Yeah- I think this is where I am too. A lot of the moves yesterday were moves for the sake of making moves, or giving up assets for minor improvements. I truly believe that with our assets and upcoming salaries, we have one big move left. You better make that move count. If you pay Monk, and ultimately pay Keegan, you are locking in on a 4 of Sabonis/Fox/Keegan/Monk. The meaningful assets you can trade are Barnes, Huerter, and the 2026, 2028, and 2030 draft picks. If you give up some of that matching salary or draft picks to make a smaller move, then you are throwing away the opportunity for the big move. We know that Monte has been hunting that big move (Beal, Siakam, Grant, Kuzma, Lavine). That seems to indicate that he knows this team needs one more big piece. Without that piece, we probably aren't winning a championship this year. So if you can't make that move, the options are wait until next year and try another big move or make immediate small moves to make you a bit better but concede the chance at the huge move. I'm guessing Monte wants to keep his powder dry for that big move.
Now this is not a full defense of Monte. The worst thing you can do is keep your powder dry for too long and see your window close. But given the contracts and age of Fox, Sabonis, and Keegan (and probably a good read he can resign Monk), Monte is probably betting he has a bit more time to find the big move.
That also doesn't mean Monte has been perfect. If Davion walks at the end of the year, not trading him for some picks will look bad. On the flip side, Davion has been playing better lately so maybe he succeeds as the backup PG the rest of the way. The Holmes trade looks bad in retrospect. Yeah, it cleaned our books and some clutter, but we now actually don't have a lot of "bad contracts" to add in salary match trades. Part of the reason we aren't in on buying some of these guys who went for second round picks is because we generally don't have bad matching salary to send away, so we actually have to send rotation players AND second round picks to make it work. Having the Holmes expiring would have been good at the deadline.
This actually reminds me a bit of our CWebb glory days. The first year we were good (the lockout year) was a huge surprise, it was our first time over .500 in ages, we had legit buzz, and we nearly won a playoff series against a proud veteran team. We didn't make many changes the second year, but instead let the core grow. It was only after a disappointing second year where we barely finished 8th, lost in the first round again, and had people thinking we stalled, that we made our big move in the offseason to get Bibby. I am guessing we make the playoffs this year, don't have nearly the buzz as last year, lose in the first round, and then use the offseason (when the Barnes and Huerter contracts both have a year less and the uncertainty around our pick to Atlanta is gone) to make our big final move.