Skye Blakely had herself a meet in front of her hometown crowd finishing a strong (if distance) second. She had a solid start, hitting her routines and avoided the major errors that plagued most of the other big name gymnasts this weekend. She finished Night 1 in second, but the scouting report on Blakely has been she wilts under pressure, as she did at Worlds last year biffing beam a bit when forced to replace Roberson. Well Blakely slammed a mahogany door on that nonsense, putting in some of her best routines on Night 2, punctuated by a gutsy performance muscling through wobbles on beam, the very event that haunted her at Worlds. I had her as "on the cusp" for Paris heading into Nationals, but this performance might just put her into the driver's seat on par with Carey and Chiles, if not ahead of them.
Your third place finisher is Kayla DiCello, and I worry this might end up sounding dismissive, when its meant more as an exacerbated sigh. DiCello is a stellar gymnast, and she's clearly put in the extra focus and dedication to take the leap into A-tier and onto the main squad for Paris. She just missed the team for Worlds last year and had to settle for an alternate spot, just like Tokyo. But then rebounds to become both the PanAm and Winter Classic All-Around Champion so you think she's figured it all out and is going to be a force for Paris. Then she completely bombs at the U.S. Classic, and you think she's back to B-Tier inconsistent DiCello when the big names are in the building. But then, again, she shows a champion's resiliency to shake that off to be neck-and-neck for second with Blakely through 6 rotations and you again think maybe she's ready to jump in the pit and wrestle with the big dogs after all. And then she ... just kinda falls on bars, before wrapping up the meet by sleepwalking through beam, narrowly avoiding dipping off the podium entirely. And the real kicker to that is, Team USA potentially is going to need someone strong on Bars and Beam, which she has worked tirelessly this year to become, but it ends up not looking that way now and what could have been a triumphant exclamation point heading into Trials, ends up being a confusing, underwhelming whimper.
After a rather superb meet to that point, she's back into the Nether Realm territory heading into Trials. DiCello has all the talent and tools to make a splash for Team USA. But does the committee risk sending an Olympic rookie who shows mostly giant neon sign levels of sublime brilliance with just enough confounding unforced errors to make you wish you'd picked a different day to stop sniffing airplane glue on to Paris when the competition is the definition of intense and every score counts? We'll find out in a month /rant
Suni Lee is all the way back, finishing fourth and posting an absolute clinic on Beam tonight, while continuing to push her Bars routine into the stratosphere where it was before she was forced to fight her kidney disorder. Biles is a lock for Paris; Jones is a slightly less durable lock, but a lock nonetheless; Lee is having her lock brought in from the locksmith as we speak. Lee is such a perfect compliment to Biles and Jones, I do not see a Paris team without the three of them on it, which leaves 13 women to fight over 2 spots.
Jordan Chiles had a strong comeback after starting Night 2 with a fall on Beam to finish a respectable 5th.You gotta love Chiles; She has George Kittle-like charisma and personality, and she's a welcome addition to any team she's on. But I think at this point, she's going to need to finish fourth or higher at trials (and probably ahead of either Blakely or DiCello if not both) if she wants to make the team. She can't have another "respectable" finish and make the cut over this strong of competition, especially with Lee on the rise. Of course, this might be recency bias given Chiles took 3rd at the Core Hydration / US Classic a few weeks ago, and it was exclusively that fall on Beam that kept her off the podium tonight. Still, if Trials ends exactly the same as tonight, I think Chiles heads to Paris as an alternate.
Same goes for Jade Carey. A less respectable 7th place finish tonight largely due to a fall on Beam, after finishing 4th a few weeks ago with a fall on Bars. Both would be forgivable given the team would likely need her for Vault and Floor, but while her Vault score tonight was good enough for second, her Floor score was rather uninspiring tied for 4th with Wong and Roberson, and that was without Jones and Lincoln participating. That's not encouraging. If you want to send a Big Name #DreamTeam to Paris, Chiles and Carey have to be on it. But that may not end up being the best team.
Other than Floor, Leeane Wong had a bad meet, and Josclyn Roberson had a completely terrible meet by their standards. I don't see any chance for either of them to make the team short of nabbing at least a bronze, and more likely a silver at Trials. (I'd say gold, but by all accounts Biles being in the building, so ...)
I also don't think Tiana Sumanasekera has a real path to Paris here, but I thought it was really cool she choreographed her own Floor routine and used it to honor her Sri Lankan roots.
Let's hear it for Hezley Rivera, the still 15-year-old who's only been on the senior circuit for 3 months, finishing a commendable 6th, and entered the final rotation in 3rd, carried by her strong Bars and Beam score. I don't think she has any real hope of making the team to Paris, but she is certainly a front-runner for LA in 2028 ...
Along with a then 31-year-old Simone Biles
It's funny to reflect on my now two day old tier rankings and of my so-called "Dark Horses." Two of them didn't even fully compete due to injury, and a third finished 28th and out of contention entirely for Trials.
That Rivera "dark horse" pick though ...