Thought it'd be interesting who people think would should pursue this off-season. It's not a great FA class, but I think there are a few gems that are very getable because of their teams cap/contract situation. For the purpose of this, lets assume we retain DDV.
1. Isaiah Hartenstein
I know, another Center. But I think Hartenstein is worth the risk of putting Sabonis at PF. I think he's a high upside starter with elite rim protection, elite roll man and top 5-10 big man passing ability here with him. Just 23 years old and a UFA. With the Clippers cap situation, there's almost no chance they can afford to bring him back.
First off, every stat basically says he's off the chart bonkers good and impactful. Doesn't matter where you turn:
LeBron: +2.1
RAPTOR: +0.3
LA-RAPM: 1.0
BPM 2.0: +3.8
Net On/Off RTG: +8.1
VORP: +1.6
WS/48: .203
Some individual stats
17.2 MPG
7.9 PPG
4.6 RPG
2.1 APG (19.5% AST rate for a big is crazy. For reference, only Jokic, Giannis, Randle, Sabonis and Embiid have higher as big men)
65.5% TS (9th in the NBA)
There's been some signs of a shot, but I would call that his main downfall to potentially play with Sabonis. However, the passing still provides spacing because defenders still have to play up on him and cut off those free passing lanes. Get a creative coach that would best utilize 2 great passing big men and things could be real spicy.
And it's just a matter of the Kings picking what they're willing to sacrifice in terms of a partner with Sabonis at the 4. There's like 3 guys that fit the absolutely "perfect" archetype in the NBA. With Hartenstein, I feel extremely confident I'm getting an awesome player that's going to improve the defense, be an efficient scorer/finisher off the role, and still bring a truly unique skill with the passing. Does that outweigh the potential spacing problems? I'd take the risk.
2. Malik Monk
Fills a totally different niche than the other 4 guys on my list, but I love how Monk has developed over the last 2 years. He's become a reliability elite spacer with that "microwave" gene where he can just win you games by himself with his scoring. Offers good secondary playmaking/ball-handling. I like that he's shown he can fit in around offensive stars too and still be really effective with his scoring/shooting. Offensive impact stuff really likes him too:
O-LEBRON: +0.7
LA- ORAPM: +0.7
O BPM: +0.2
Net offensive RTG (+8.4!!)
Defensively, he's bad. No question. But I think he fills some real holes on the team with the shooting and being able to be the "4th" scorer on the team. Only 24 and the Lakers basically have no chance of keeping him with their current cap situation.
3.. Chris Boucher
Much better potential fit and another multi-year analytics darling. The issue is, I don't think he's a reliable spacer either, but we at least have some volume sample where he CAN shoot; he had last year of shooting 38% on nearly 4 attempts/game, but is down to 28% on 2.7 attempts this year. 2 years ago (his first year in a rotation), he was 32.% on 1.9 attempts. But he's been a long-time favorite of mine (and a few others here on the forum), and has shown he makes the team better when he's on the floor. Effective rim protector with the athleticism to hedge out onto the perimeter; and Sabonis covers his only weakness of not being the best guy to handle super big dudes on the interior.
I'd be surprised if he went back to the Raptors. They gave Khem Birch an extension, they have Precious on a rookie deal and their starting 5 is basically set for the next 2-3 years (FVV, Trent, Barnes, OG, Siakam). And Nurse has jerked around his role over and over again the last few years too.
4. Caleb Martin
Potential plug and play "3 and D" wing that's taken a real leap this year with Miami. Just 26 years old and is an UFA. Very unlikely to resign in Miami considering their cap situation. His more consistent shooting has given him real starter upside.
Who are some names you're eyeing?
1. Isaiah Hartenstein
I know, another Center. But I think Hartenstein is worth the risk of putting Sabonis at PF. I think he's a high upside starter with elite rim protection, elite roll man and top 5-10 big man passing ability here with him. Just 23 years old and a UFA. With the Clippers cap situation, there's almost no chance they can afford to bring him back.
First off, every stat basically says he's off the chart bonkers good and impactful. Doesn't matter where you turn:
LeBron: +2.1
RAPTOR: +0.3
LA-RAPM: 1.0
BPM 2.0: +3.8
Net On/Off RTG: +8.1
VORP: +1.6
WS/48: .203
Some individual stats
17.2 MPG
7.9 PPG
4.6 RPG
2.1 APG (19.5% AST rate for a big is crazy. For reference, only Jokic, Giannis, Randle, Sabonis and Embiid have higher as big men)
65.5% TS (9th in the NBA)
There's been some signs of a shot, but I would call that his main downfall to potentially play with Sabonis. However, the passing still provides spacing because defenders still have to play up on him and cut off those free passing lanes. Get a creative coach that would best utilize 2 great passing big men and things could be real spicy.
And it's just a matter of the Kings picking what they're willing to sacrifice in terms of a partner with Sabonis at the 4. There's like 3 guys that fit the absolutely "perfect" archetype in the NBA. With Hartenstein, I feel extremely confident I'm getting an awesome player that's going to improve the defense, be an efficient scorer/finisher off the role, and still bring a truly unique skill with the passing. Does that outweigh the potential spacing problems? I'd take the risk.
2. Malik Monk
Fills a totally different niche than the other 4 guys on my list, but I love how Monk has developed over the last 2 years. He's become a reliability elite spacer with that "microwave" gene where he can just win you games by himself with his scoring. Offers good secondary playmaking/ball-handling. I like that he's shown he can fit in around offensive stars too and still be really effective with his scoring/shooting. Offensive impact stuff really likes him too:
O-LEBRON: +0.7
LA- ORAPM: +0.7
O BPM: +0.2
Net offensive RTG (+8.4!!)
Defensively, he's bad. No question. But I think he fills some real holes on the team with the shooting and being able to be the "4th" scorer on the team. Only 24 and the Lakers basically have no chance of keeping him with their current cap situation.
3.. Chris Boucher
Much better potential fit and another multi-year analytics darling. The issue is, I don't think he's a reliable spacer either, but we at least have some volume sample where he CAN shoot; he had last year of shooting 38% on nearly 4 attempts/game, but is down to 28% on 2.7 attempts this year. 2 years ago (his first year in a rotation), he was 32.% on 1.9 attempts. But he's been a long-time favorite of mine (and a few others here on the forum), and has shown he makes the team better when he's on the floor. Effective rim protector with the athleticism to hedge out onto the perimeter; and Sabonis covers his only weakness of not being the best guy to handle super big dudes on the interior.
I'd be surprised if he went back to the Raptors. They gave Khem Birch an extension, they have Precious on a rookie deal and their starting 5 is basically set for the next 2-3 years (FVV, Trent, Barnes, OG, Siakam). And Nurse has jerked around his role over and over again the last few years too.
4. Caleb Martin
Potential plug and play "3 and D" wing that's taken a real leap this year with Miami. Just 26 years old and is an UFA. Very unlikely to resign in Miami considering their cap situation. His more consistent shooting has given him real starter upside.
Who are some names you're eyeing?