If we just keep all our guys can we win the championship?

#1
Is that all the Kings need to do to win? run it back? Stand pat in the draft n take BPA's, keep banking on the future? Looking at some of the posts around here I feel like some people seem to actually feel this way. They seem to feel this is the safest most logical route. I'd argue its rather idealistic. I'd say its time to strike while the irons hot.

I thought the 1st rd series made it pretty obvious the answer to that is no, i would argue the F/O came to the same conclusion, I'd argue perhaps they were testing the rosters sink-or-swim-ability in the playoffs, using it as a trial of sorts, maybe they couldve pulled the trigger at the deadline on something big but thought to wait and see n clearly the team failed the trial - not only cant we win the championship with these guys, we probably cant escape the west. we lost in a pretty bad way. We come out in the 2nd half at home in game 7 and completely faceplant, they choked, trounced on the boards how embarassing, with the whole NBA fanbase watching too game did a huge rating. blew a big lead from up 2-0 to down 3-2.. We had homecourt and Draymond suspended. Lots of things fell our way, healthiest team all season. Andrew Wiggins missed that wide open 3 when we were only up 1 with 10 seconds to go at the end of game 1. Then the team we lost to gets clapped 4-2 by the 7 seed next rd.

So this is not a recap thread.

I just see people absolutely hating on Free Agent or Trade alternatives, everyones bad and overpaid, or anyone thats like a 3rd stringer isnt really even worth responding about. but whats gonna happen when we have to resign our guys for more? Whats gonna happen if we kick the can down the road? thats the path to victory? We're gonna pay them 30% more so they'll perform 30% better? we're gonna resign all these guys who get knocked out of the first rd, and then expect them to win the championship vs an even stronger field?

That sounds like banking way too much on the P word far as im concerned (Potential)... I say our stars deserve better than that, they've earned it!

What if Monk goes bezerk for us again and then we get knocked out early again? We pay him the big bucks and allocate buku $$$ to the SG spot for Huerter and Malik? Cuz IDK, to me, that doesnt seem to take us anywhere, thats what we've already got...... Thats what yall are looking forward to, paying the players we have even more? thats not what this is all about, thats not how you win championships...


N thats really what I see here.. I see way too much banking on this potential, or sitting there just trying to make safe moves, I think its not really the outlook at all, nor is it what got us here see the Sabonis trade.. (I put my outlook below in oversized font)


We're gonna pay Barnes 20, Fox 32, Domas is gonna want 30, Huerters locked in for 16-18... This seems so foolish to me I'ma just cut it off right there... Is that safer really? the word is Safer... Cuz that doesnt seem safer to me, infact that seems risky as hell to me, cuz in my estimation we're clearly not good enough. I see people talking about Davion being resigned... No team is looking at him as some potential starter, he's a bench guy everywhere, the bidding should be quite modest, not a factor here in summer '23, its a matter of '25, might seem strange that im bringing this up but there is this sort of apples being compared to oranges thing going on here with the money..

the thing that actually pisses me off the most, is people say things like "we'll have nothing left" if we spend X.. I disagree, I think thats a chicken little type of take we'll in fact never run out of ammo..and we already have plenty, so how could be be left with nothing, when we have so much already, something doesnt add up. and honestly if you really look at this trove of 2nd rd picks that we have... If we do load the salary structure in a very topheavy way, we have plenty of avenues for filling in the rest of the roster at bargain prices..

What makes sense to me is to fire with all the power we've got, because the core, the foundation is already established. Of course things could go wrong, anyone we sign could get injured.

I would argue that Richaun Holmes had an IMMENSELY negative impact on our title chances last season, far more than people from the kings org would ever lead us to believe... instead of having his $11MM put to use it was cheerleading on the sidelines. To me, it ruined us. So when I see people going crazy about a really good player and his salary I cant help but think of how much this smaller roleplayers deadweight salary hurt us this year, n how that was marginalized n now were making a big deal over a player whos one of the best... plus it's pretty clear they were just playing richaun to showcase him for a trade, so like Queta's stuck in the g-league over this! its terrible.

I say get us the best players possible, surround De'Aaron and Sabonis with the best players we can find.. all other strategies are inferior.. Get us players who can help Sabonis not have what happened to him ever again in that 1st rd series....... We're not gonna win playoff series by having worse starters but superior depth.. We're gonna beat playoff teams by getting Fox and Sabonis the most help we can...

and stop with the run Harrison Barnes out of town scenarios!! Like what if he's down to play for cheap here? Could be extremely valuable. We dont even know what the guys asking for and people wanna run him out of town. The craziest thing I see this offseason are in fact the Barnes replacement scenarios where we go from HArrison who played with immense patience and as an extension of the coach to some 23 year old player who was chucking shots on a bad team to juice his stats before free agency.

the only reason this thread exists is because I'm literally seeing scenarios that make the Kings way worse being posted about like their upgrades. and I mean worse than this past seasons team, not even next seasons, which unless something goes very wrong should easily be better.
 
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#2
Sabonis has to prove he can perform in the playoffs, Fox has shown he's built for it but Sabonis has had massive dropoffs in every playoffs series but at the same time he was going against legit really good teams.. If Sabonis is capable AND there is a season without legit superteams like this year the Kings "can win". I still think they need a legit #2 option and move Sabonis as the #3 option come playoffs.
 

pdxKingsFan

So Ordinary That It's Truly Quite Extraordinary
Staff member
#3
I'm not sure why not wanting to be the first team to try to test the new CBA after the fact means the alternative is running it back. I am for an OG move if it's there. I like Huerter but I don't think he's untouchable. Same with Davion. There's a lot of guys I think we move on from immediately - Len, Delly, TD, Metu. Do we give Queta a chance? What about Edwards? I assume we make a strong offer to Sasha. We still have to find a taker for Richaun and in due time I imagine someone will take him as an ender - with Beal we'd probably just let him expire to avoid all the penalties that come with that salary overrun. Do we sign our draft pick? What about our second rounders? There's trades to be made that don't put us into salary hell.

I don't expect the team to stand pat.
 

kingsboi

Hall of Famer
#4
if Fox, Sabonis and Murray add another level to their game then yes, but all three doing that might not be the most likely outcome. Instead they may continue to polish up what they are good at to become excellent. Perhaps Domas continues working on his mid range J and becomes consistent with it and less emphasis on the three ball. I'm with you here that if you could net a third all-star without completely gutting your depth, then you go for it. Otherwise, I think playing together with the core group of players that will be here long term is the best approach for the time being. Golden State had to do it before they went on their championship runs, Miami, Boston, Milwaukee and Denver too. Too many variables are in play when competing for a ship.
 
#5
I think an important 4th piece needs to be added to this team.

I don't think that 4th piece is on this roster rn.

And when I say 4th I mean on top of Fox Keegan and Sabonis.

Beal is an answer but I don't think you can get rid of any of the above.

If that 4th piece is found while keeping Fox Keegan and Sabonis I think we're golden.
 

SacTownKid

Hall of Famer
#6
I think an important 4th piece needs to be added to this team.

I don't think that 4th piece is on this roster rn.

And when I say 4th I mean on top of Fox Keegan and Sabonis.

Beal is an answer but I don't think you can get rid of any of the above.

If that 4th piece is found while keeping Fox Keegan and Sabonis I think we're golden.
And the reality is, for those parameters to be met, the piece in return has to have some negativity to it. It's just the way it is. It's almost always that way.
 

SacTownKid

Hall of Famer
#7
I'm not sure why not wanting to be the first team to try to test the new CBA after the fact means the alternative is running it back. I am for an OG move if it's there. I like Huerter but I don't think he's untouchable. Same with Davion. There's a lot of guys I think we move on from immediately - Len, Delly, TD, Metu. Do we give Queta a chance? What about Edwards? I assume we make a strong offer to Sasha. We still have to find a taker for Richaun and in due time I imagine someone will take him as an ender - with Beal we'd probably just let him expire to avoid all the penalties that come with that salary overrun. Do we sign our draft pick? What about our second rounders? There's trades to be made that don't put us into salary hell.

I don't expect the team to stand pat.
Monte got to where he is by making aggressive moves for Fox. Fox needs more help. It's clear. Standing pat really only matters in relation to that. Replacing Len, Delly and the rest likely doesn't do much to answer that issue so changing those pieces out or not is like working on 5% of the problem. If there's a deal with Beal going down, Holmes would probably be going back for salary reasons. Other than that there are likely no takers for Holmes.

Lets say they trade for OG. What's his next contract look like? 30 million per? 35 million per? That's what Grant wants and will probably get from someone. So, say you've got Huerter or Barnes, OG, Monk, and Murray staying. How is that cap hell any different if that's the concern? That money you'd be paying to Beal is all there just in an extra body or two. What you do is build your team now BEFORE that CBA so whatever penalties may come won't effect you since you already have your pieces. If the Kings can get OG for the same package as a Beal of course you could do that, but that's likely not the case.
 
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pdxKingsFan

So Ordinary That It's Truly Quite Extraordinary
Staff member
#9
Lets say they trade for OG. What's his next contract look like? 30 million per? 35 million per?
My read/understanding of the new CBA rules is that a guy making 30-35 is one thing and probably inevitable but a guy making 50+ better be an MVP candidate. Big threes are done and it will be all about duos.
 
#12
I’d much rather go after Anunoby over Beal and allow Murray to continue to develop into that 2nd scoring option (pushing Sabonis to a 3rd option/facilitator role).

Anunoby’s elite defense combined with his shooting & secondary scoring would elevate this team’s ceiling more than adding someone who is a great offensive player but a below average defender. We already have an extremely strong offensive team. And the offensive woes we saw in the playoffs can be mitigated by…
  • Sabonis improving his ability to go right and finish with his right hand so teams can’t overplay his left side
  • Sabonis improving his midrange jumper so defenses can sag off of him and protect the paint/take away back door cuts
  • Murray taking another step forward as a scorer so defenses have to worry about multiple players when the ball is in their hands.
Then you consider the amount of money Beal is owed, his injury history, and his age, and there’s just a lot of risk that I’d rather not take.

Adding Anunoby is a solid step forward for the franchise and addresses our biggest need (defense) while maintaining our strength (offense). If another season from now, Murray doesn’t look to be growing in the scorer we’ll need, then maybe you start to think about packaging some assets to bring in that type of player. If Murray is progressing in that direction, but perhaps we still struggle defensively (this limiting next years playoff run), perhaps we’re looking to upgrade Huerter with a 3&D SG to further bolster the defense while maintaining the spacing for Fox & Sabonis.

The point is that we don’t have to solve it all this off-season. Let’s be methodical with our upgrades and give our 4th pick a shot at growing into the player we need.
 

dude12

Hall of Famer
#13
I posted this in another thread, I agree that OG would fill the Aaron Gordon role


Beal’s ability to create would be something we could use for sure.
And he’s had a career of fantastic stats
But the exaggeration train in this thread is nuts.
Acquiring Beal doesn’t necessarily equal conference finals and or championship.
I don’t think anyone on here is saying he’s not a good player but you can’t separated player from the contract. That contract is Superbad.

I’m betting many on here believe that the Kings may be better off going the Nuggets model of keeping the team together and making improvements with high level role players. We have the Jokic and Murray and Porter roles filled with our 3. Aaron Gordon > HB is where we need to improve. And then we have more offensive oriented guys in Huerter, Monk where as Denver has the Brown and KCP defensive oriented guys.

Acquiring Beal seems more of a “chase a star to play with other stars move” which has been sketchy. Sheesh, this team already is a scoring machine. Playoffs are what’s important now you say? Yeah, agreed, I guarantee that playoff teams will sag the paint like the Warriors did and take away Domas, Fox and Beal and for whomever our 3 point shooters are to beat them. Beal won’t change that.

I for one am not going base my whole off-season on 1 playoff series against the Warriors and then say we need to make this move or that when GS was the one team that could score with us.

I think the Kings are close to making that deep playoff run and possibly winning the western conference. I think getting high level role players such as Gordon, KCP and a Bruce Brown will push this team over the top. And I do think Gordon is playing a role on the Nuggets after being a top option in Orlando. His defense from his position is something that would make us a real contender. Beal doesn’t do that.

Is Beal good? He is. But I have some serious doubts that he’s the answer and we will be hamstrung trying to get those high level role players.
 
#15
My read/understanding of the new CBA rules is that a guy making 30-35 is one thing and probably inevitable but a guy making 50+ better be an MVP candidate. Big threes are done and it will be all about duos.
Windhorst is saying you can't even have a 3rd guy making that money though. That's BS until further notice. There will be penalties I'm sure but the last go around in the CBA didn't do what it was "supposed" to either. And even if it does, it will be both eased in and probably have outs available.
 
#16
And the offensive woes we saw in the playoffs can be mitigated by…
  • Sabonis improving his midrange jumper so defenses can sag off of him and protect the paint/take away back door cuts
  • Murray taking another step forward as a scorer so defenses have to worry about multiple players when the ball is in their hands.
IF Sabonis can start hitting that top of the key jumper at a solid clip, like Brad Miller did, the Kings would be damn near impossible to out score.

If we can somehow get OG without giving up Keegan and then Keegan taking the leap to be more aggressive and score in the paint and mid-range and the Kings would be title contenders for years to come.
 

pdxKingsFan

So Ordinary That It's Truly Quite Extraordinary
Staff member
#17
Windhorst is saying you can't even have a 3rd guy making that money though. That's BS until further notice. There will be penalties I'm sure but the last go around in the CBA didn't do what it was "supposed" to either. And even if it does, it will be both eased in and probably have outs available.
Look at the rules on the second apron. It pretty much kills every single out the luxury cap teams had. I don't see it being finessed.

But I also just don't see how it is good for teams that build through the draft, or for players. Actually - I see it as a way to f with multiyear tanking teams because it actually punishes teams that can sign the max deals now.
 
#18
Look at the rules on the second apron. It pretty much kills every single out the luxury cap teams had. I don't see it being finessed.

But I also just don't see how it is good for teams that build through the draft, or for players. Actually - I see it as a way to f with multiyear tanking teams because it actually punishes teams that can sign the max deals now.
That's actually a great point and that's probably what the actual intent is. Punishing big market teams with $$$? I'll believe that when I see it. And teams don't usually build straight through the draft. The Nuggets drafted 3 of their guys, but they traded youth/picks to get Gordon to finish it off. The Kings drafted Fox and Murray. They hopefully are beyond building through the draft at this point. I think there is period of easing to start. I've looked it up before, I'm not sure if what I remember reading were the final numbers but I don't see the big deal if you're a contender already and willing to spend. From what I remember the list of players it showed that couldn't have been signed under the new rules by teams in the penalty zone included names like John Wall. Really? That's going to stop teams like the Clippers, Suns, Lakers, or Warriors? Eh, nice try NBA. If this was as bad as some think, the players never would have accepted it, and at the first chance, it's lockout time which I think is not long after the actual harshness kicks in. Like a season or two.

This is why you see so many teams trading future picks now probably. They're super valuable but won't be as much after the fact, but I mean 7 years down the line or whatever you can't do anymore? That's ridiculous crap anyway haha. The big burden is going to go on potential late draftees. Teams like OKC are literally destroying potential careers by hording picks like that. That's also probably why we'll see more and more players opt to not even stay in the draft if they aren't guaranteed 1st rounders. 2nd round picks will become toilet paper.

For any major trade to go down now with the Kings, they'd clearly expect to be contending or not by disaster time. The 2nd apron from what I remember is pretty far above the luxury tax line. Teams are worried about exceeding the second apron, not the first. With Fox/Beal/Domas/Murray (who knows his contract value at this point) I don't see an issue getting that high. If that combo is good enough, by then you can still fill in the pieces around them, or take a step back in a partial reset. You can usually always find the fill in pieces if you're stacked at the top. Either way, up to that point in time you maybe have given yourself a chance to contend.

Here's a list of the cap numbers moving on. I just looked it up, so I'm not sure how accurate it is but by the time Fox comes off, Beal is still on, etc. that 2nd apron should have some room below it for a team like Sacramento to keep their big 4 intact. Like I said though, by that time they might have already decided to change some other pieces in or out.

https://basketball.realgm.com/nba/info/salary_cap
 
#19
Id much rather go for Wiggins or OG over beal. Not that beal isnt a great player but when we already have a high usage injury prone guard in Fox, can you imagine the risk of tying up both with injuries...go for Wiggins if possible, push hard for OG if not (Holmes, Davion, this years draft pick and a future first, and 2 seconds), try to sign HB back for $12-15M (bench) puts you up to $119-122. Id try to bring in Dwight Howard as the backup center on a vet minimum and use putting you up to $122-125. Bring back Lyles for $8-10M taking you to $130-135M you then can use part of your MLE to bring in a reasonable backup PG (Gabe Vincent > Javeon Carter > Shake Milton)
 
#20
No we cannot win a championship with the current roster. Sabonis got exposed. If Sabonis was automatic with a foul line spot up. Then maybe. He was literally afraid to shoot.
 

gunks

Hall of Famer
#21
No we cannot win a championship with the current roster. Sabonis got exposed. If Sabonis was automatic with a foul line spot up. Then maybe. He was literally afraid to shoot.
Yurp.

Barnes, Huerter and Domas all crapped the bed spectacularly against GS, with Domas's bad play having the largest negative impact.

Ref's weren't calling **** on GS, and he was injured, so I certainly wouldn't knock our chances at contending with Sabonis, but he definitely needs to add some shooting. We can't have our season effectively ended by a role player again (Curry's 50 piece wouldn't have meant anything if Sabonis played like he did in the regular season).

Fox and Keegan can definitely be pieces on a contender if healthy Domas steps up next season. Then it's all about support pieces and role players.