From time to time there are threads that are started with such probing openers as, "Why do the Kings stink", or "How did we get this bad". The implication being, that the Kings are going through something unique to the rest of the NBA. The truth is, what the Kings are going through is the norm. And I'm going to attempt to show you why, by example.
Now it doesn't always have a good outcome, or the outcome falls just short of the intended goal. To get the outcome you want, you need some luck, and you need wise choices. First and foremost is the realization that your getting old and you need a total rebuild. The teams that get bad the fastest, also recover the quickest. The teams that try to hang onto past glories, usually do no more than prolong the misery. So lets start with the current poster child for rebuilding, the Oklahoma Thunder.
I'm going to cover an 8 year period for all teams, the same 8 years for most of them and I'm going to give their record for that year, and who they drafted, and who they could have had. And if pertinent, trades that were made. CHH, means could have had.
Oklahoma Thunder/Seattle Supersonics:
2002: 40/42 - No first round pick that year.
2003: 37/45 - Nick Collison - CHH - Luke Ridnour, Kendrick Perkins, David West
2004: 52/30 - Robert Swift - CHH - Al Jefferson, Josh Smith, J.R. Smith, Jameer Nelson
2005: 35/47 - Johan Petro - CHH - Linas Kleisa, David Lee, Brandon Bass, Monta Ellis
2006: 31/51 - Saer Sene - CHH - J.J. Redick, Rajon Rondo, Kyle Lowery, Paul Milsap
2007: 20/62 - Kevin Durant - Traded Ray Allen to aquire Jeff Green
2008: 23/59 - Russell Westbrook - CHH - Kevin Love, Eric Gordon, Brook Lopez, Gallinari
2009: 50/32 - James Harden - CHH -Tyreke Evans, Stephen Curry, DeMar DeRozen
From 2002 up to 2007, they had no significant draft picks that impacted the team. Nick Collison ended up being the best of all those picks. As a result, they slowly got worse each year. When they were finally bad enough to get top five or top 10 picks, they chose wisely and they were on their way back to being a top team. They were also able to make the trade on draft day to aquire Green for an aging Allen. One of those trades that worked out well for both teams involved.
Portland Trailblazers:
2002: 50/32 - Qyntel Woods - CHH - Nenad Krstic, Tayshawn Prince, John Salmons
2003: 41/41 - Travis Outlaw - CHH - Kendrick Perkins, Josh Howard, Leandrinho Barbosa
2004: 27/55 - Sebastian Telfair - CHH - Al Jefferson, Josh Smith, Jameer Nelson
2005: 21/61 - Martell Webster - CHH - Danny Granger, Andrew Bynum, David Lee
2006: 32/50 - Tyrus Thomas - Traded to Bulls for LaMarcus Aldridge. Also aquired Brandon Roy in three way trade involving Telfair and Foye.
2007: 41/41 - Greg Oden - CHH - Kevin Durant, Al Horford, Joakim Noah, Jeff Green
2008: 54/28 - Brandon Rush - CHH - Robin Lopez, Roy Hibbert, JaVale McGee
2009: 50/32 - Victor Claver - CHH - Omri Casspi, Taj Gibson, Rodnique Beaubois
Again, once Portland got real bad, they aquired excellent talent through the draft, and almost immediately they started to impove. They made some clever trades on draft day to get Brandon Roy and Aldridge. No one can fault them for taking Oden. In hindsight, you'd be ahead of the game with Durant, Horford or Noah. Thats where the luck comes in. Luck also comes in with the strength of the draft.
You can also see where bad draft picks almost always precede the decline in a team. When you draft guys like Swift, Petro and Sene, three years in a row, your not only not treading water, your starting to drown.
Minnesota Timberwolves:
2002: 51/31 - No first round pick.
2003: 58/24 - Ndudi Ebi - CHH - Kendrick Perkins, Josh Howard, Leandrinho Barbosa
2004: 44/38 - No first round pick
2005: 33/49 - Rashad McCants - CHH - Danny Granger, David Lee, Jarret Jack,
2006: 32/50 - Brandon Roy - Traded Roy for Randy Foye on draft day
2007: 22/60 - Corey Brewer - CHH - Joakim Noah, Acie Law, Al Thorton, Wilson Chandler
2008: 24/59 - O.J. Mayo, traded for Kevin Love.- CHH - Russell Westbrook, Eric Gordon
2009: 15/67 - Rubio, Flynn and Lawson - CHH - Stephen Curry, Brandon Jennings and DeMar DeRozan.
This was an example of a team trying to hang on past its time. They stayed competitive with Garnett, but reached a point where they were just good enough to draft in the middle or the bottom of the pack. They made bad trades, like Roy for Foye. They constantly drafted for need, instead of the BPA. Such as taking Brewer instead of Noah. The irony of the 2009 draft is that they drafted three PG's and the two they passed on ended up being better than those they picked. Obviously Minnesota isn't out of the woods yet, but they appear to finally be headed in the right direction. They did just about everything wrong. Tried to hang on for too long. Made bad trades, and made bad draft choices. Receipe for loosing.
Sacramento Kings:
2002: 59/23 - Dan Dickau - CHH - Rodger Mason, Carlos Boozer, Darius Songaila
2003: 55/27 - No first round pick.
2004: 50/32 - Kevin Martin - CHH - Sasha Vujacic, Beno Udrih, Anderson Varejao
2005: 44/38 - Francisco Garcia - CHH - Jason Maxiell, Linas Kleiza, David Lee, Monta Ellis
2006: 33/49 - Quincy Douby - CHH - Rajon Rondo, Kyle Lowery, Jordan Farmer
2007: 38/44 - Spencer Hawes - CHH - Acie Law, Al Thorton, Aaron Brooks, Arron Afflalo
2008: 17/65 - Jason Thompson - CHH - Robin Lopez, Roy Hibbert, JaVale McGee
2009: 25/57 - Tyreke Evans, Omri Casspi - CHH - Stephen Curry, Brandon Jennings
From 2002 till 2007, the Kings added little of consequence through the draft other than Kevin Martin. One might argue that they didn't add much in 2007 as well, but I'll leave that for others to decide. The Kings kept trying to put bandaids on the team, and as a result, they kept it just competitive enough to draft in the bottom half of the first round. You simply can't go for 5 or 6 years, and add nothing to the team from the draft and expect to stay competitive. If nothing else, draft picks are assets you can trade for what you need. Aka the Boston Celtics.
You can build through the draft, or through trades. Or both! But to build through trades, you need assets to trade. When you have an old team, and some of those old players are also walking injuried, you have little in the way of assets. So your choice is to try and stay competitive with what you have and add through the MLE, or totally dismantle the team and start over. Eventually, your going to have to start over, so why prolong it. But thats what the Kings did, and as a result, its seems like we've been rebuildinig for 5 years. But in truth, we've only been rebuilding for about 2 years.
I have 6 more teams that I researched, but this is long enough already. If you want more, I'll add more at a later date. But with all the rest of the teams the story is the same. You have to get bad, before you can really recover. The worse thing you can do is draft in the middle to bottom of the draft year after year. Eventually it will catch up with you. Even the good teams like the Bulls, Celtics and the Knicks had to eventually bite the bullet. It'll catch up with the Lakers as well. Although they do seem to lead a charmed life.
The Kings became a bad team by trying to remain a good team. They squandered opportunities along the way, and one day, they were left with no options. Whose responsibile is anyone's guess. The Maloof's? Petrie? Men from Mars? It is what it is, and at last the team is heading in the right direction. It could have been a little sooner for my taste. But its never too late..
Now it doesn't always have a good outcome, or the outcome falls just short of the intended goal. To get the outcome you want, you need some luck, and you need wise choices. First and foremost is the realization that your getting old and you need a total rebuild. The teams that get bad the fastest, also recover the quickest. The teams that try to hang onto past glories, usually do no more than prolong the misery. So lets start with the current poster child for rebuilding, the Oklahoma Thunder.
I'm going to cover an 8 year period for all teams, the same 8 years for most of them and I'm going to give their record for that year, and who they drafted, and who they could have had. And if pertinent, trades that were made. CHH, means could have had.
Oklahoma Thunder/Seattle Supersonics:
2002: 40/42 - No first round pick that year.
2003: 37/45 - Nick Collison - CHH - Luke Ridnour, Kendrick Perkins, David West
2004: 52/30 - Robert Swift - CHH - Al Jefferson, Josh Smith, J.R. Smith, Jameer Nelson
2005: 35/47 - Johan Petro - CHH - Linas Kleisa, David Lee, Brandon Bass, Monta Ellis
2006: 31/51 - Saer Sene - CHH - J.J. Redick, Rajon Rondo, Kyle Lowery, Paul Milsap
2007: 20/62 - Kevin Durant - Traded Ray Allen to aquire Jeff Green
2008: 23/59 - Russell Westbrook - CHH - Kevin Love, Eric Gordon, Brook Lopez, Gallinari
2009: 50/32 - James Harden - CHH -Tyreke Evans, Stephen Curry, DeMar DeRozen
From 2002 up to 2007, they had no significant draft picks that impacted the team. Nick Collison ended up being the best of all those picks. As a result, they slowly got worse each year. When they were finally bad enough to get top five or top 10 picks, they chose wisely and they were on their way back to being a top team. They were also able to make the trade on draft day to aquire Green for an aging Allen. One of those trades that worked out well for both teams involved.
Portland Trailblazers:
2002: 50/32 - Qyntel Woods - CHH - Nenad Krstic, Tayshawn Prince, John Salmons
2003: 41/41 - Travis Outlaw - CHH - Kendrick Perkins, Josh Howard, Leandrinho Barbosa
2004: 27/55 - Sebastian Telfair - CHH - Al Jefferson, Josh Smith, Jameer Nelson
2005: 21/61 - Martell Webster - CHH - Danny Granger, Andrew Bynum, David Lee
2006: 32/50 - Tyrus Thomas - Traded to Bulls for LaMarcus Aldridge. Also aquired Brandon Roy in three way trade involving Telfair and Foye.
2007: 41/41 - Greg Oden - CHH - Kevin Durant, Al Horford, Joakim Noah, Jeff Green
2008: 54/28 - Brandon Rush - CHH - Robin Lopez, Roy Hibbert, JaVale McGee
2009: 50/32 - Victor Claver - CHH - Omri Casspi, Taj Gibson, Rodnique Beaubois
Again, once Portland got real bad, they aquired excellent talent through the draft, and almost immediately they started to impove. They made some clever trades on draft day to get Brandon Roy and Aldridge. No one can fault them for taking Oden. In hindsight, you'd be ahead of the game with Durant, Horford or Noah. Thats where the luck comes in. Luck also comes in with the strength of the draft.
You can also see where bad draft picks almost always precede the decline in a team. When you draft guys like Swift, Petro and Sene, three years in a row, your not only not treading water, your starting to drown.
Minnesota Timberwolves:
2002: 51/31 - No first round pick.
2003: 58/24 - Ndudi Ebi - CHH - Kendrick Perkins, Josh Howard, Leandrinho Barbosa
2004: 44/38 - No first round pick
2005: 33/49 - Rashad McCants - CHH - Danny Granger, David Lee, Jarret Jack,
2006: 32/50 - Brandon Roy - Traded Roy for Randy Foye on draft day
2007: 22/60 - Corey Brewer - CHH - Joakim Noah, Acie Law, Al Thorton, Wilson Chandler
2008: 24/59 - O.J. Mayo, traded for Kevin Love.- CHH - Russell Westbrook, Eric Gordon
2009: 15/67 - Rubio, Flynn and Lawson - CHH - Stephen Curry, Brandon Jennings and DeMar DeRozan.
This was an example of a team trying to hang on past its time. They stayed competitive with Garnett, but reached a point where they were just good enough to draft in the middle or the bottom of the pack. They made bad trades, like Roy for Foye. They constantly drafted for need, instead of the BPA. Such as taking Brewer instead of Noah. The irony of the 2009 draft is that they drafted three PG's and the two they passed on ended up being better than those they picked. Obviously Minnesota isn't out of the woods yet, but they appear to finally be headed in the right direction. They did just about everything wrong. Tried to hang on for too long. Made bad trades, and made bad draft choices. Receipe for loosing.
Sacramento Kings:
2002: 59/23 - Dan Dickau - CHH - Rodger Mason, Carlos Boozer, Darius Songaila
2003: 55/27 - No first round pick.
2004: 50/32 - Kevin Martin - CHH - Sasha Vujacic, Beno Udrih, Anderson Varejao
2005: 44/38 - Francisco Garcia - CHH - Jason Maxiell, Linas Kleiza, David Lee, Monta Ellis
2006: 33/49 - Quincy Douby - CHH - Rajon Rondo, Kyle Lowery, Jordan Farmer
2007: 38/44 - Spencer Hawes - CHH - Acie Law, Al Thorton, Aaron Brooks, Arron Afflalo
2008: 17/65 - Jason Thompson - CHH - Robin Lopez, Roy Hibbert, JaVale McGee
2009: 25/57 - Tyreke Evans, Omri Casspi - CHH - Stephen Curry, Brandon Jennings
From 2002 till 2007, the Kings added little of consequence through the draft other than Kevin Martin. One might argue that they didn't add much in 2007 as well, but I'll leave that for others to decide. The Kings kept trying to put bandaids on the team, and as a result, they kept it just competitive enough to draft in the bottom half of the first round. You simply can't go for 5 or 6 years, and add nothing to the team from the draft and expect to stay competitive. If nothing else, draft picks are assets you can trade for what you need. Aka the Boston Celtics.
You can build through the draft, or through trades. Or both! But to build through trades, you need assets to trade. When you have an old team, and some of those old players are also walking injuried, you have little in the way of assets. So your choice is to try and stay competitive with what you have and add through the MLE, or totally dismantle the team and start over. Eventually, your going to have to start over, so why prolong it. But thats what the Kings did, and as a result, its seems like we've been rebuildinig for 5 years. But in truth, we've only been rebuilding for about 2 years.
I have 6 more teams that I researched, but this is long enough already. If you want more, I'll add more at a later date. But with all the rest of the teams the story is the same. You have to get bad, before you can really recover. The worse thing you can do is draft in the middle to bottom of the draft year after year. Eventually it will catch up with you. Even the good teams like the Bulls, Celtics and the Knicks had to eventually bite the bullet. It'll catch up with the Lakers as well. Although they do seem to lead a charmed life.
The Kings became a bad team by trying to remain a good team. They squandered opportunities along the way, and one day, they were left with no options. Whose responsibile is anyone's guess. The Maloof's? Petrie? Men from Mars? It is what it is, and at last the team is heading in the right direction. It could have been a little sooner for my taste. But its never too late..