Bagley should easily be a 20-10 type of player for the majority of his career. He did that as a Freshman at Duke after all. Probably more like 25 and 12 once he bulks up for a couple years. The uphill battle he's going to have to climb is that we're now 20 years removed from the last time front court players dominated the MVP conversation in the NBA. Anthony Davis is putting up insane numbers this season (29.3pts, 13.3rebs, 4.4asts, 1.7 stls, 2.6blks) and he can't even lead his team to a .500 record. It's a different time now where any team that is not volume shooting 3s is not winning, period. And James Harden, leading the league with 13.3 3PA per game, is going to be your back-to-back league MVP. It's a reality we all have to reckon with.
In the context of this team though, I can see why Coach Joerger has handled the roster the way he has. Bjelica and Cauley-Stein opened the season on fire and if we're going to stick with Cauley-Stein in the middle, we need someone at the PF spot who can space the floor. 5 years ago it was a luxury but it has become a necessity. Moving Bagley to the 5 makes sense or replacing Cauley-Stein with a big man who can shoot (Marc Gasol??) and keeping Bagley at the PF spot could work. Or if Bjelica is slumping maybe it's irrelevant. In any case, I wouldn't look at Minutes Played or Starts as an indictment of Bagley. He's acquitted himself very well for a rookie so far. Coach Joerger brought the young guys along slowly last year too and we're already seeing the dividends from that. After that Toronto game I personally think Bagley should be given a chance to stick in the starting lineup but I also think Coach Joerger, for all his detractors, has been doing a solid job of developing these guy and should be trusted to carry out his plans without interference.