yeah the thing about the sheer narrative velocity of the Brock Purdy story is that he’s on track to either be the next Tom Brady/Kurt Warner/Tony Romo ultimate underdog who turns out to be a star or he’s gonna flame out spectacularly this season and be a one hit wonder. Without wanting to be “Brock is the next Tom Brady!!!” guy, everything about how the last two seasons has gone sorta points towards the first option rather than the spectacular collapse.
I'd be stunned if regressed from last year. He had all the contextual problems against him in his starts last season and he looked like a top 15 QB. Not to mention we were working in a major offensive weapon into the system with CMC, which isn't easy to do without an off-season.
Now, I'm far more skeptical he can keep up in a race with the Mahomes/Allen/Hurts/Lamar/Herbert type QB's of the world, but I think you can start talking about him in that next tier. QB is honestly fairly bad in the NFL if you really start to map it out:
Elite:
Mahomes
Burrow
Herbert
Allen
Hurts
Lamar
Lawrence
Ascending to elite:
Fields?
Once elite, perhaps still can be:
Murray
Watson
Rodgers
Dak
Showed some flashes, still a lot to prove:
Tua
Geno Smith? One year wonder?
After that? It gets real ugly real quickly:
Russ Wilson
Jimmy G
Mac Jones
Ryan Tannehill
Desmond Ridder
Jared Goff
Matt Stafford
Kirk Cousins
Derek Carr
Daniel Jones
Baker Mayfield
Sam Howell
Rookies:
Young
Richardson
Stroud
So yeah. You start looking at this list, I don't see any reason Purdy couldn't be a top 15 QB. And after those top 7 guys, everyone else still has all kinds of questions to answer or just flat out talent concerns