CD asked Sam Amick why bagley isn’t getting the hype of Luka. Especially considering lukas minutes as opposed to bagleys. Dave put out bagleys numbers compared to lukas. Amick to Dave: “really Dave? Cmon. You know the answer. I’m not one to usually bring up the eye test but with Luka, you watch him and you know why he is so so good.”
Amick then went into why Luka is the better player. He’s the center piece. He has single handedly changed the atmosphere in Dallas. He is a game changer. Then why bagley isn’t like Luka. He’s a big man and that’s not today’s NBA game. Bagley is an old school type player.
All of this was brought up because Amick was at the warriors game last night and he and a colleague were talking about the kings and his colleague, forgive me, I don’t remember his name, mentioned to Amick that he would have loved to see what this kings team would be like with Luka on it. Amick asked if fox would have Made his jump with Luka and could they have existed on the same team. And emphatic yes and yes from his colleague. You don’t pass on a talent like Luka because you have fox.
Luka is one of those talents that is
so seductive to the eyes. He brings the highlights. He's got the wow factor in spades. But he hasn't been particularly efficient this season, he's been an unwieldy sieve on the defensive end, and those that believe he's single-handedly changed the atmosphere in Dallas aren't really paying attention to the veteran factors that are actually leading to that team's success. Their bench unit has
massively outperformed their starting unit for much of the season, and their team defense has been surprisingly stout. They also sport the third-easiest strength of schedule to this point in the season, and have been absolutely putrid on the road in spite of it. In other words, I can't help but wonder if Doncic and the Mavs aren't headed in the direction of a brick wall.
Now, don't get me wrong. Doncic is going to be
good. He may even be great someday. He's got a James Harden-esque game and the modern NBA is designed specifically for players like that to succeed. But I think Luka's hype train is a little bit off the rails in terms of evaluating his impact this season. He's posting a barely-above-average PER of 15.9, and he's having to work
hard as a scorer and playmaker due to his lack of athleticism. Hell,
I manage to get exhausted just watching the guy try to create space in isolation. What happens when defenses adapt to his tendencies?
Perhaps the caution I'm exercising in my evaluation of both Luka and the Mavs is unwarranted. Perhaps they'll remain in the playoff mix deep into April, and perhaps Doncic will coast to ROY honors. But I remain skeptical. I will be curious to see if the Mavs can sustain their success as their schedule gets tougher, and I will be curious to see how teams key in on Luka (and his stepback 3, in particular) after they've played Dallas once or twice, and as they continue to scout his weaknesses. I think Doncic is a future all-star, but I also think that the hype is out of control relative to what the player is actually producing, once we move beyond the highlight reel.