Welcome Davion Mitchell

#92
I was upset at first. I'll be honest, I didn't read up on him much because I didn't think we would take a PG with Fox and Wright on our team already. But I went through a game of his and watched some interviews, read more about him, I've grown to like him a lot. If we trade Fox. Otherwise it makes no sense.

Mitchell seems to be an amazing defender with a Mamba-esque work ethic. He lives and breathes basketball. Seems like the recipe for a great player.
FWIW this is from the Athletic summary:

To me, he’s going to be best next to a primary scoring option at the two or three who can run the offense a bit and get clean looks late in the shot clock. Imagine him next to someone like Zach LaVine where Mitchell’s terrific on-ball defensive prowess would help make up for LaVine’s defensive issues. But LaVine’s differentiated shot-creation ability would help Mitchell’s single-minded driving and shooting game. Mitchell can run the show for minutes at a time, but it’s going to be best for him to have a real scorer next to him (much like he had at Baylor with Butler). To me, Mitchell has a shot to be an elite role-playing point guard in the vein of a more creative Patrick Beverley. He’s one of the few players who can match Beverley’s intensity and dogged on-ball defensive game. And where Beverley can run a competent point while playing next to more creative guys, Mitchell might be able to take over for a few minutes at a time. Mitchell has a shot to be a starter.
Sounds like a pretty good fit to me. Davion as a secondary ball handler, elite defender, and serious three point threat to get those kick-outs from Fox seems pretty fantastic.

With respect to the roster, we functionally have three players now: Fox, Davion, and Haliburton. 23, 22, and 21 years old. All hard working no-nonsense guys. All with complementary skill sets, all good defenders, all good ball handlers. Fox on track to be scoring 25-30 ppg, now surrounded by two great 3-point shooters. The only real concern I can see is with all three being undersized, there could be some issues on defense against larger lineups, but with a properly filled out roster and a good coach I can't think of any reason why it's bad to see what these guys can do together, especially with how many years we have these 3 locked up for.
 
#93
I wonder if Monte truly envisions a long term 3 guard starting lineup? I mean maybe if Hali adds 25 pounds of muscle and you find a super versatile lockdown 4 at some point.
That would be a tremendous gamble. What playoff team in the modern NBA even runs a 3-guard starting lineup? The Blazers? Anybody else? The league is shrinking at 4/5, not at 2/3. It seems like every other team has discovered the value of having multiple wing players that can swing between the 3 and the 4 and sometimes even the 5. Most Kings fans despised the Harrison Barnes acquisition in 2019. Now he's actually one of the Kings' best trade chips because he's a solid wing who can swing between the 3 and the 4 and can hit outside shots at an above-average rate. Three-guard lineups are cute, but I don't think the Kings are getting to the playoffs on the back of that kind of a gimmick.
 
#96
That would be a tremendous gamble. What playoff team in the modern NBA even runs a 3-guard starting lineup? The Blazers? Anybody else? The league is shrinking at 4/5, not at 2/3. It seems like every other team has discovered the value of having multiple wing players that can swing between the 3 and the 4 and sometimes even the 5. Most Kings fans despised the Harrison Barnes acquisition in 2019. Now he's actually one of the Kings' best trade chips because he's a solid wing who can swing between the 3 and the 4 and can hit outside shots at an above-average rate. Three-guard lineups are cute, but I don't think the Kings are getting to the playoffs on the back of that kind of a gimmick.
If Davion doesn’t bust there’s a few outcomes:
1- one of him or Hali becomes a super sixth man long term, creating a successful 3 guard rotation
2- an experimental starting lineup with those 3 somehow succeeds (and here I think the “3 guards” thing is possible because all 3 are great defenders, altho obviously not guaranteed)
3- Hali and Mitchell both play so well that they demand starting spots but it doesn’t work out with them and Fox, resulting in one being traded while their value is peaking

Any three of which are good outcomes.

And this is what happens when you draft for BPA. Yes the fit isn’t obvious. Everyone agrees that we’re bad enough that we need to do best available, and we’ve all got PTSD from the Luka fiasco. So what’s with the heartburn now that we’re looking at the issues that inherently come with drafting the best player available?
 
#97
If Davion doesn’t bust there’s a few outcomes:
1- one of him or Hali becomes a super sixth man long term, creating a successful 3 guard rotation
2- an experimental starting lineup with those 3 somehow succeeds (and here I think the “3 guards” thing is possible because all 3 are great defenders, altho obviously not guaranteed)
3- Hali and Mitchell both play so well that they demand starting spots but it doesn’t work out with them and Fox, resulting in one being traded while their value is peaking

Any three of which are good outcomes.

And this is what happens when you draft for BPA. Yes the fit isn’t obvious. Everyone agrees that we’re bad enough that we need to do best available, and we’ve all got PTSD from the Luka fiasco. So what’s with the heartburn now that we’re looking at the issues that inherently come with drafting the best player available?
Well, this is contingent upon believing that Mitchell was the best player available. I don't necessarily agree. As for your second point above, Fox and Haliburton are not "great defenders." Not yet, anyway. They're not even plus defenders. Mitchell is having to do far too much heavy lifting on that end of the court in any hypothetical three-guard lineup with Fox and Hali.
 
#98
Sitting on the pick a bit more, I think it can work. Both Fox and Hali need a defensive guard next to them and if he shows he can defend both slots, there's plenty of room for 30+ minute role while getting some time in 3 guard lineups. If his shooting jump his senior year was actually real, guards that can defend both spots while being an elite spacer and offer creation are incredibly rare in the game. And valuable. But you have to trust that jump was real.

Basically it feels like McNair made his job significantly harder than it needed to be. This all of a sudden needs to be an incredibly busy off-season where Buddy Hield, Bagley and now probably Wright or Davis need to be shipped out. Resigning Holmes and signing a MLE wing is unacceptable. He committed his most valuable assets to 3 guards, so he has to have a plan to balance out the rest of the roster if he his plan is to move forward with those 3.

On the surface though, he took the Kings being the worst defensive team in NBA history to heart and directly addressed that need. Mitchell and Neemias both top notch defenders at their positions. Robert Woodard from last year I think can have real defensive upside. Let's see if he has the chops to where these selctions aren't wasted and balances out the roster.
 
#99
There's also something to be said if the Kings just say "**** it" and run small permanently. Mitchell takes the best player 1-3, regardless of the size difference and we run the ball down your throat on offense with 3 excellent ball-handlers/playmakers. That would be a very "Morey-disciple" type of move if the plan is to start all 3 from day 1.
 
Basically it feels like McNair made his job significantly harder than it needed to be. This all of a sudden needs to be an incredibly busy off-season where Buddy Hield, Bagley and now probably Wright or Davis need to be shipped out. Resigning Holmes and signing a MLE wing is unacceptable. He committed his most valuable assets to 3 guards, so he has to have a plan to balance out the rest of the roster if he his plan is to move forward with those 3.
I wonder if he lost leverage in holding on to Buddy? Can't seal the deal on a trade AND drafted his replacement. If we don't trade him before the season we are likely to run out the same starting lineup as last year with the exception of Bagley.

Speaking of Bagley, if we bring him off the bench and he is getting 15-20 minutes a game, how will he rebuild value? Do we bring back a guy who basically doesn't want to be here? Another full season with him on the roster only to let him go in restricted free agency.

Maybe we go

Fox Wright Mitchell
Hali Buddy
Barnes Buddy
Bags Metu
Holmes Queta
 
I wonder if he lost leverage in holding on to Buddy? Can't seal the deal on a trade AND drafted his replacement. If we don't trade him before the season we are likely to run out the same starting lineup as last year with the exception of Bagley.

Speaking of Bagley, if we bring him off the bench and he is getting 15-20 minutes a game, how will he rebuild value? Do we bring back a guy who basically doesn't want to be here? Another full season with him on the roster only to let him go in restricted free agency.

Maybe we go

Fox Wright Mitchell
Hali Buddy
Barnes Buddy
Bags Metu
Holmes Queta
There will continue to be a market for Buddy with playoff teams needing 3 point shooting, and tbh we “won” those trade talks by not getting stuck with Kuzma, and not sending Buddy to the Lakers (who would’ve filled a much bigger need than just throwing Westbrook in the mix and praying it works out). Same with Barnes when Boston came sniffing around. With how young our core guys are it makes more sense to wait a year or two and find the right deal, since we have the luxury to do so.

Bagley I think can be written off at this point - maybe we get a late pick for him or something but if he ends up walking it’s not the end of the world. He’s got talent but with his injury history and attitude he doesn’t have much value. There’s no reason to put too much thought into how exactly his ignominious tenure comes to an end.
 
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That said, I am excited to watch him D up and actually give a crap about that end of the floor. After 15 years of the Kings largely ignoring that end of basketball, I suspect he's going to going to be a fan favorite 1 game into the California Classic.


Everyone watch this video. Forget college, how many dudes in the NBA have tape like this vs someone who is going to be one of the elite superstars in the game?
 
Sitting on the pick a bit more, I think it can work. Both Fox and Hali need a defensive guard next to them and if he shows he can defend both slots, there's plenty of room for 30+ minute role while getting some time in 3 guard lineups. If his shooting jump his senior year was actually real, guards that can defend both spots while being an elite spacer and offer creation are incredibly rare in the game. And valuable. But you have to trust that jump was real.

Basically it feels like McNair made his job significantly harder than it needed to be. This all of a sudden needs to be an incredibly busy off-season where Buddy Hield, Bagley and now probably Wright or Davis need to be shipped out. Resigning Holmes and signing a MLE wing is unacceptable. He committed his most valuable assets to 3 guards, so he has to have a plan to balance out the rest of the roster if he his plan is to move forward with those 3.

On the surface though, he took the Kings being the worst defensive team in NBA history to heart and directly addressed that need. Mitchell and Neemias both top notch defenders at their positions. Robert Woodard from last year I think can have real defensive upside. Let's see if he has the chops to where these selctions aren't wasted and balances out the roster.
All that one-on-one defense isn't going to mean squat if Fox is still losing his man off the ball every other possession and/or getting stripped while driving into the lane leading to easy 3-on-1 fast breaks the other way 2-3 times a game.
 
Love the pick, and at this point screw trading Buddy why give away his elite shooting to playoff caliber teams arent we striving for that? People wanting a wing, well maybe they feel confident getting Woodard on the floor this year?
 
No, point is don't expect us to magically fix our defensive issues just by getting one or two good one on one defenders.
I don't think Davion is just a good one on one defender. I think he's an excellent help defender, he works his ass off to be a good transition defender and he's constantly making smart reads on and off-ball. And of course I think having a smothering on-ball defender to take the best offensive player is going to take a huge stress off Fox for him to focus on the creation offensively.

I still don't understand why you're bringing this up at all? No one expects Mitchell alone to magically fix the worst defense in NBA history. But replacing our bad defenders with good defenders should help no?
 
I don't think Davion is just a good one on one defender. I think he's an excellent help defender, he works his ass off to be a good transition defender and he's constantly making smart reads on and off-ball. And of course I think having a smothering on-ball defender to take the best offensive player is going to take a huge stress off Fox for him to focus on the creation offensively.

I still don't understand why you're bringing this up at all? No one expects Mitchell alone to magically fix the worst defense in NBA history. But replacing our bad defenders with good defenders should help no?
You said "On the surface though, he took the Kings being the worst defensive team in NBA history to heart and directly addressed that need."

My response was that the team as a whole needs a lot more than Mitchell and Queta to fix its defensive issues, and as long as Fox and co continue being terrible team defenders our poor defense will not have been "addressed".
 
You said "On the surface though, he took the Kings being the worst defensive team in NBA history to heart and directly addressed that need."

My response was that the team as a whole needs a lot more than Mitchell and Queta to fix its defensive issues, and as long as Fox and co continue being terrible team defenders our poor defense will not have been "addressed".
Our defense sucks. He drafted two players who profile as good defenders. That's addressing the "defense sucking". Of course this team needs more help on defense. I never said it didn't, that's you trying to play "gotcha!"

You fix a bad defense by infusing it with good defenders and taking the bad defenders off the floor. Mitchell and Delon Wright taking all the CoJo-Buddy minutes from last year is a great place to start.
 
I really like Davion Mitchell as a prospect, but I didn't rate him as a top-10 pick. In the NBA, he projects to be something like a shorter Marcus Smart with a markedly better shot. And that's a worthy trajectory! I've wanted Smart in a Kings uni for years... that is, before they drafted De'Aaron Fox and Tyrese Haliburton. Drafting Mitchell is just a head-scratcher of the highest order for me.

I would have vastly preferred Moses Moody or Jalen Johnson or even Alperun Sengun with the 9th pick. Any of those guys would have made more sense on this roster, and I'm not even close to convinced that Mitchell represents a substantial leap in talent over Moody/Johnson/Sengun that justifies clogging the backcourt even further. Fox/Hali/Mitchell can get situational run together, but I don't see nearly enough size there for them to work in a lineup consistently. I don't believe in that group defensively, Mitchell's prowess on that end of the court notwithstanding.

So what does this mean? Did the Kings just use a top-10 pick on a sixth man? Trying to ship out Buddy Hield is a start, but it won't clear up the backcourt logjam. Haliburton is a functional SG alongside Fox, but he's still a PG. The Kings' three best young talents are all PG's. No matter how you slice it, that's just not effective or efficient roster-building. It's easy enough to say, "Take the best player, sort the rest out later," but do the Kings have a particularly strong history of "sorting it out"? It's really not all that simple to "win" trades in the modern NBA. In situations like these, you often lose value in the transaction because you've alienated player minutes by stacking all your talent at one or two positions, inadvertently depressing the value of each.

So, again, what does this mean? What's the long-term plan? Is McNair considering trading De'Aaron Fox? With the stated franchise goal of making the playoffs ASAP, he's actually made his job more difficult this draft day. Rather than selecting a plug-and-play two-way wing like Moody to aid in balancing the roster (and making it easier to move on from Bagley and shift Harrison Barnes to the 4-spot full-time), McNair has given himself further question marks to deal with. Now he has to decide if he's committed to Fox, who is far and away the Kings' best trade chip under the circumstances.

That said, it is a massive risk to deal an all-star level talent away because you drafted a solid first-rounder who happens to share your best player's position. You had better be getting a surefire all-star in return. Is a Ben Simmons deal in the works? Here are two hypothetical line-ups:

Fox
Haliburton
Moody
Barnes
Holmes

Mitchell
Haliburton
Barnes
Simmons
Holmes

Personally, I like that first lineup better, and it would have been so much simpler.

Anyway, I don't mean to rain on Davion Mitchell's KF.com welcome parade. I really do like him as a prospect. I think he's going to have a successful career in the NBA. I'm just really struggling with the wisdom of drafting a third PG in five years.
I think on the right team, in the right role Mitchell could be more productive than Moody, but yeah, fit matters. Lets see if Mitchell can guard these 4 positions because if he can't, someone in the Kings core is a 6th man until they get poached in FA or disappoint.
 
Our defense sucks. He drafted two players who profile as good defenders. That's addressing the "defense sucking". Of course this team needs more help on defense. I never said it didn't, that's you trying to play "gotcha!"

You fix a bad defense by infusing it with good defenders and taking the bad defenders off the floor. Mitchell and Delon Wright taking all the CoJo-Buddy minutes from last year is a great place to start.
Well firstly, I understood your use of "addressed" to mean that it was taken care of. Fine, difference in understanding, can't blame either of us. Like when you say you've addressed an issue, I take that to mean it's been dealt with rather than you've started to fix the problem.

Nonetheless, I wasn't even rebutting your point per se, but just responding to it or adding on. You're the one who got snarky and sarcastic.

For the record as well, we haven't replaced anybody at this point.
 
My take on the heat on Mitchell's height disadvantage on defense is that this isn't the 90s anymore where everyone will immediately post up a small guy. The game has changed, there's very few players these days whose instinct is a post up play. The game has turned into many running around to get open from the perimeter and shoot a 3. And that's where the Kings are getting burned all day. Our players often get lost where the other teams are switching their players to.

That's why when Halli started snatching balls in the passing lanes Kings actually got some good wins last season. Hence, this is where I think McNair is banking on Mitchell. Add an extra hand to disrupt the passing lanes and the ballhandler and your opponent will drop their offensive efficiency.

Teams don't even give that many minutes to shot blocker these days. The efficient defense now is offense disruption and not just keeping the ball away from the rim.

I do hope Monte's banking on the right kid again.
 
My take on the heat on Mitchell's height disadvantage on defense is that this isn't the 90s anymore where everyone will immediately post up a small guy. The game has changed, there's very few players these days whose instinct is a post up play. The game has turned into many running around to get open from the perimeter and shoot a 3. And that's where the Kings are getting burned all day. Our players often get lost where the other teams are switching their players to.

That's why when Halli started snatching balls in the passing lanes Kings actually got some good wins last season. Hence, this is where I think McNair is banking on Mitchell. Add an extra hand to disrupt the passing lanes and the ballhandler and your opponent will drop their offensive efficiency.

Teams don't even give that many minutes to shot blocker these days. The efficient defense now is offense disruption and not just keeping the ball away from the rim.

I do hope Monte's banking on the right kid again.
It's not just about posting up though. Look at Giannis running through people, KD just shooting over people. The action doesn't need to be back to the basket in the paint for height to matter. Jrue is a fantastic defender but there's only so much he can do when good scorers are just able to shoot over him.
 
It's not just about posting up though. Look at Giannis running through people, KD just shooting over people. The action doesn't need to be back to the basket in the paint for height to matter. Jrue is a fantastic defender but there's only so much he can do when good scorers are just able to shoot over him.
While KD is praising Jrue, he was shooting 49.7% in that series. That is why I don't take players flattering each other as an evidence of how they played.
 
It's not just about posting up though. Look at Giannis running through people, KD just shooting over people. The action doesn't need to be back to the basket in the paint for height to matter. Jrue is a fantastic defender but there's only so much he can do when good scorers are just able to shoot over him.
So Walton will field his PG on a PF/C on every posiition? Come on man! Be realistic.
 
You said "On the surface though, he took the Kings being the worst defensive team in NBA history to heart and directly addressed that need."

My response was that the team as a whole needs a lot more than Mitchell and Queta to fix its defensive issues, and as long as Fox and co continue being terrible team defenders our poor defense will not have been "addressed".
Yea, there needs to be some subtractions. Starting with a few traffic cones on defense.