Good post. My question is, based on the performance of this FO in the Divac era, what is your confidence level that he could trade Cousins and Gay for assets and picks and then get something valuable from those picks and assets? 100%? 95%? 50%? Or less? As I said on another post, I have no confidence in Divac's talent evaluation ability, either in the draft or in the NBA. There is no evidence that I can see that provides such confidence. Does Vlade need to go? Or, does Vlade need to hire a legit personnel guy to whom he totally give the reins for the draft and trades and FA? After all, Vlade's first title was as the President of the Kings organization. His GM duties seem to have evolved from that. Maybe Vlade can devote himself to hiring a guy who knows talent and then confine himself to organizational and PR matters of the Kings. For me, it's either do the diplomatic hand-off to a legit personnel guy, or Vlade needs to go.
Vlade Divac has been GM for two drafts.
In the first he took the guy I wanted, who seemed like an ideal low usage big who was potentially a game changing defensive force whose main weaknesses (offense and rebounding) would be covered by Boogie's strengths. Advanced metrics showed Cauley-Stein's potential impact and while he didn't have star potential, he was a very solid choice on my mind.
While WCS hasn't developed as hoped, I'm not ready to slam the pick. Mudiay has shown flashes but is still putting up horrendous shooting and efficiency numbers. Stanley Johnson just got sent to the D-League. Justise Winslow is nice defensively but hasn't yet shown signs of turning into the player I thought he could be and Frank Kaminsky is still shooting poor percentages while rebounding at an even lower rate than Trill.
Vlade obviously missed on Myles Turner (who I liked a lot predraft) and Devin Booker (who is had pegged as a one dimensional shooter and was really wrong on) and while Turner might be a questionable fit next to Cousins, Booker would have been perfect AND fit a need. So yes, there was a better prospect available but I'm not going over criticize that draft on Divac's part.
This last draft I was amazed that Vlade got the 22nd pick for Belinelli and was onboard with the trade down from 8 for 13, 28 & the rights to Bogdanovic, especially when Chris's was the player from the top 8 left.
That said I was flabbergasted when Adam Silver called Papagiannis' name at 13. Richardson was one of my least favorite prospects. So was Skal but I liked the gamble at 28.
That said, the early returns on this draft as a whole have been awful. Even the picks above #8 have looked underwhelming and if not for Embiid (and possibly Simmons when he returns) this would probably be the worst ROY race since 2000.
Vlade said he tried to trade up for Dunn (who was my favorite prospect but is currently disappointing) but the price was too high. So I have to look at who he took vs who was taken afterward.
Chriss still has potential but even though he's currently a starter he only plays around 10-12 mpg and seems to average more fouls than rebounds. After that? Maker doesn't play, Valentine doesn't look like he can play at the NBA level, Baldwin (who I wanted) isn't even the best rookie PG on the Grizzlies, Poeltl was a terrible fit on the Kings and hasn't shown a ton. Really only Sabonis is a contributor and while he's starting and showing better than expected shooting and good passing he's only putting up 6ppg and 3rpg while not being a post scorer or rim protector.
So right now the jury is out on Vlade's draft acumen. None of this year's rookies are doing anything but they didn't miss on anyone big either and there's three of them on cheap deals (plus potentially Bogdanovic) that might turn out to be something. We'll have to wait and see.
But again, it doesn't matter whether Vlade is a good talent evaluator or not. I don't see another path forward other than a rebuild so you give him a shot and reevaluate next year when the team is still rebuilding anyway.