Ongoing draft/lottery discussion [OPEN SPOILERS]

Which draft lottery slot will King's get this evening?


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Hezonja won't start over Ben his rookie year. He's just not going to be ready. Definitely a lot of talent and potential though.

And again I think people are getting too hung up on Cauley-Stein and lobs for dunks as his main (or apparently in some minds "only") offensive contribution. The best front court pairing Cousins has ever had is probably Dalembert and I'm not sure why people think WCS will be any worse offensively than Sammy, especially in time.
We were still a terrible team with Dalembert. So there's that..Cousins thinks he's better at playing PF(whats the difference at this point?), but an overlooked difference is that players weren't double and triple teaming Cuz his first few years in the NBA. We are drsfting WCS for his defense, but is his offense passable? I personally think so, but our floor spacing on the team would be terrible.
 
I find it interesting that most of the Mocks have us taking Mudiay. CD has said we abolsultely will not take him, and there has been almost no discussion of him from anywhere around the Kings.
 

funkykingston

Super Moderator
Staff member
We were still a terrible team with Dalembert. So there's that..Cousins thinks he's better at playing PF(whats the difference at this point?), but an overlooked difference is that players weren't double and triple teaming Cuz his first few years in the NBA. We are drsfting WCS for his defense, but is his offense passable?
I'm not quite sure what you're getting at. We're still a terrible team with Cousins so should we trade him? Even bad teams have things that you can build on. I'm not saying Dalembert should be the ideal model of a frontcourt pairing with Cousins but they worked well together and Cauley-Stein (while not as big a body) gives more lateral quickness, more athleticism, much better defense in the pick and roll, possibly better shotblocking and at least the same level of offense in time. And without Dalembert's penchant for complaining about touches and rumored locker room lawyering.

And the fact that teams are now often doubling Cuz is actually a point in favor of Cauley-Stein. It means he'll have open looks on dump offs or drives.
 
I think we will all be surprised by how good Hezonja is..only problem is that he should probably be starting which means Ben is out? Or Rudy is PF?
Stauskas-Hezonja on the bench would be fun to watch, but not enough touches for everyone.

In response to WCS, I don't think a pairing of Cousins-WCS would work like Griffin-DeAndre. Griffin is a better ball handler and passer than Cuz is.(Cuz is a better passer out of the post). I just don't know how much the offense would work. WCS is a very active player so he'd always run around trying to get the ball. Problem is, if it's not a clear dunk, chances are he's going to miss...

I don't know how Cuz will respond having a teammate who can actually go up there and catch lobs. He's never played along side that type of player. Teams will always leave Cauley Stein unattended to guard Cousins.

Most of the reason why DeAndre is successful on offense is because of his teammates. The only player who can throw lobs on this team is Rudy....not an understatement.
I seem to remember Cousins throwing lobs to McLemore last season -- and it's tough to say that Blake is a better passer than DMC... they are both great passers for big men, along with Noah. I'd say you can make an argument that all three are top 3 passing bigs in the league, with strong debates on who is #1. I'd go with Noah, as he's been doing it longer. DMC has great court vision and excellent passing touch. He would have no issues throwing up lobs to WCS.

DMC has great handles, too. Yes, he's overconfident and forces the fast-break when he should not be dribbling against great guard defenders. The difference between Blake and DMC, imo, is Blake is quicker. But I don't see a glaring difference between the two players handles.

Here's a passing highlight reel of DMC for the posters who seemed to forget his excellent passing ouch. He can pass from anywhere on the court (and I mean anywhere!), not just from the post.

 
I'm not quite sure what you're getting at. We're still a terrible team with Cousins so should we trade him? Even bad teams have things that you can build on. I'm not saying Dalembert should be the ideal model of a frontcourt pairing with Cousins but they worked well together and Cauley-Stein (while not as big a body) gives more lateral quickness, more athleticism, much better defense in the pick and roll, possibly better shotblocking and at least the same level of offense in time. And without Dalembert's penchant for complaining about touches and rumored locker room lawyering.

And the fact that teams are now often doubling Cuz is actually a point in favor of Cauley-Stein. It means he'll have open looks on dump offs or drives.
I think you can effectively build a DMC/WCS frontcourt on the Spurs model of Duncan/Splitter where big to big passing was at least 1/2 of their effectiveness. WCS is at least as offensively competent as Splitter at this moment. You can even have Rudy play the Boris Diaw role against certain matchups when you need to unclog the middle.
 
I'm afraid Vlade might let his ex-Yugo bias kick in which will lead to him deciding to go with Hezonja as a tiebreaker with other prospects. But, I still trist Vlade enough to give whatever pick he makes a fair chance to show they are for real.
 
I find it interesting that most of the Mocks have us taking Mudiay. CD has said we abolsultely will not take him, and there has been almost no discussion of him from anywhere around the Kings.
DX now has Mudiay falling past Kings to Nuggets. Givony writes "Mario Hezonja is rumored to be the player he (Divac)'s currently most comfortable with". One thing I'm sure of at this point is that Givony has no idea, what Vlade thinks about the draft at this point.

Ford has WCS falling to #11 in today's mock
Matt (SF)
Pretty confused as to the WCS drop all the way to 11 in your latest mock. Is there a scout out there that doesn't see him as a future All-NBA defender? Shouldn't that certainty be enough to firmly plant him in the top 6-7?
Chad Ford
(1:16 PM)

He's getting a strong look from the Knicks at 4, Magic at 5 and Kings at 6. However, after that the next few teams -- Nuggets, Pistons, Hornets, Heat -- he's not as big of a need as a wing that can shoot. That's why he slid. I know he worked out great in Charlotte and maybe they take him anyway at 9. But if Porzinigs goes 3, I think Magic take Hezonja at 5 and that leaves Mudiay there for the Kings at 6.
Andy (Denver)
With your Mock 7.0 showing Mudiay going to Sacramento, could the Nuggets consider trading Lawson to the Kings for that pick to get Mudiay? Does the Malone hire show what the Nuggets draft plan will be?
Chad Ford
(1:18 PM)

Nuggets have been trying to make that deal regardless, but so far they can't get Kings (or anyone else for that matter) to bite on Lawson.
Kyler from BI.com put WCS at #11 yesterday too with Kings opting for Manny as well
nbadraft.net had WCS at #9 to Charlotte with Kings picking Justise (Manny picked at #4)

In other words no one got a clue.

P.S. At this point everyone (except DX), who posted their mock after 15th, have WCS at #6, #9 or #11. Maybe Kings can drop to #9 and dump Carl for Marvin and another asset in the process.
 
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Cousins is a decent passer but Blake Griffin is much much better.
All I have to go by is the eyeball test, but I don't think so. Surrounding cast has something to do with it too. Blake has much better targets to hit in Jordan for lobs and Reddick, Barnes, Paul and Crawford for jumpers. Cousins has better vision on backdoors and catching wing and corner guys on skip passes, but his teammates tend not to finish a lot of their looks.

The biggest argument against Cousins as a passer is his TO rate, which is partially him trying to make homerun passes and partially his overconfidence in an ability to dribble through traffic and up the floor after a rebound.
 
I'm not quite sure what you're getting at. We're still a terrible team with Cousins so should we trade him? Even bad teams have things that you can build on. I'm not saying Dalembert should be the ideal model of a frontcourt pairing with Cousins but they worked well together and Cauley-Stein (while not as big a body) gives more lateral quickness, more athleticism, much better defense in the pick and roll, possibly better shotblocking and at least the same level of offense in time. And without Dalembert's penchant for complaining about touches and rumored locker room lawyering.

And the fact that teams are now often doubling Cuz is actually a point in favor of Cauley-Stein. It means he'll have open looks on dump offs or drives.
No, but Cousins-Dalembert didn't work. Cousins was still dominant next to JT as he was next to dalembert. Numbers reflect that.

Cauley stein gives us defense at the 4. He's quickness to keep up with all the stretch 4s. His rim protection is amazing. For a guy who can guard the perimeter, how often would we actually want him guarding the perimeter? Draymond works very well with the Warriors because when they switch, they usually have Harrison Barnes 6'8 on the PF.. We have Ben?

I just don't think we can over look WCS's lack off offense then point to DeAndre Jordan on the Clippers. That's an entire different situation.
 
I seem to remember Cousins throwing lobs to McLemore last season -- and it's tough to say that Blake is a better passer than DMC... they are both great passers for big men, along with Noah. I'd say you can make an argument that all three are top 3 passing bigs in the league, with strong debates on who is #1. I'd go with Noah, as he's been doing it longer. DMC has great court vision and excellent passing touch. He would have no issues throwing up lobs to WCS.

DMC has great handles, too. Yes, he's overconfident and forces the fast-break when he should not be dribbling against great guard defenders. The difference between Blake and DMC, imo, is Blake is quicker. But I don't see a glaring difference between the two players handles.

Here's a passing highlight reel of DMC for the posters who seemed to forget his excellent passing ouch. He can pass from anywhere on the court (and I mean anywhere!), not just from the post.

Blake is a better passer because he can distribute as the main ball handler. That's something Cuz can't do because he usually pushes it and it results in a lot of TOs. They are both great passers, but I personally believe Griffin is the much better passer, but Cousins is the better passer from the paint.

Griffin is on another level of handles. This is not Cousins fault. Griffin is a PF and he's just naturally quicker. I cringe when I see Cuz handling the ball and bringing it up. He forces it a lot of times. Griffin is just a better overall passer and ball handler.

I think its safe to say both are in the top 5 though.
 
No, but Cousins-Dalembert didn't work. Cousins was still dominant next to JT as he was next to dalembert. Numbers reflect that.

Cauley stein gives us defense at the 4. He's quickness to keep up with all the stretch 4s. His rim protection is amazing. For a guy who can guard the perimeter, how often would we actually want him guarding the perimeter? Draymond works very well with the Warriors because when they switch, they usually have Harrison Barnes 6'8 on the PF.. We have Ben?

I just don't think we can over look WCS's lack off offense then point to DeAndre Jordan on the Clippers. That's an entire different situation.
Kings will have Gay in place of Barnes last time I checked.
And WCS can relieve Gay of some defensive duties, when Rudy faces bigger SFs.
 
Im leaning towards Hezonja, Mudiaye or Winslow over WCS. WCS has too many holes in his game to take that high. If he was a great rebounder I would take him, but he is a Javele type rebounder, just stands up straight and hopes his length and jump will be enough. Great rebounders have the base to just body you up and not even have to jump for rebounds half the time.
Mudiaye is falling simply because other guys like Porzingis have surprised. He is still the strong, long, physical lead guard we need. He and Collison would be a great PG tandem. Hezonja and Winslow will do more for you on both ends and have star potential. Those 3 guys have star potential, WCS will be a 25-28 min a game specialist. IMO
 

funkykingston

Super Moderator
Staff member
No, but Cousins-Dalembert didn't work. Cousins was still dominant next to JT as he was next to dalembert. Numbers reflect that.
In what way did Cousins and Dalembert not work?

And yes, the numbers reflect that Cousins was a better player in subsequent seasons. That's often the case for really good players who are no longer rookies. They tend to improve.

Cauley stein gives us defense at the 4. He's quickness to keep up with all the stretch 4s. His rim protection is amazing. For a guy who can guard the perimeter, how often would we actually want him guarding the perimeter? Draymond works very well with the Warriors because when they switch, they usually have Harrison Barnes 6'8 on the PF.. We have Ben?
Cauley-Stein shouldn't be guarding the perimeter in the NBA unless it's an opposing PF who has a reliable outside shot. Yes, he can show, hedge or ICE on the pick and roll and has the length and lateral quickness to stay with the ball handler briefly before returning to his man (which is what makes him such a successful weapon against the pick and roll) but in general he should be a weakside defender who can protect the rim and cover a lot of ground when rotating to help. If you're comparing the Warriors switching on picks with Barnes the Kings analog would be Gay who is just as tall plus longer and stronger than Barnes. Now if a team runs a pick and roll with their SG and PF then you'd have Ben attempting to guard a PF on the switch. But why would you switch that pick and roll? That defeats a lot of the purpose of having a defender like WCS? Taken to an extreme, if Collison and Cousins run a pick and roll against the Warriors would you expect Curry to switch on to Cousins? Switching is only one of a number of ways to defend the pick and roll and I'd argue that it's the least effective unless the ball handler and screener are approximately the same size.

I just don't think we can over look WCS's lack off offense then point to DeAndre Jordan on the Clippers. That's an entire different situation.
Jason Thompson scored six points a game last season on 47% shooting. In about the same minutes at Kentucky Cauley-Stein scored 9 per game on 57% shooting despite the lack of a real post game and the facts that (1) he was playing with two other bigs in Towns and Lyles and (2) the NCAA paint is far more clogged than it is in the NBA and (3) his coach didn't want him taking midrange jumpers, same as with Cousins.

I simply don't see how (once Cauley-Stein has had his adjustment period to the NBA) that he'll be less effective offensively than JT was last season. He will never be a go to scorer or put up a ton of points but I think people need to let go of the idea that Cauley-Stein is going to be a huge detriment on the offensive side of the ball.
 

funkykingston

Super Moderator
Staff member
Wings need strong handles to have star potential.
Absolutely. And really the ability to create their own shot. I think Winslow has a very high floor but I can't see him as a star player. I can't think of anyone who came into the league with a similar set of skills, weaknesses and physical attributes who became a star player. Kawhi Leonard is about the closest and he (1) has always had a much better handle than Winslow and (2) has G0-Go-Gadget arms.
 
From what I have read on the various Kings draft threads it seems OK if the Kings draft one of the following:

Cauley-Stein
Hezonja
Johnson
Midiay
Porzingis
Russell
Winslow

Good luck.
 

funkykingston

Super Moderator
Staff member
Jimmy Butler?

I don't think he's similar to Kawhi at all, and Kawhi's handles really weren't good coming into the league, they were a weakness.
You know, it's funny but I made this same comment a while back and you had the same answer and I don't think I ever responded, though I meant to.

You're right. Butler is a pretty good comp for Winslow. Physically there's some differences (same weight entering the draft but Winslow has a three inch advantage in wingspan and reach despite being an inch and a half shorter) but they are similar players in terms of being gamers, tough defenders, and strong bodied guys who work hard at developing their game. They played in roughly equivalent conferences and Butler's sophomore year stats at Marquette match up very closely with Winslow's one year at Duke, especially on a per 40 minute adjusted level.

Butler shot the ball a bit better 53% overall compared to Winslow's 49%. Both had a great percentage from three (50% for Butler, 42% for Winslow) though Butler took less than a third as many long bombs as Justice. Everywhere else though they are about equal or Winslow has a slight edge.

I don't see Jimmy Butler as a star player. I see him as a very high level role player. And I think that's exactly what Justice Winslow is likely to become. Good call.
 
Winslow has a body type similar to Lance Stephenson in terms of height, wingspan, mass. His game will be like Jimmy Butler though, will easily play the 2 or the 3. You can't go wrong picking Justice and his ceiling is pretty high imo, if he can become a very good ball handler he has two way star written all over him. He has shown enough of his shooting that he will develop into a very good spot shooter. He could be a SG version of Leonard/Butler in his prime. At worst he will be one of the top 3 and D guys in the league, but there is potential for much more.
 
Reports coming out saying that Denver want to trade Ty Lawson for the #6 pick, straight up.

If true, I'd accept this as long as WCS is off the board. We don't give up any major assets and our bench gets a major boost, whether it's Lawson or Collison coming off the bench.
 

Spike

Subsidiary Intermediary
Staff member
If it's just the 6 for Lawson, I'd consider it. If there's more, and, (doesn't there have to be?), well, it depends.

If we can send off Landry, then duh, and, of course! Collison? No. We have not really improved our team. Depth was our issue. Not the starting 5. (4)
 

Entity

Hall of Famer
Straight up trade for Lawson clears two roster spots. Would mean no miller or ray. If they would take on Landry that would be great. Meanwhile Denver would probably get Winslow and mundiay
 

funkykingston

Super Moderator
Staff member
Reports coming out saying that Denver want to trade Ty Lawson for the #6 pick, straight up.

If true, I'd accept this as long as WCS is off the board. We don't give up any major assets and our bench gets a major boost, whether it's Lawson or Collison coming off the bench.
I'm starting to get the horrible feeling the Kings are going to make some "win now" moves this offseason that both fail to help the team win now while also mortgaging the future.