Did any of you who thought Knight was the best pick think he would fall to the 7th pick? I thought it was a good trade at least in trading down. Not so sure about Salmons but he's now a King again and ripping him apart right now is a bit premature.
That's the point: they gambled and lost, when the prospect of winning either way wasn't worth it. If you gamble that Knight isn't there, and make this deal and he doesn't slip, the kings don't get much better by swapping John and Beno. There's marginal improvement, if at all. However, if you hold tight and don't gamble for marginal (at best) improvement, you could end up with one of the steals of the draft, which is a much bigger win potential.
It's a question, not of odds, but of scenarios. The Kings clearly had far better options by holding onto the 7th then making this deal. Even if they wanted Jimmer, they could have picked him at 7 anyway, and what did they lose? The Salmons deal, which again is marginal. It wouldn't matter if they lost that potential deal. It is a big deal if they lose Knight, which they did.
Also, this deal was done before the 6th was made. It was reported before the draft even STARTED. Why didn't they just wait? Why not talk seriously about a deal, get ready to make it, but wait until they got a better idea of the landscape before pulling the trigger? It doesn't make sense at all to make this deal before the entire draft even starts. It's poor strategy. They risked a lot to win a little, and lost.