I cannot shake the feeling ultimately if Bagley is given minutes given to Willie, we will be a better rebounding, defense and scoring team. Everything will be better for us. Willie is probably a better lob target than Bagley because of his length but that's about all he does better. The pending question hovering over this team is whether we want to commit to a RFA to be at the end of the season. I am leaning towards "no" so let's get value for him/
How about we offer Willie and Z-Bo (and throw in Yogi if necessary) to the Wizards straight up for Otto Porter? I know Otto is overpaid but the guy is a player currently wallowing in toxic environment. Can Otto play stretch four for us and solidify our three spot for the next 3 season? Yes! Then Bagley and Giles share the center position and we land the combo forward we need. Make it happen, Vlade Brandon!
I don't know if we would be better this year, but I have been thinking the same way about Cauley-Stein. He's been much better this year than the previous 3 seasons; however, I see our team being at it's best (in the future) when Bagley is playing C with floor spacers around him.
Giving Cauley-Stein a big deal (even if one he deserves) is going to make it harder to optimize our elite talent (Fox & Bagley). Not to mention if you give Cauley-Stein a big deal this year, you are running the risk that the motivation takes a dive next year. He is after all a contract year player who has only shown it in his contract year.
I would rather move Cauley-Stein for a pick or young asset vs. a guy like Porter. If we continue to keep our payroll nothing but rookie contracts and expiring veteran contracts, we give ourselves multiple offseasons to sign a star.
For examples sake, let's say we trade Cauley-Stein for a 2019 1st. We'd have approximately $56-$59 mil in cap space in the 2019 offseason. Perhaps the performance of the 2018-19 season was enough to lure a star free agent. If not, trade the cap space for expiring players & picks to continue to build our future asset pool.
Now you have Hield in his 4th year, Fox in his 3rd year, Bogdanovic in his 3rd year, Bagley in his 2nd year, and Giles in his 2nd year. You're hoping this core is going to keep progressing and look even more impressive during the 2019-20 season. Not to mention, we'd still have $42 mil in cap space in the 2020 offseason to sign a star ($59-$61 mil if we let Bjelica, Labissiere, & Mason go).
Let's stay flexible with our cap (to allow us the long shot opportunity of signing a star and/or selling cap space for future assets) and not commit to any long term salary unless it's our true core (Fox, Hield, Bogdanovic, Giles*, Bagley).