I hate to be the guy to ask the obvious, but I'm an idiot, so I just will: How possible is it to have the FRP not convey to ATL at this point? I mean, even losing the majority of the remaining schedule, I'm sure it also depends entirely on PHX and DAL as well, but is it even possible at this poinnt?
Obviously, if we get out of the play-in, we lose the pick.
At this point, the most likely path to keeping the pick might actually be to lose in the play-in, and to end up either 13th or 14th, and then to hit the lottery!
Of course, we could miss the play-in altogether, but that would entail us (35-35) falling behind both Phoenix (34-37) and Dallas (34-37), and while I can see Phoenix happening, Dallas is 2-8 in their last 10 and missing their only good players, so this seems really unlikely.
The other route would be for us to lose out of the play-in, and end up in the 12th slot behind two other play-in losers - but obviously only one of those can come from the western conference. That basically means that the Hawks (34-36) would have to finish ahead of us, and then lose in the play-in from a position of massive strength (two games to win one).
So, I would give us about 1 chance in 100 to keep the pick, though that could improve if we try really, really hard to tank (we won't).