Recent content by kb02

  1. kb02

    Woj - Kings Simmons pursuit OVER

    For Fox? He’ll yea! For Hali? Kick rocks. But the Kings are still desperate, so watch Monte go and screw things up.
  2. kb02

    Blow It Up

    Matadors. It’s a contest to see who can get out of the way the fastest.
  3. kb02

    Blow It Up

    I’d prefer tanking over either player, but, man, if Collins operated as the Kings 5, opponents are going to score 140+ each night. Just scary.
  4. kb02

    The (legal) sports betting/gambling thread

    My models have the weekend scores as: Cin: 23.9 to KC: 29.3. Gave 3 points to KC for the home team. The spread is 7.5 and the over/under is at 54.5. I was planning to play the over, but going to sit it out now. Want Cincy to win. SF: 20.7 to LAR: 22.6. Did not give home team points to the...
  5. kb02

    Blow It Up

    Yea, there's a part of me that thinks it wouldn't be too unrealistic to see Monte go after Collins and Turner. Collins needs to play next to a legit 5. Why else would Atlanta sign Capella? I see a Holmes and Collins pairing as a defensive disaster where the Kings will be out rebounded even...
  6. kb02

    Blow It Up

    I'd very much like you to enlighten us on the significance of the data you've provided. I'll go first. A VORP delta of 0.4 = 14.8% difference. Check the math. A replacement player gets a -2.7 rating, so the 0.4 delta = a 14% difference between Barnes and Collins. Is Collins better than...
  7. kb02

    Blow It Up

    Getting a player with a projected WAR of 5 long term = trading for a player, who is projected to have a similar impact to...Harrison Barnes over the next five years. Barnes (Collins in place of him) is a good player, but for it to work, you need Fox to be a star. Otherwise it'll just be 5 more...
  8. kb02

    Woj - Kings Simmons pursuit OVER

    At this point, given how much CD is crowing about Collins, I'm expecting John Collins, Bogi, and Delon Wright for Barnes, Buddy, and two firsts.
  9. kb02

    Blow It Up

    The delta in 538's WAR this year is 1.5. That is not a game changing upgrade. Then you cite that Collins' projected WAR is 5 over the next few years, but counter it with "you cannot put age aside". For a model like 538's, when they project something, they're factoring in AGE into their...
  10. kb02

    Blow It Up

    You looked at that set of data and your conclusion is Barnes gets smoked in every impact stat? Really? They're in the same category, good not great players. Giving up a first for Collins would be a fireable offense.
  11. kb02

    Woj - Kings Simmons pursuit OVER

    Sabonis, tank, or unemployment, Monte.
  12. kb02

    Rival teams believe Kings would be open to trading De’Aaron Fox

    Continuing to build around Fox is pure suicide.
  13. kb02

    Blow It Up

    He’ll make the Kings a tick better offensively, because he can bomb the three and pick and pop, but he’s maybe an avg passer and a below average defender. An upgrade, but at the cost of a frp? I wouldn’t pay that.
  14. kb02

    Blow It Up

    Here’s a comp between Harrison Barnes vs. John Collins. They’re pretty much even. Collins would be playing the same 4 spot as Barnes. Only reason why Collins is more valuable than Barnes is age...
  15. kb02

    Blow It Up

    Did you even look at the normalized stats? I don’t know how you look at that comparison and conclude that Collins is a game changing talent. He’s cheap relative to Sabonis for a reason. Getting him would be a mistake,