 

[nbrans]

50-1?

So you're telling me there's a chance....

 

[mcsluggo]

uh......




no.

 

[pdxKingsFan]

anyone wanna explain to me why the kings are viewed as 3 times more likely to win it all than Memphis?

My guess is that Sacramento has a stronger fan base and due to their proximity to Vegas they take a payout hit because more fans are just as likely to make the bet at 50-1 as 150-1. It protects the casino just in case a miracle happens. Meanwhile the casino knows the Grizzlies won't win either but they aren't as attractive so they pump the odds a bit.

The bottom line is its all about the bottom line - when you get to long odds it has more to do with making the bet profitably enticing for the casino than actual probability.

 

[kingzzzfan4ever]

What the? The Indiana Pacers have a better chance to win the '08 Championship than the Kings? No way.

 

[supamari0]

What the? The Indiana Pacers have a better chance to win the '08 Championship than the Kings? No way.

They play in the eastern conference. Virtually any team there has a better chance. It's what you get when you play in the JV division.

 

[JoMama]

In the category of jumping the gun before all the facts are even gathered, NBAdraft.net already has the 2008 mock draft on its home page!