You know what's interesting is that every year in the Top 10 it seems we've got the questionable athlete with a complete game turning out to be the better pro than the guy with complete athleticism or physical attributes but a questionable skillset.
Curry and Harden over Thabeet and Flynn.
Cousins and Hayward over Wes Johnson
Kyrie over Williams, Vesely, and Biyombo.
Beal over MKG and TRob.
Hield and Ingram over Chriss
Tatum and Markkanen over Isaac and Monk (early returns)
Can't find a good example from 2013-15, but in those years you've still got athletes busting everywhere. Noel, McLemore, Exum, Hezonja, Mudiay.
Then of course you've got your athletes with a skillset to match (Ayton), but history would indicate that at least one of the bigman trio of Bagley, Bamba, and JJJ is gonna bust. You've got your examples of players washing out because they couldn't keep up physically (Jimmer, Papagiannis), but they are all far far less numerous than the project athlete, and Jimmer and Papagiannis didn't have much of a great skillset anyway.