You do a ton of assuming to fit your narrative.
If you look a few posts above, I cited a number of weaknesses in Banchero's game: not enough burst on his drives, his shooting needs work, needs to add craft, has an average motor, and agreed with Midtown on his softness. Is it not impossible to be excited about a prospect, but also criticize that prospect's weaknesses?
You may choose to look at the upside as much as you want. There's a saying in trading. Amateurs look at how much they can make while pros look at how much they can lose. Projections have zero value, if it's nothing but positives. Projections with real, actionable value start from the entire area under the curve (i.e., the best case), but are than brought down by incorporating most likely case to worse case inputs. I prefer the latter strategy. It keeps me grounded and also tends to lead to greater rewards, because the majority of the population is biased towards the former strategy.
Mark Cuban agrees:
“...there is always going to be a bias towards demand trying to push the price of a stock up. That in turn creates an opportunity for short sellers who get to take advantage of that upside bias...”