In Y3 we finished a 4 seed iirc and played Lakers in round 2.
I Y2 we finished an 8 seed and played them in round 1 (or was it 7/2?). Never had a realistic chance at advancing while this year depending on the first round matchup I would be sad but understand if we get upset and don't advance, we have a very realistic shot of winning a playoff series this year.
Realistically we are in between these two years - which is why I don't expect us to make a WCF run before year 3. But we have a legit shot of getting second round experience and even sneaking into the WCF prematurely if we hang onto a top 3 seed.
In Y3 we were a 3-seed, the Lakers finished
one game ahead of us and were the 2-seed, which is why we got them in round 2.
In Y2 we were the 8th seed, and finished 6 games over (44-38) but we came into our last 8 games 12 games over (43-31) and then absolutely got blasted, losing 7 of the last 8. Of course, that 43-31 record was only good for 7th place that year at the time...if we equal 43-31 this year that would be at worst a tie for 4th/5th, and that's only if the Warriors run off 9 straight...6th place and worse already have 32 losses.
The point being - aside from a terrible tank at the end of the season, we're about where we were record wise in Y2 of Adelman right now - we're doing much better in the standings, but that's because there's a ton of mediocrity this year in the West.
Of course, on the other hand the Lakers pummelled us in the playoffs in Y3 in the same way (or worse) than we would expect to be pummelled by Denver this year...but I think that was quite a disappointment and we should have done better.
So I don't know if things should ever map one-to-one onto the past, but Y4 Adelman we had the best record in the league and we all know we would have won the championship if it weren't for Game 6, and Y5 we were one win down from best record in the league and would have won if Webber didn't blow his knee out. So if we're the equivalent of Y3 now, does that mean we're legit-everything-but-the-refs contenders next year? That's why I feel like we're a bit behind that schedule.