With the success of Miami and other under the radar players, I think there's plenty of NBA talents who just don't get the opportunity. With a team like Miami, they're patient and actually willing to see it through with their players. Maybe even more important, they're willing to give them consistent rotational minutes. Lot of NBA guys sticking around in the League instead of going overseas to make 4x more money in hopes they'll get called up... but these NBA teams won't take a shot on them unless it's a 10-day signing with 5 games left in the season..
But looking at those successful "sleeper" prospects, high ball IQ seems to be the common denominator in most cases. I think some fans got too used to Vlade missing on his mid/late 1st round draft picks (Papagiannis, Jackson, Giles, Malachi, and Skal) that might lead them to assuming that the 24th pick isn't valuable.. which is the furthest thing from the truth. Monte hasn't done a very good job with his 2nd round picks, but he'll need to hit the Pacers one this year. Jaden Hardy stings a lot.... even Gary Trent Jr too (under Vlade). Those two guys were low-risk, high reward players. I wouldn't mind those swings either in the 2nd round.
I don't think this is true at all. Monte hasn't hit with his exact 2nd round picks, but he's been great on the fringes in finding talent that contributes to the main club.
Trey Lyles was a throw-in in the Bagley trade, became a core rotation player and a guy who's became a "must" to resign.
Took Metu off the street, he became a rotation player
Took Damian Jones off the street, he became a rotation player
Acquired Kessler Edwards for cash, he looks like he can be a rotation player
T.Davis for a 2nd round pick. He turned into a rotation player
Acquired Vezenkov rights for a 2nd. This could be the game-breaker trade that we've been looking for from a 2nd round pick investment
Keon Ellis as an UDFA. Certainly has upside to turn into a rotation player
Queta was one of the best players in the G-League last season. It's put up or shut up time for him, but you certainly can't call him a bust pick yet.
Woodard was a bust
Ramsey was a bust
Trading off the Hardy pick was a big oof.
KZ and Moneke had basically no team investment, but if we're including Jones/Metu as wins, it makes sense to include them as losses too.
So by my guesstimation, he hit a double with Lyles, he's hit 3 singles with Metu, Davis and Jones, struck out 5 times with KZ/Moneke/Woodard/Ramsey/trading Hardy pick and has 4 live AB's to add to his batting average with Vezenkov/Queta/Ellis/Edwards.
I think a B makes the most sense as a grade. The Hardy miss looks like it can be incredibly bad, but the Vezenkov deal looks like it can equally be a home-run. Just overall solid amount of NBA contributors that he's found over the last 3 years.