Luka Doncic (pre and post-draft discussion thread)

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While that's true. What makes you think a bunch of whispers from social media is going to be any more accurate? If you have a direct quote from his parents or agent, then sure, I'll believe you. But you don't, so you can only take it from what they say on camera.
What we have is the fact the certain players didn't workout. If you buy the fact that it makes no sense for the Kings not to work these guys out then the only other possibility is they refused a workout
 
He didn't give us his medicals and didn't work out for us. His team is clearly trying to steer him away from here.
He didn't give us his medicals and didn't work out for us. His team is clearly trying to steer him away from here.
How do you know he didn't work out for us? I mean not all team advertise their work out. shai gilgeous alexander when asked about which team he works out for basially decline to answer. There's alot of smokescreen out there. By my account, JJJ has not work out privately for Atlanta and Phoenix. Does that mean he doesn't like Memphis or Dallas?
 
I think it has to be Luca... The kings have done the right thing by taking flyers on big men the last couple drafts, and have drafted a big man the last 3-4 drafts. Luka just makes too much sense as a bigger wing that will be playing 3/4 which is exactly what the Kings need. Another 4/5 would just be asinine given their draft position, what the team has on the roster, and how the team has behaved in the draft the last 3 + years.
 
The numbers look decent to me but I just don't see any discernible offensive skills from him that set him apart from any other big man other than his shot being accurate. Defensively there are obviously almost no questions there other than fouling.

Either way, you wanted some JJJ talk so that's all I've got :)
He projects as a big man that can function in an elite offense because he's a finisher. A big man that can guard the perimeter, the paint, make open threes and flush around the basket is the perfect 5 man in todays nba.

You don't want to waste possessions dumping it into the post because it yields poor offense. The big man needs to have a clear mismatch or be a passer; which few truly are.
 
He projects as a big man that can function in an elite offense because he's a finisher. A big man that can guard the perimeter, the paint, make open threes and flush around the basket is the perfect 5 man in todays nba.

You don't want to waste possessions dumping it into the post because it yields poor offense. The big man needs to have a clear mismatch or be a passer; which few truly are.
Yeah and that's why I don't want him at #2. You plug him into a high functioning offense and he's going to be exactly what you need but he's not going to be the reason why the offense is high functioning. The Kings are still looking for that guy or have yet to have that guy develop.

From what we've read, we may have a JJJ type player in Giles already on the roster. Elite lateral quickness, rebounder, good lob target and solid shot blocker. Anything else would just be icing on the cake.
 
Yeah and that's why I don't want him at #2. You plug him into a high functioning offense and he's going to be exactly what you need but he's not going to be the reason why the offense is high functioning. The Kings are still looking for that guy or have yet to have that guy develop.

From what we've read, we may have a JJJ type player in Giles already on the roster. Elite lateral quickness, rebounder, good lob target and solid shot blocker. Anything else would just be icing on the cake.
He might not be the reason the offense is high functioning, but he'll be the reason the defense is high functioning. As far as offense goes, I think the only players you'd say would make the offense go would be primary ball handlers. Having a guy who can post you or hit a three is huge.
 
Yeah and that's why I don't want him at #2. You plug him into a high functioning offense and he's going to be exactly what you need but he's not going to be the reason why the offense is high functioning. The Kings are still looking for that guy or have yet to have that guy develop.

From what we've read, we may have a JJJ type player in Giles already on the roster. Elite lateral quickness, rebounder, good lob target and solid shot blocker. Anything else would just be icing on the cake.
You're mainly drafting him because he projects as an elite big man defender. It's a cherry on top that he can function in a elite offense. He will need a couple of strong playmakers on his team to bring out his offensive value. Out of all the teams in the lotto the best place for him would be Cleveland currently. A team with the best offensive player in the league that needs a big that can both shoot it and defend.
 
You're mainly drafting him because he projects as an elite big man defender. It's a cherry on top that he can function in a elite offense. He will need a couple of strong playmakers on his team to bring out his offensive value. Out of all the teams in the lotto the best place for him would be Cleveland currently. A team with the best offensive player in the league that needs a big that can both shoot it and defend.
That's exactly why I would draft him if we were at 7 but it's why I won't draft him at 2. He can't put a team on his back and win games. The Kings need that player right now and the wheels won't start turning until they get it.
 

pdxKingsFan

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I think it has to be Luca... The kings have done the right thing by taking flyers on big men the last couple drafts, and have drafted a big man the last 3-4 drafts. Luka just makes too much sense as a bigger wing that will be playing 3/4 which is exactly what the Kings need. Another 4/5 would just be asinine given their draft position, what the team has on the roster, and how the team has behaved in the draft the last 3 + years.
Why look at team needs when the projected best/second best player also fills our biggest hole.

No, the answer is clearly that all the top big men prospects refuse to work out for us.
 
If Luka was as much of a cannot miss prospect as you make him out to be, he would be a consensus #1 pick with no one else in consideration. He isn’t for a reason.
Lol then why do so many unbiased podcast hosts have him as the number 1 prospect? I’m not saying they are the most trusted but I feel like they are less inclined to be manipulated by media heads and agents.
 
Why look at team needs when the projected best/second best player also fills our biggest hole.

No, the answer is clearly that all the top big men prospects refuse to work out for us.
The biggest hole for the Kings is an elite offensive player and a big wing. Luka is the only guy in the top that projects as both. Perhaps Porter does, but i'm weary of any passing ability from him among other things, and his injuries are too scary.
 
Why look at team needs when the projected best/second best player also fills our biggest hole.

No, the answer is clearly that all the top big men prospects refuse to work out for us.
What’s the teams biggest hole? To me, it’s the bigs. But then I think WCS is breakfast toast, and that Buddy/Bogdanovic can start together as starting caliber players. I’ve got JJ ahead of WCS. The question is Giles, but what position is he best at, the 4 or 5, and can you plan around him at this point? Someone like JJJ who has perimeter and can guard somewhat interchangeably might fit with him
 
Honestly I think JJJ can go number 1. McDonough has stated that he loves him and that he doesn’t take a backseat to any prospect they’ve brought in. I think he fits the Suns better than offense/no motor Ayton
 

pdxKingsFan

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What’s the teams biggest hole? To me, it’s the bigs. But then I think WCS is breakfast toast, and that Buddy/Bogdanovic can start together as starting caliber players. I’ve got JJ ahead of WCS. The question is Giles, but what position is he best at, the 4 or 5, and can you plan around him at this point? Someone like JJJ who has perimeter and can guard somewhat interchangeably might fit with him
I think the FO who sees Giles in practice every day for a year has a really good exactly what they are going to be getting from him.

Our hole is at SF. And it's so big you can drive a truck through it. I believe Bagley was brought in to evaluate as a SF, Porter, and then the guy they were most likely to pick all along is Doncic.

They most likely looked at Carter as a contigency because perhaps if Doncic goes #1 they trade down and look for 2 picks.
 

pdxKingsFan

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Honestly I think JJJ can go number 1. McDonough has stated that he loves him and that he doesn’t take a backseat to any prospect they’ve brought in. I think he fits the Suns better than offense/no motor Ayton
I think the no motor is an extremely harsh assessment of Ayton but to be honest I do think JJJ might be better for Phoenix.
 
What’s the teams biggest hole? To me, it’s the bigs. But then I think WCS is breakfast toast, and that Buddy/Bogdanovic can start together as starting caliber players. I’ve got JJ ahead of WCS. The question is Giles, but what position is he best at, the 4 or 5, and can you plan around him at this point? Someone like JJJ who has perimeter and can guard somewhat interchangeably might fit with him
The biggest hole is a 3/4 perimeter player. Kigns have taken flyers on bigs; which is the correct thing to do since you can get quality bigs late in the draft.
 
I think the FO who sees Giles in practice every day for a year has a really good exactly what they are going to be getting from him.

Our hole is at SF. And it's so big you can drive a truck through it. I believe Bagley was brought in to evaluate as a SF, Porter, and then the guy they were most likely to pick all along is Doncic.

They most likely looked at Carter as a contigency because perhaps if Doncic goes #1 they trade down and look for 2 picks.
You didn't even need to bring Bagley in to see if he can play 3. There is just no way in hell.
 
I think the no motor is an extremely harsh assessment of Ayton but to be honest I do think JJJ might be better for Phoenix.
They have a couple of guys already that could become good to elite offensive players at wing in Jackson and Booker. Booker is well on his way as a 21 year old posting a 2.9 OBPM. He needs to cut his turnovers and continue to improve his shot selection. So JJJ does make sense to go there. I'd still go Doncic if I were them and find other ways to add bigs. Jackson is a million miles away from being a good offensive player, but he has good tools and might develop like Butler did.... But whatever, that's their decision. I think Ayton is a big mistake because it's rare (possibly never happened) that a big shows out poorly on defense in college and then becomes a dominant defender in the NBA. He has the physical tools, but he might just be lacking the IQ.
 

pdxKingsFan

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They have a couple of guys already that could become good to elite offensive players at wing in Jackson and Booker. Booker is well on his way as a 21 year old posting a 2.9 OBPM. He needs to cut his turnovers and continue to improve his shot selection. So JJJ does make sense to go there. I'd still go Doncic if I were them and find other ways to add bigs.... But whatever, that's their decision. I think Ayton is a big mistake because it's rare that a big shows out poorly on defense in college and then becoems a dominant defender. He has the physical tools, but he might just be lacking the IQ.
I agree but I still think Ayton played better defense than he gets credit for at Arizona. Man to man he was fine. He was also playing the 4 90% of the time and I saw plenty of times that he covered for players that blew by their men that weren't his. And to be frank, the pack line defense has been solved. It's also fairly useless when 3/5 of the team can stay in front of their man. The only other capable defender in Arizona's featured lineup with Alkins. Also likely the only other player on that team to play in the NBA.
 
I agree but I still think Ayton played better defense than he gets credit for at Arizona. Man to man he was fine. He was also playing the 4 90% of the time and I saw plenty of times that he covered for players that blew by their men that weren't his. And to be frank, the pack line defense has been solved. It's also fairly useless when 3/5 of the team can stay in front of their man. The only other capable defender in Arizona's featured lineup with Alkins. Also likely the only other player on that team to play in the NBA.
I think there is a way better chance he becomes a good defender than Bagley does.. That is for certain. Perhaps getting the opportunity to defend the perimeter will serve him well in the long run. He didn't look too great when he was defending the paint though. We shall see.
 
I don't understand at all why we need a stat stuffing PF which is what I think he will be. 20/10 guy who never plays for a winner.
Where are all these 20/10 athletic freak pfs that never play for a winner? I can think of Malone, Kemp, Amare, and Blake. Do you have some other good comps cause those guys are all big time winners.
 
The biggest hole for the Kings is an elite offensive player and a big wing. Luka is the only guy in the top that projects as both. Perhaps Porter does, but i'm weary of any passing ability from him among other things, and his injuries are too scary.
I was looking up end of shot clock stats for NBA teams, while this is the only stat I could find it's one of my biggest reasons I think teams need a player like Luka. Not to mention just regular half-court offense. If your team offense goes up a couple % points for halfcourt/late shot clock possessions it makes a HUGE difference.

Still, this is telling for a number of reasons. First, league-wide, average play in just halfcourt offense is 90.4 points per 100 possessions. In late-shot-clock situations, the average is 77.5 points per 100 possessions. Those 12.9 points represent a massive difference.
 
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