The Lakers have already won Group A in the West with a 4-0 record. The Suns have come in second in Group A at 3-1, with a +8.5 differential. They're currently the "team to beat" for the single West wild card spot. To win the wild card in front of the Suns, a team will have to go 3-1 with a better differential.
Our group (Group C in the West) is still pretty unsettled - we've all played fewer tournament games. The Spurs and the Thunder are already eliminated, which leaves us and Minny at 2-0 and GSW at 1-1.
One of Kings/Wolves will be 3-0 after tonight, and the other at 2-1. So the Group C winner will be at least 3-1. Obviously 4-0 wins any group.
The Warriors host the Spurs tonight. If they win, they go to 2-1 and are still relevant. If they lose, they're 1-2 and out of it.
On Tuesday, we host the Warriors and the Wolves play the Thunder. That will be the final determinant. But if we win tonight, we will be in the driver's seat (3-0, and with at least a small differential lead over Minny). If we lose tonight, we will basically have to blow out the Warriors Tuesday to have a chance.